Hacker News Board Hacker News, browsed like a classic message board
Live data from Hacker News

Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

news.ycombinator.com

Post reply on HN
Print view View original

181–190 of 620 posts

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#181

Post by pjerem »

Lordarminius wrote: post #157
Imustaskforhelp wrote: post #147

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I know right , I think he might be too bullish on bitcoin for it to double , though I may be wrong but it just feels like there would be swings because I still believe that there is no use of bitcoin , Its just that its the one which started these coins and there could be better one for use cases , maybe like IDK monero for real anonymous transactions , but even then these are more of a sidekick thing which I don't t…

>I like index funds so much , that everything else feels a time / effort waste even though I am aspiring to be a programmer , maybe that's partially why I don't see much reason in crypto. Crypto is the future of money and finance. If you are aspiring to become a programmer you should internalize this and get in.

> Crypto is the future of money and finance.

Why ?

Crypto is the digital version of the old commodity money (whose value comes from a commodity of which it is made).

Turns out it was absolutely impractical because people rarely want to be physically responsible for their own estate.

I neither see crypto disappear anytime soon and we may see innovative usage. It can probably make sense in unstable economic environments. But everywhere else, you’ll want your estate not being accessible to burglars, you’ll want your big transactions to be legally secured, you’ll want your bank to be able to reverse things and you’ll want to not let your money sleep.

Also, unless governments start accepting crypto for paying taxes, you’ll have a hard time buying anything in daily shops.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#182

Post by someothherguyy »

WheelsAtLarge wrote: post #67

1) Companies will develop many specialized LLMs linked via a router-like app that determines the best LLM to perform your request. This will yield better results without requiring an AGI. It might even be good enough to replace a specialized information tech job. 2) The cost of a line of code will continue to drop. A Moore's like law is coming/here for code. 3) Trade jobs will start to become what code jobs were in t…

> 3) Trade jobs will start to become what code jobs were in the 00's -- very well paid.

What signals are there for this?

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#184

Post by netsharc »

exitb wrote: post #171
thepuppet33r wrote: post #66

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm still not sure how they plan to enforce this. Even now, I see an age verification popup on both illicit sites and even sites I feel are innocuous. But I can just click that I'm old enough to move on. If the social media companies are only trying to shift blame, this makes sense. They're not liable if the customer lies. But if that loophole is closed, the only way to enforce age approved sites would be a global id…

You’ll be asked to log in into a government-run account, which will pinky promise not to store who accessed what.

It'll be your mandatory X account, the one you'll need to do things like contact the DMV, because hey, can't have government efficiency without grift!

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#185

Post by WheelsAtLarge »

someothherguyy wrote: post #182
WheelsAtLarge wrote: post #67

1) Companies will develop many specialized LLMs linked via a router-like app that determines the best LLM to perform your request. This will yield better results without requiring an AGI. It might even be good enough to replace a specialized information tech job. 2) The cost of a line of code will continue to drop. A Moore's like law is coming/here for code. 3) Trade jobs will start to become what code jobs were in t…

> 3) Trade jobs will start to become what code jobs were in the 00's -- very well paid. What signals are there for this?

https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/people-and-organizatio...

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#186

Post by EFreethought »

esperent wrote: post #121
quantisan wrote: post #72

Previous years: 2024: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38777115 (the rest of this list is copied from https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38779963 ) 2023: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34125628 2022: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29746236 2021: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25594068 2020: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21802596 2019: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18753859 2018:…

There's a second 2024 thread here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38614465 Reading through the two 2024 threads I'm struck that most predictions a) were completely wrong b) reflected more what people wanted to happen rather than what was likely. Edit: now that I've read through this thread I'll add c) were much more hopeful than this year's predictions.

> reflected more what people wanted to happen rather than what was likely.

I think that is true of most predictions.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#187

Post by walterbell »

andrewinardeer wrote: post #88
threatofrain wrote: post #3

Smart home category will heat up.

Can you please elaborate on your position? In what context?

  Thread-over-Matter mesh networking
  UWB in door locks
  Unlicensed 6Ghz spectrum
  Apple room panels (AI/conferencing/control)
  Apple security cameras, door locks
  Apple iPad-on-motorized-pole
  In-home AI/media servers (Mac Mini/Studio, Tinybox)
  Speech interfaces based on open-source stacks

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#188

Post by kyriakos »

bobro wrote: post #175
quantisan wrote: post #72

Previous years: 2024: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38777115 (the rest of this list is copied from https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38779963 ) 2023: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34125628 2022: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29746236 2021: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25594068 2020: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21802596 2019: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18753859 2018:…

Crazy how wrong people were in the top 2024 comments.

Indeed someone predicted vision pro will be wildly popular.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#189

Post by friend_Fernando »

kittikitti wrote: post #85
throwmeaway2024 wrote: post #45

"Hybrid WW3" continues. Russia advances most everywhere in the proxy politics space (perhaps paradoxically except Syria.) Western economies continue on their troll-induced march to self-implosion. The defamation attacks on their Comparative Advantage industries intensify, particularly: - Non-Musk Big Tech / AI - Non-Musk aerospace (=> Boeing) - Wall Street / non-crypto finance - Non-Musk automotive - Hollywood Immigr…

How do you mention geopolitics and a potential WW3 without mentioning the Middle East and Israel?

Gaza was heartbreaking, but the story was amplified in the US to suppress progressive turnout. I think I saw the same fingerprints on both sides.

Either way, the Battle of Oil is mostly over. The ME is increasingly irrelevant. Arab leaders predicted this long ago [1].

[1] https://www.oxfordreference.com/display/10.1093/acref/978019...

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#190

Post by [deleted] »

wenc wrote: post #92
nozzlegear wrote: post #74

I predict that I will finally finish making that bird feeder camera that I've been wanting to make for my wife. I've got all the parts for it, I just need to figure out how to put them together and write some code to take a picture of a bird. Can't be too hard, right?

Sounds like a great project for learning. However, just FYI, this $25 2K cam (PCMag recommended) can do that sorta (it has motion/pet detection) and more. It also has excellent night vision. https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0CH45HPZT/ I was like, a $25 camera can't be this good. But I tried it out and it's actually really good.

[deleted]
Post reply on HN