Ask HN: Predictions for 2025? • Hacker News Board

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#171

Post by exitb » Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 5:58 AM UTC

thepuppet33r wrote: post #66

CubsFan1060 wrote: post #11

There are even more restrictions aimed at stopping kids using social media. Restrictions on phone use in schools, who can sign up for social media, etc.. Additionally, that it'll eventually prove to be a wild success, with significant benefit to kids. On the darker side, the same technologies and restrictions will be applied in various ways to adults (similar to the porn verification laws), which will have significan…

I'm still not sure how they plan to enforce this. Even now, I see an age verification popup on both illicit sites and even sites I feel are innocuous. But I can just click that I'm old enough to move on. If the social media companies are only trying to shift blame, this makes sense. They're not liable if the customer lies. But if that loophole is closed, the only way to enforce age approved sites would be a global id…

You’ll be asked to log in into a government-run account, which will pinky promise not to store who accessed what.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#172

Post by Lordarminius » Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 5:58 AM UTC

* AI and LLMs will continue to improve. AI will create a new programming language that will take the world by storm

* Market share for solar continues to increase

* A market crash occurs in the US and a government bailout is instituted.

* The US creates a pretext to go to war with Iran and is defeated.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#173

Post by diptera911 » Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 6:02 AM UTC

reshlo wrote: post #102

gigatree wrote: post #82

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

Two minutes of research would have saved you the embarrassment of making that comment. > Formaldehyde is essential in human metabolism and is required for the synthesis of DNA and amino acids (the building blocks of protein). Therefore, all humans have detectable quantities of natural formaldehyde in their circulation (about 2.5 ug of formaldehyde per ml of blood). Assuming an average weight of a 2-month-old of 5 kg…

Is there a difference between injected aluminium/formaldehyde and ingested aluminium/formaldehyde?

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#174

Post by Lordarminius » Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 6:02 AM UTC

throwaway2037 wrote: post #162

Lordarminius wrote: post #159

Earlier quoted context omitted.

* Bitcoin is on a trajectory to reach 200k and it will if we get a strong bull season. However the elephant in the room is the House of Cards that is the US financial system. It appears primed to go poof! * Solar and LLM's will bloom.

> the US financial system. It appears primed to go poof! Can you explain more, and provide some specific examples? Are you talking about commercial banks, investment banks, or insurance companies? (They make up the bulk of what most people mean when they say "financial system".) Post-2008 GFC, ibanks are stronger than ever because they are much more conservative. With the exception of a couple of run-on-the-banks, co…

Unsustainable public debt. $50 trillion in debt maturity must be rolled over mid 2025. Something must give

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#175

Post by bobro » Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 6:03 AM UTC

quantisan wrote: post #72

Previous years: 2024: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38777115 (the rest of this list is copied from https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38779963 ) 2023: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34125628 2022: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29746236 2021: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25594068 2020: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21802596 2019: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18753859 2018:…

Crazy how wrong people were in the top 2024 comments.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#176

Post by diptera911 » Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 6:04 AM UTC

petabyt wrote: post #146

- Valve releases a Steam client for ARM64 and makes native ports of all their games, other companies follow and ARM becomes a much more viable platform for both Windows and Linux - People will continue to push back against genAI, every company will still be split on whether to use it in marketing, customer support, etc (no change) - Trump administration slashes a lot of regulations that affect manufacturing as he tri…

I think valve will finally release their 'deckard' headset which will BTFO the competition.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#177

Post by wtkd » Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 6:07 AM UTC

abetusk wrote: post #108

* Solar energy will account for around 8% (give or take 1%?) of the worlds energy usage * We'll see the worlds first trillionaire * Bitcoin will reach $200k+, and remain largely stable around that price, at the end of 2025 * Generative AI for music will continue to improve substantially. I have a lack of imagination, but maybe something like on demand streaming services, maybe targeted to niche music genres (lo-fi, e…

agreed on the uptick in generative AI for music but I think it will just start to replace regular music on the major streamers rather than crop up in a new beskpoke platform. it's already happening: https://harpers.org/archive/2025/01/the-ghosts-in-the-machin...

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#178

Post by azinman2 » Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 6:11 AM UTC

Lordarminius wrote: post #174

throwaway2037 wrote: post #162

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> the US financial system. It appears primed to go poof! Can you explain more, and provide some specific examples? Are you talking about commercial banks, investment banks, or insurance companies? (They make up the bulk of what most people mean when they say "financial system".) Post-2008 GFC, ibanks are stronger than ever because they are much more conservative. With the exception of a couple of run-on-the-banks, co…

Unsustainable public debt. $50 trillion in debt maturity must be rolled over mid 2025. Something must give

Currently the US has 36T in dept [1]. Where are you getting this number?

[1] https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/americas-finance-guide/natio...

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#179

Post by diptera911 » Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 6:12 AM UTC

* We will find some ancient manuscript that only MRI and AI can read which conveniently realigns or adjusts the foundational beliefs of all abrahamic religions to the alien-god mythology

* Some sort of new power source will be teased which supercedes what we could gain from fusion

* JFK files are released and there is a lot of UFO information inside it

* The false alien disclosure op continues with lots of 'orbs' and drones and whatnot and a threat narrative emerging necessitating loss of liberty

* Russia and Ukraine mutually give up territory - Russia then turns on patriots and nationalists inside their border and NATO arms and fortifies Ukraine to the teeth for a push in the coming decade

* Some very unpleasant things are publicly released by the feds about SV40 and the vaccines

* Elon begins a fatwa against his business rivals and pushes for more technocratic solutions in the government like blockchains

* Very few immigrants are sent back, they just don't report on it and hope nobody notices

* Escalating rhetoric against Mexico and their cartels

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#180

Post by bobro » Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 6:14 AM UTC

geor9e wrote: post #76

The number of programming jobs on earth doubles. The NASDAQ doubles. A cultural renaissance occurs that foundationally defines the next 2 decades. George RR Martin releases The Winds of Winter.

Hilarious that the TWOW is the least likely of your bunch.