Ask HN: Predictions for 2025? • Hacker News Board

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#151

Post by viraptor » Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 5:26 AM UTC

agomez314 wrote: post #58

* drone tech will heat up and find its "moment." * Bitcoin will continue to increase in price and decrease in usability. * Quantum will continue to improve and start to raise eyebrows in niche circles and paper headlines, leading to adoption in small parts of major tech companies. * Markets will hit a record high by end of year. * ADHD medications will also hit a record high. * More people will opt out social media l…

> ADHD medications will also hit a record high.

Do you mean that the current volume restrictions will be removed?

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#152

Post by Silhouette » Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 5:26 AM UTC

bruce511 wrote: post #97

unsnap_biceps wrote: post #73

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Honestly, I think the headlight "bars" like on the Rivian R1T or Cybertruck is going to be the standard going forward. It gives a better driving experience (to the driver, way worse for the other drivers...)

Some societies optimize for the individual. If 8 lights is better for me then I get 8 lights. The experience gor other drivers us a "them" problem not a "me" problem. Other societies optimize for public good. It's less about "individual freedom" and more about "what world do we want to live in". (I'm not talking about govt here as much as just the way people consider their own choices. And yes, there are as*oles in a…

But it's very much a "you" problem if someone gets dazzled by your excessively bright and poorly aimed headlights and then crashes into you at high speed.

It's a weird situation here in the UK. We have newer vehicles sold with the over the top lights that were factory fitted that can legally be driven on our roads. Meanwhile relatively old but still useful vehicles with underpowered lights from a decade or longer ago often can't update those lights even though better replacement parts are available. Our regulations are obscure and antiquated and mean the vehicle would potentially fail its mandatory annual testing because the replacements don't have the right regulatory mark - so the vehicle would no longer be legal to drive on the road even though its lights would be significantly better and safer than what it originally had but not the crazy ones some new cars arrive with.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#153

Post by viraptor » Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 5:28 AM UTC

CubsFan1060 wrote: post #16

ilrwbwrkhv wrote: post #2

I will start off with an uncommon one: Gambling addiction in kids is through the roof, sports betting, crypto betting, csgo skin betting. These are being openly advertised and we will start seeing the first major push towards stopping some of them. Some of the owners of the most uncommon Counterstrike skin gambling sites are making about $50 million a month.

A search for CSGO skin betting brings up a ton of sites, but I still have no idea what it is. Can you explain it? I don't really understand what is being bet on there. (Also, I'm slightly scared of the answer)

Good timing! If you have a spare hour that is. Coffeezilla just released two videos digging into the csgo skin casinos business:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q58dLWjRTBE

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v6jhjjVy5Ls

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#154

Post by standeven » Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 5:30 AM UTC

-USA stops supporting Ukraine war efforts and Ukraine is forced to cede large portions of land to Russia, creating a DMZ along vast stretches of the new border.

-Expanded land use restrictions and federal tariffs against solar and wind, resulting from pressure from fossil fuel lobbyists and the new head of the department of energy.

-Another CEO is shot.

-Crypto has a major correction; bitcoin finishes the year well under $100k.

-US grocery prices are higher than ever.

-Pierre Poilievre is the new Prime Minister of Canada and holds a majority.

-EVs continue to grow market share at a linear rate in North America.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#155

Post by paul7986 » Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 5:34 AM UTC

We get a GPT Phone (an AI phone) that's UX is all built around your phone becoming your personal AI assistant.

When you pick up the phone you basically see your personal AI assistant like they are always on Facetime waiting at your beckon call. You could skin your AI personal assistant to be a celebrity or a deceased friend or relative who is always there to guide you through your day. It has vision AI and can see when your happy or sad and respond to how you look if you have that setting on. It does everything for you via text, voice or hand gestures.

The iPhone and Android seem stale (released in 2007 & 2008) and boring in 2024 after using chatGPT as my personal knowledge chatBot for awhile.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#156

Post by testplzignore » Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 5:35 AM UTC

A nuclear bomb will be detonated somewhere other than North Korea.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#157

Post by Lordarminius » Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 5:38 AM UTC

Imustaskforhelp wrote: post #147

benjaminwootton wrote: post #112

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think you’d need an almighty market rally for some of these. For the first trillionaire we’d need to see Tesla double and the market would need to be going bananas for Bitcoin to 2x. Remember 2024 has been a monster year in the markets and they just indicated they are slowing down the rate cuts.

I know right , I think he might be too bullish on bitcoin for it to double , though I may be wrong but it just feels like there would be swings because I still believe that there is no use of bitcoin , Its just that its the one which started these coins and there could be better one for use cases , maybe like IDK monero for real anonymous transactions , but even then these are more of a sidekick thing which I don't t…

>I like index funds so much , that everything else feels a time / effort waste even though I am aspiring to be a programmer , maybe that's partially why I don't see much reason in crypto.

Crypto is the future of money and finance. If you are aspiring to become a programmer you should internalize this and get in.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#158

Post by linebeck » Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 5:40 AM UTC

Blue Origin's New Glenn achieves successful booster recovery and payload to orbit delivery. Initially this is seen as huge win and they emerge as potential challengers to SpaceX, however manufacturing issues with BE-4 engines and questions about the design choice of New Glenn's massive 7m fairing (when satellites are converging towards smaller, more compact designs) will cause speculation for their product market fit.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#159

Post by Lordarminius » Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 5:41 AM UTC

abetusk wrote: post #108

* Solar energy will account for around 8% (give or take 1%?) of the worlds energy usage * We'll see the worlds first trillionaire * Bitcoin will reach $200k+, and remain largely stable around that price, at the end of 2025 * Generative AI for music will continue to improve substantially. I have a lack of imagination, but maybe something like on demand streaming services, maybe targeted to niche music genres (lo-fi, e…

* Bitcoin is on a trajectory to reach 200k and it will if we get a strong bull season. However the elephant in the room is the House of Cards that is the US financial system. It appears primed to go poof!

* Solar and LLM's will bloom.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#160

Post by IAmGraydon » Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 5:43 AM UTC

Inflation will begin to rise again

The Federal Reserve will eventually be forced to raise rates again

The market will have a severe correction

Trump will blame everything on the Federal Reserve and will move to limit its power to control monetary policy or disassemble it all together.