Earlier quoted context omitted.
This is the case with most journalism, no? Here we have a well respected journalist with a solid track record claiming that they trust their source. Doesn’t mean it’s necessarily true, but certainly lends credibility.
It is similar. I wouldn’t take at face value a journalist saying “this is what an FSB operative says, trust me”. Leaks from “senior anonymous official” are dozen a penny. Journalists typically indicate how they verified the provenance of leaks they publish, and hopefully keep the unverifiable stuff off their pages. As for the guy’s track record... this sounds like a niche source. Some fairly small slither of the popu…
Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst
261–270 of 275 posts
Re: Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst
#262It could just be my ignorance, but is world hunger really as inevitable as they say. Couldn't other countries step up production or tap into their grain reserves? >World hunger is unavoidable... I can't tell you what the higher ups were thinking when they decided to go through with this operation
Imo, chances are, it is yet again bad analysis. Regardless of whether this is trolls writing or not. Prices of food will go up tho.
Re: Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst
#263Re: Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst
#264Re: Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst
#265It was a tense week, but Russia has lost the war. They can drag it out, but ultimately victory will go to Ukraine. The reasons for this are subtle but obvious. The Russian military machine can't operate outside of Russia. They have no way of transporting fuel, ammunition, food, and other supplies to the front lies. This means that their effective operational capabilities are limited to five days. It's been a hobby of…
What I don't understand, though: surely they can not be so incompetent as to having forgotten that they need fuel? If all success hinged on the airport, then there should have been some plan B in case of losing the airport?
https://warontherocks.com/2021/11/feeding-the-bear-a-closer-...
Re: Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst
#266Earlier quoted context omitted.
As mentioned a lot of places, Ukraine psy ops aren't as long. Longer = more chances for mistakes. This has been vouched for by multiple people with contacts in the FSB who all say this is most likely genuine. One of the people to vouch for it is a Bellingcat employee. It also mentioned a false flag op to make Ukraine look like it's been developing nuclear weapons. News just broke of that today from Russian media, ent…
when was the last time bellingcat published anything that was not in favour of the western spin? Perhaps the houthi drone strike, but even then you could view it as downplaying houthi's capabilities. The claimed "fact" that bellingcat somehow has FSB contacts that are willing to verify material seems like even bigger stretch.
Re: Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst
#267It “smells right” to a Western audience, but seems a little too good to be true. Right now objective #1 for Ukraine is to get NATO to implement a no-fly zone. NATO are reluctant because of the risk of escalating into a direct war with nuclear-armed Russia. The payload of this letter is the claim that the Russian nuclear deterrent is in a state of disrepair, or that cooler heads will prevent it being used. And thus if…
NATO is never going to establish a no fly zone over Ukraine. Anyone who thinks that they are is living in a dream world.
https://edition.cnn.com/europe/live-news/ukraine-russia-puti...
Re: Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst
#268Earlier quoted context omitted.
NATO is never going to establish a no fly zone over Ukraine. Anyone who thinks that they are is living in a dream world.
Yeah, this guy has definitely been living in a dream world for some time: https://edition.cnn.com/europe/live-news/ukraine-russia-puti...
Re: Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst
#269Reminds me of some of the Qanon greentext posts; especially "the biden HQ is falling apart we know the arrests will begin tomorrow".
Re: Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst
#270It is unfortunte that discussion about the Ukraine war is so absent from HN. I understand that it is a complex topic that may drown HN's real purpose, but the HN readership use to have really insightful takes on most topics.
Of course these perceptions are all relative, which is why "most discussed topic" can still feel "absent from HN".