I'd say there must be an [Ask HN: Predictions for 2026] at the end of 2025.
edit: wrong math.
Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?
81–90 of 620 posts
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?
#82With anti-vaxers taking over the major health agencies, infectious diseases in children are going to explode.
[flagged]
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?
#83Only two market related predictions:
- Musk will leave the Trump team before the end of the year, this will cause Tesla to crash, and that will cause the whole market to crash. It should time well with the delayed crash after interest rate stabilization that has repeated multiple times in the past.
- Gamestop MOASS will not happen in 2025.
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?
#84Given the hype in AI and crypto, I unfortunately predict that there will be widespread layoffs in 2025. Usually I had a habit of getting my predictions on point, now I hope this prediction is wrong since we all know most predictions in this thread will be wrong; just like last year.
This is actually relieving. People are very pessimistic itt (lol see the top comment for the past year https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38777115 ).
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?
#85"Hybrid WW3" continues. Russia advances most everywhere in the proxy politics space (perhaps paradoxically except Syria.) Western economies continue on their troll-induced march to self-implosion. The defamation attacks on their Comparative Advantage industries intensify, particularly: - Non-Musk Big Tech / AI - Non-Musk aerospace (=> Boeing) - Wall Street / non-crypto finance - Non-Musk automotive - Hollywood Immigr…
How do you mention geopolitics and a potential WW3 without mentioning the Middle East and Israel?
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?
#86With anti-vaxers taking over the major health agencies, infectious diseases in children are going to explode.
Food (supply chain) and supplement safety will tank too.
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?
#87Debt chickens will come home to roost and once the bond interest/return death spiral starts it will be very difficult to break. Interest payments are already #3 in the national budget.
This 100%.
The monstrous debt storm just over the horizon that most people can't see (or refuse to acknowledge) will hit and will hit hard. The Fed won't be able to restrain or lessen it with policies and blunt instruments at their disposal.
Over the last 4 months I've moved most of my investments to gold, trading cards, BTC, wine, land and rare earth.
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?
#88Smart home category will heat up.
Can you please elaborate on your position? In what context?
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?
#891) Companies will develop many specialized LLMs linked via a router-like app that determines the best LLM to perform your request. This will yield better results without requiring an AGI. It might even be good enough to replace a specialized information tech job. 2) The cost of a line of code will continue to drop. A Moore's like law is coming/here for code. 3) Trade jobs will start to become what code jobs were in t…
When all knowledge workers and creatives in the US are out of jobs in 2 years because of AI, those trade jobs aren't going to pay well because no one's going to have any money to pay for any work. No new houses being built, no expensive kitchen remodels, etc.
Do you know just recently there was no internet or computers and there were still high paying jobs for smart people?
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?
#90Earlier quoted context omitted.
He means via trendline prediction.
Yes, on the basis of https://www.pymnts.com/artificial-intelligence-2/2024/ai-com...
Those are VC investments, nothing new to see here. They have all the incentives to ride the AI hype cycle, grow those investments and extract as much value from them as they can. Just as they've done before with other cycles as Big Data, Metaverse, Crypto/DeFi, etc.
Think about it, how many practically identical AI IDEs/editors are sponsored by YC alone? They're just hoping one of all those projects stick along enough to cash at least something in.
The big question is about trends in AI investment and usage from "old" corporations, SMBs and common people. Those will indicate if the world is really trusting the tech.