Hacker News Board Hacker News, browsed like a classic message board
Live data from Hacker News

Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

news.ycombinator.com

Post reply on HN
Print view View original

121–130 of 620 posts

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#121

Post by esperent »

quantisan wrote: post #72

Previous years: 2024: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38777115 (the rest of this list is copied from https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38779963 ) 2023: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34125628 2022: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29746236 2021: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25594068 2020: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21802596 2019: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18753859 2018:…

There's a second 2024 thread here:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38614465

Reading through the two 2024 threads I'm struck that most predictions a) were completely wrong b) reflected more what people wanted to happen rather than what was likely.

Edit: now that I've read through this thread I'll add c) were much more hopeful than this year's predictions.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#122

Post by mikewarot »

Cold fusion turns out to part of the physics repressed since the 1950s, and progress begins the path to give everyone their own personal megawatt of clean energy.

Disclosure actually happens, and it turns out we're not alone in the Universe.

BitGrid turns out to be the most efficient way to bring Petaflops to the masses, it's then disappeared as "born secret" and you never hear of it again.

Someone figures out an effective algorithm for simulating a quantum computer in real time at any scale, again "Born Secret" and it disappears.

H1N5 (Bird flu?) takes hold in the human population, millions die.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#123

Post by ks2048 »

paulpauper wrote: post #36

Stocks keep going up Trump inaugurated without any incident 2 more mass shootings Advances in LLM and other Ai US economy keeps growing and outperforming rest of world.

"2 more mass shootings"? There were 488 in the US in 2024. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-41488081

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#127

Post by abetusk »

benjaminwootton wrote: post #112
abetusk wrote: post #108

* Solar energy will account for around 8% (give or take 1%?) of the worlds energy usage * We'll see the worlds first trillionaire * Bitcoin will reach $200k+, and remain largely stable around that price, at the end of 2025 * Generative AI for music will continue to improve substantially. I have a lack of imagination, but maybe something like on demand streaming services, maybe targeted to niche music genres (lo-fi, e…

I think you’d need an almighty market rally for some of these. For the first trillionaire we’d need to see Tesla double and the market would need to be going bananas for Bitcoin to 2x. Remember 2024 has been a monster year in the markets and they just indicated they are slowing down the rate cuts.

Musk's net worth was $137B in 2022, $270B in 2023 and now estimated to be $400B. $1T is a bit of an extravagant prediction but it's within the realm of possibility. And it might not be him.

Bitcoin was around $43k at the end of 2023 now at approximately $100k.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#128

Post by hahn-kev »

thepuppet33r wrote: post #66
CubsFan1060 wrote: post #11

There are even more restrictions aimed at stopping kids using social media. Restrictions on phone use in schools, who can sign up for social media, etc.. Additionally, that it'll eventually prove to be a wild success, with significant benefit to kids. On the darker side, the same technologies and restrictions will be applied in various ways to adults (similar to the porn verification laws), which will have significan…

I'm still not sure how they plan to enforce this. Even now, I see an age verification popup on both illicit sites and even sites I feel are innocuous. But I can just click that I'm old enough to move on. If the social media companies are only trying to shift blame, this makes sense. They're not liable if the customer lies. But if that loophole is closed, the only way to enforce age approved sites would be a global id…

Airbnb has a similar kind of verification (which makes a lot of sense in their business). It's a pain but it would obviously not be hard to adapt it to Facebook. But as for what to do for existing accounts? That's where it gets hard. It would probably cut down on spam too though. But yeah the privacy issues are a huge problem.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#129

Post by mrbungie »

OutOfHere wrote: post #109
mrbungie wrote: post #90

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Those are VC investments, nothing new to see here. They have all the incentives to ride the AI hype cycle, grow those investments and extract as much value from them as they can. Just as they've done before with other cycles as Big Data, Metaverse, Crypto/DeFi, etc. Think about it, how many practically identical AI IDEs/editors are sponsored by YC alone? They're just hoping one of all those projects stick along enoug…

> The big question is about trends in AI investment and usage from "old" corporations, SMBs and common people. These are only just getting started, from the large corps down. There is a decade of work ahead for them even if the AI tech stopped maturing right now.

I dunno, I work at a big old corp (finance/fintech industry) with a solid foundation in Data & Analytics, and still things are moving slowly. Not that much high of a hype in the C-level, maybe because sellers are not selling that well due to not really knowing how to extract value from (Gen)AI. Depending on the provider or consulting partner, sometimes they just don't know how to promote its benefits.

Confidence is slowly building up but still is very far from the hype levels I saw in the middle to late Big Data (2015-2017) era.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#130

Post by uncomplexity_ »

Gigacore wrote: post #124

Sora and similar video generating models will mark the beginning of YouTube like era.

- the video watermarking will be interesting here, i wonder how ai companies and socmed companies will tolerate and punish each other on these things.

- lots of new creators on this market too, particularly those with no studio setup but better creativity and imagination. there is still cost of entry of course, need $, but it's now less.

- i wonder how each audience will react to this, from children, to teens, to adults. now that content creators are desaturated, i think it's content consumers that will be saturated.

Post reply on HN