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Defund the Police meets the crime wave

bariweiss.substack.com

341–350 of 365 posts

Re: Defund the Police meets the crime wave

#341
post #301

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"If police as a concept didn't exist already, no one would create it." Is there any evidence of that? Seems there are quite a few who support them as-is and many more who want to see minor reforms. What do you mean by quality of life problems? How do we plan to staff in that model given police response time already averages 5 minutes (would it then be 15, or would we have 3x the cost to fill 3x the positions)?

> Is there any evidence of that? How could there be any evidence of that? > Seems there are quite a few who support them as-is and many more who want to see minor reforms. Sure, that's the not the same thing. Many people reflexively back the police because they perceive themselves as benefitting from the status quo or otherwise have it as part of their socio-political identity. Some people back the police because the…

"How could there be any evidence of that?"

Studies, surveys, anything at all to back up your claim. Sounds like there isn't (use of absolutes in your statement was probably the problem).

"Non-life threatening situations that have absolutely no need for someone with a gun to respond."

Depends on one's perspective and a bunch of other factors. You might be surprised about how many people carry guns in various professions (medical workers, mental health worker, various first responders, the general public, etc). The vast majority of people never have to fire their weapon. Most never even have to use their weapon. It's utility isn't solely based on being fired.

"In the hypothetical situation where we have all of these problems, but we don't have the police and never had, do you honestly think we'd assign all of these duties to one position?"

Yes, mostly due to staffing issues like response time and cost, which is something you didn't really addresses in your answer. You also mention things like domestic violence, which is actually one of the most high risk calls you can get.

You talk about armed personnel being more expensive. That's not exactly true. People become expensive based on the level of training they need/have. A gun is a part of that, but so are many other things like mental health training. You could still use police as responders for mental health issues with some level of training while waiting for existing social workers or medical professionals to arrive. Even under the model of using another type of person police likely have to show up in case things turn violent anyways.

"The police are unqualified to handle most of the calls they are called out to."

How so? Or is this another case of using the wrong words (most or unqualified)? If it's a matter of training, it may be cheaper to provide police with additional training rather than hire additional forces an incur all that overhead of benefits etc. The three things you mentioned were quality of life, violent situations, and mental health issues. You seem to accept that violent situations require police response, so would be qualified for that. Although there are numerous situations in the other two categories that could quickly turn violent an would likely require police presence even if they are not the sole responders. It sounds like the quality of life stuff are generally easy tasks that police are qualified to handle (you even mention a police report for a stolen bike). The mental health situations depend on the level of training. Relatively few departments have adequate mental health training. I think this could be handled with training on how to approach those situations and talk people down while the social worker or mental health professional arrives.

Re: Defund the Police meets the crime wave

#342
post #326

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It could just be a poorly written article, but I was going off of this. "Apparently, in the Bay Area right now, you can walk up a residential street firing your gun into houses, and you still won’t be able to compete for attention with all of the other sensational crimes."

I did see that, but the author doesn't claim to have been there, or claim that his "nanny" saw the perpetrator, or indeed claim that he was able to find any information about the crime from any other source. So I think he's just guessing about how this sort of thing happens. And, maybe I'm unreasonably reasoning from stereotypes here, but I think maybe a guy named "Leighton Woodhouse," who describes himself as a "pro…

That's certainly possible. I didn't see it mentioned as being a drive-by either. Usually that's treated almost like a buzz word people like to throw in a headline. Either way, I guess the data isn't there for us to ever know.

Re: Defund the Police meets the crime wave

#343

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> What exactly would police have done in any of these situations to prevent them from happening? They would have arrested and imprisoned the perpetrators, who are more than likely to have long criminal histories, after their first offence. People don't often go from zero to armed home invasion. > Progressives in the US want... I'm not sure any of this will work if there's insufficient order as to prevent smash-and-gr…

The US has an incarceration rate nearly 20 times that of Japan.

Why do you think that is? Would you be willing to accept one of the reasons being a culture which is more tolerant of criminal behavior?

Re: Defund the Police meets the crime wave

#344

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If they expect people to be armed, it's much simpler to just kill them before they can mount a reaction. From the point of view of a criminal who already committed crimes sufficient for life imprisonment, that's a very easy choice.

Regardless of what criminal think - armed citizen has much higher chance to survive the attack. If criminals expect people to be armed - they'll move on to easier targets.

> armed citizen has much higher chance to survive the attack.

That’s objectively wrong and goes against every single study on the subject.

The best overall strategy for survival is to be cooperative and not surprise the attacker. Armed victims have a lower chance of survival because, again, they are not expecting the attack. If the victim starts a reaction, they usually get shot.

Re: Defund the Police meets the crime wave

#345

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's been studied extensively and the research overwhelmingly shows that more generous welfare policies are associated with lower levels of crime. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S00472... https://psycnet.apa.org/record/1999-13463-002 https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3509381 https://www.jstor.org/stable/10.1086/655778

I don't know if I'd call 3 regressions and a political piece extensive and overwhelming support.

You haven’t produced anything contrary. Dividing by zero here. ;)

Re: Defund the Police meets the crime wave

#346

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I've been a victim of both violent crime and property theft. Police did nothing. It was pulling teeth just to get them to write up reports so that I could file insurance claims. Police don't prevent crime. Hell, they barely even respond to crime. And cops in our city have criminally generous pensions -- when you count the pension, lots of these high school grads making 100K+/yr. To say nothing of the absurd capital e…

With most crime you rarely need someone to show up who is trained to use guns and kill people because any violent threat is long gone. If I find my truck has been broken into and stuff is stolen, all those abilities are deeply useless to me. I need someone who is good with taking down details and filling out forms and following up and ideally investigating. Up until that leads to the act of actually arresting someone…

> If I find my truck has been broken into and stuff is stolen, all those abilities are deeply useless to me. I need someone who is good with taking down details and filling out forms and following up and ideally investigating.

Which is not at all what our hiring standards at police departments select for.

Re: Defund the Police meets the crime wave

#347
post #301

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Is there any evidence of that? How could there be any evidence of that? > Seems there are quite a few who support them as-is and many more who want to see minor reforms. Sure, that's the not the same thing. Many people reflexively back the police because they perceive themselves as benefitting from the status quo or otherwise have it as part of their socio-political identity. Some people back the police because the…

"How could there be any evidence of that?" Studies, surveys, anything at all to back up your claim. Sounds like there isn't (use of absolutes in your statement was probably the problem). "Non-life threatening situations that have absolutely no need for someone with a gun to respond." Depends on one's perspective and a bunch of other factors. You might be surprised about how many people carry guns in various professio…

> Studies, surveys, anything at all to back up your claim. Sounds like there isn't (use of absolutes in your statement was probably the problem).

Most people are generally capable of reading that as an opinion absolute statement.

Like, if I said 'Casino Royale is the best James Bond movie of the Daniel Craig era' that's an absolute statement but the reader can intuitively understand that its not going to be objectively provable and that it's clear its an opinion.

Now, if I said 'It's a fact that....' it'd be fair to ask for evidence. But I didn't.

> Depends on one's perspective and a bunch of other factors. You might be surprised about how many people carry guns in various professions (medical workers, mental health worker, various first responders, the general public, etc). The vast majority of people never have to fire their weapon. Most never even have to use their weapon. It's utility isn't solely based on being fired.

The norm in most of the world is that unarmed people respond to most issues. If you think mental health workers are carrying guns on the job, you are just extremely uninformed on this topic.

>You talk about armed personnel being more expensive. That's not exactly true. People become expensive based on the level of training they need/have.

So it is exactly true then isn't it? Not only do you have to pay the increased cost of training and certifying , you actually pay them more hourly too to carry that gun too.

>You could still use police as responders for mental health issues with some level of training while waiting for existing social workers or medical professionals to arrive.

Why would you though? Police have no real training in mental health, the week long classes they take are really not useful. Remember that actual mental health professionals generally need a minimum of six years of education. Why in the world would you want someone with no training and gun to be the first responder to someone having a mental health crisis?

> How so? Or is this another case of using the wrong words

No, they are unqualified

> If it's a matter of training, it may be cheaper to provide police with additional training rather than hire additional forces an incur all that overhead of benefits etc.

It isn't though. Police are by far more expensive than people who are more qualified, which in many ways is sad, but it is what is. The idea that you can train police into being mental health professionals just shows the lack of understanding about what it takes to be a mental health professional. When it comes to lower level calls, why would it be better to send a more expensive employee to handle a call a less expensive can handle? Is that what your work does? Send the most expensive labor possible to handle simple problems?

> ou seem to accept that violent situations require police response, so would be qualified for that.

It's the only thing they are somewhat qualified for, yes. They do need much better training and weed all the 'killology' cops.

> It sounds like the quality of life stuff are generally easy tasks that police are qualified to handle (you even mention a police report for a stolen bike).

Sorry, they are unqualified to handle most of their calls, but that is an example of one where they are overpaid to handle that call.

>The mental health situations depend on the level of training. Relatively few departments have adequate mental health training. I think this could be handled with training on how to approach those situations and talk people down while the social worker or mental health professional arrives.

Mental health is a professional degree. There is no amount of week long trainings that will make police officers good responders to mental health calls.

You of course have spent a lot of time talking about how armed police could do all these jobs, but you really haven't talked about why they should.

What's the point of spending tons of money getting a cop even moderately good at responding to mental health crisis when we could just hire someone who is better trained and cheaper to respond to mental health crisis?

You are locked into this idea that an armed police officer should be the first responder to every issue which gets back to my original point, you want police because that's the law enforcement construct you grew up with. Why in the world would you send an armed person to handle a bicycle report? You want to spend tons of money to try and maintain the status quo, which isn't going to improve things, rather than reallocating money to people who are significantly more qualified.

Re: Defund the Police meets the crime wave

#348

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Walking and spraying multiple houses... I was surprise there was no return fire, then I saw it was CA. Most folks on my street own a gun. First of all, I probably wouldn't have time to wait for cover, make it to my safe, pull a gun, take the safety off, make it to a safe position, aim, and fire before the threat left. But set that aside. No way in hell me or any of my neighbors would return fire at a moving target…

My understanding from the article is that the person was on foot, not in a vehicle. There is risk in any action you take. If they're spraying more houses, nor acting could mean they kill some of your neighbors. There are a lot of variables that were missing just discussing this online.

> the person was on foot

And... what? standing still? People use their feet to MOVE. (Also, drive-bys are so called for reason...)

If I shoot across my street, that bullet is either going into:

1. a (small, and, again, MOVING) human target, or

2. my neighbor's house.

Have you ever shot at a target moving at 6-10+ miles/hour roughly perpendicular to your line of fire? Shit's not easy. If I let off more than one round, odds are high that at least one bullet is going into my neighbor's house.

Oh. And if a bullet is shot into my house, that shit is coming into the house. Or did you think think glass panes/drywall stop bullets? So where the hell am I even going to take cover when exchanging fire?

> There is risk in any action you take

Basement. Lock door. Find cover. Wait. Rule zero of self defense: don't get into gunfights in an open street, and don't depend on drywall as a bulletproof barrier. (Actually, that's not even rule zero because most people aren't stupid enough that it has to be explicitly stated.)

Re: Defund the Police meets the crime wave

#349
post #309
post #303

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Portland is significantly safer than most big cities in red states.

When I'm reading/looking at the news from Portland, "safer" is not the first word that comes to my mind. But in this particular case, what I meant is that Austin government has always been very liberal/left leaning, and considering it a typical representative of Texas would be wrong.

Perhaps you shouldn't form your opinion of the world based on 'news'. I live in Portland and don't feel in danger, and our homicide rate is one of the lowest for a big city in the country.

Re: Defund the Police meets the crime wave

#350
post #309
post #303

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Portland is significantly safer than most big cities in red states.

When I'm reading/looking at the news from Portland, "safer" is not the first word that comes to my mind. But in this particular case, what I meant is that Austin government has always been very liberal/left leaning, and considering it a typical representative of Texas would be wrong.

> When I'm reading/looking at the news...

The filter bubble self-awareness is palpable.

The poster you're responding to is correct. St. Louis, KC, Indianapolis, Cincinnati, Cleveland, Milwaukee, and Nashville are wild places. I feel much safer in Portland than in any of those cities. Especially the ones toward to top of that list. Lots of cities in bright red states are cesspools compared to Portland.

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