Can someone explain something - Assume for a moment Hans did not cheat (aside from the times he admitted to cheating). In the scenario where he did not cheat - how amazing is his performance? I.e. beating Magnus, Elo rating, etc. I know chess.com did an analysis, which I've read, but I'm hoping someone more impartial could explain it. In the scenario where he did not cheat, is he really on a Bobby Fischer-like ascend…
Not amazing at all. It’s a fairly standard performance which is why it’s very dubious he cheated OTB. The chess.com report has to stretch the truth considerably to try to imply there is something fishy OTB. Magnus was just playing aggressively to score against a weaker opponent and had a bad day.
His performance ramp up is not particularly impressive. He played less tournaments that people his age four years ago and his rating went up towards competitive GM level when he started seriously playing. That’s a typical trajectory for a young pro-player. To be clear, we are not talking about a Fischer-like, world champion contender path here.