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Sam and Greg's response to OpenAI Safety researcher claims

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Re: Sam and Greg's response to OpenAI Safety researcher claims

#21
post #8

Any one noticed how Sam sometimes intentionally tries to attack his own work? For example, he has said GPT-2 was very bad, GPT-3 was bad, and GPT-4 is okay. He also fed the AI doomers by talking about AGI dangers and how the world needs to watch out for a future AI catastrophe. He just gives off the vibe of someone trying to act humble but I don't know how much of it is just an act and how much is real. I've never se…

He’s doing the Elon Musk “I’m not like the other tech CEOs” thing. It’s proven to be very effective in the social media age. It doesn’t matter how much he seems to be dissing his own work when the capabilities speak for themselves.

Re: Sam and Greg's response to OpenAI Safety researcher claims

#23
post #20
post #16

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think this perspective is probably only true for 0.001% of people that actually follow Sam closely and are not optimistic about AGI and like to throw their opinions around. The superficial stuff. The rest don’t care to even know who Sam is and don’t care to assume motive. It’s very likely they’ll bounce back. I’d rather OpenAI continue to innovate and push the industry forward as they have been. Haven’t seen much o…

> Haven’t seen much of that from Microsoft Microsoft is the de facto controlling shareholder in OpenAI. They provide all the money, compute, and backing, and have full access to the models. If OpenAI collapsed tomorrow, Microsoft would absorb its key employees (as they almost did during the board debacle) and everything would continue under the Microsoft umbrella. “OpenAI” is just a shinier name for work that is bein…

The money and compute is not the innovation. The LLM models and associated tools are, which is work by OpenAI employees and teams, not Microsoft employees/teams.

Re: Sam and Greg's response to OpenAI Safety researcher claims

#24
post #8

Any one noticed how Sam sometimes intentionally tries to attack his own work? For example, he has said GPT-2 was very bad, GPT-3 was bad, and GPT-4 is okay. He also fed the AI doomers by talking about AGI dangers and how the world needs to watch out for a future AI catastrophe. He just gives off the vibe of someone trying to act humble but I don't know how much of it is just an act and how much is real. I've never se…

He is and was head of a non-profit research organization. They now have a very successful for-profit subsidiary, but that takes time to trickle down into differences in what you say.

Re: Sam and Greg's response to OpenAI Safety researcher claims

#25
post #21
post #8

Any one noticed how Sam sometimes intentionally tries to attack his own work? For example, he has said GPT-2 was very bad, GPT-3 was bad, and GPT-4 is okay. He also fed the AI doomers by talking about AGI dangers and how the world needs to watch out for a future AI catastrophe. He just gives off the vibe of someone trying to act humble but I don't know how much of it is just an act and how much is real. I've never se…

He’s doing the Elon Musk “I’m not like the other tech CEOs” thing. It’s proven to be very effective in the social media age. It doesn’t matter how much he seems to be dissing his own work when the capabilities speak for themselves.

Nowadays I almost feel like Godwin's law needs an Elon Musk spinoff.

Re: Sam and Greg's response to OpenAI Safety researcher claims

#27

Why do we give this people credit by giving for granted that AGI is somehow magically around the corner? It is not, and everyone’s delusional.

You definitely don't have a basis to make such a claim. It very well might not be - but it seems silly to be certain that it is not given the increase in capabilities.

People who bet on scaling in 2018 (which is really when these bets were starting to be made) were the minority then and have consistently proven the naysayers incorrect for 6 years now. Only now are we even close to reaching opinion parity on this.

Re: Sam and Greg's response to OpenAI Safety researcher claims

#28

Seems like we need people to start posting mirrors of X content, the same way we post archive links for Washington Post and other firewalled articles

You are not missing a single useful thing when a corporate robot speaks. Its like hoping mindless parasites start making music.

Besides all messaging is directed not at the plebs, but at the elite (those who own everything) signalling a simple thing - don't worry - what ever flares up we are on top of things - we will firefight to death for you, so you just have to sit back on your fat ass and watch your net worth multiply on a cool dashboard - we will pander 24x7 - distract/bribe/lobby/suck up limited attention - your cash is safe with us - keep sending us more so no one can compete with our "free" shit and we can achieve market capture asap.

The day someone finds a way to kill the parasites is the day you have to pay attention. Until then nothing to see other than the host getting drained.

Re: Sam and Greg's response to OpenAI Safety researcher claims

#29

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I mean you have to think the people who are building it know a lot more than you do. If they are concerned so much so that they quitting and forfeiting millions of dollars there should be reason to be concerned.

Not necessarily. There are plenty of reasonable perspectives on the current attitudes towards AI safety. Assuming that current employees have a secret they’re not sharing about what’s around the corner is just one of many reasonable possibilities.

If there are plenty of reasonable possibilities, then it seems like certainty is misplaced

Re: Sam and Greg's response to OpenAI Safety researcher claims

#30
post #23
post #20

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Haven’t seen much of that from Microsoft Microsoft is the de facto controlling shareholder in OpenAI. They provide all the money, compute, and backing, and have full access to the models. If OpenAI collapsed tomorrow, Microsoft would absorb its key employees (as they almost did during the board debacle) and everything would continue under the Microsoft umbrella. “OpenAI” is just a shinier name for work that is bein…

The money and compute is not the innovation. The LLM models and associated tools are, which is work by OpenAI employees and teams, not Microsoft employees/teams.

In that vein, I'd say that most of the LLM research was done at Google. OpenAI productized faster.
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