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Defund the Police meets the crime wave

bariweiss.substack.com

221–230 of 365 posts

Re: Defund the Police meets the crime wave

#221

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Crime is going up in cities all over the country False. Nearly every crime stat is trending downward.[1] 1. https://www.macrotrends.net/cities/us/ca/san-francisco/crime...

And your link to supporting data is where?

https://www.macrotrends.net/cities/us/ca/san-francisco/crime...

Re: Defund the Police meets the crime wave

#222

I read most of the article, in which the author implies that defunding the police increases crime, and blames the people in charge of Oakland with this crime. Yet I recalled hearing that police budgets in Oakland were steady to up this year, despite the protests. A quick search seems to confirm this: https://www.ktvu.com/news/oakland-didnt-cut-any-money-from-t... >Despite claims to the contrary, the Oakland City Coun…

Many urban police departments are seeing a lot of officers quitting, and having problems filling vacancies. They are down hundreds of positions, and this has the effect of reducing police presence for deterrence, and also lower arrest rates so that more criminals are out on the streets.

There were only 2 city council-members who voted against defunding. Whether or not actual budgets get reduced, urban cops got the message that they are not appreciated, or worse. The good ones can easily get jobs somewhere less stressful and with higher job satisfaction.

Re: Defund the Police meets the crime wave

#223

The knee-jerk reaction of "defund the police" to the power abuses of police officers struck me as deeply weird from the beginning. It made me wonder whether the right NOR the left had any clue left as what the role of a police force in a democracy was actually supposed to be — or whether that battle cry _really_ originated from the same forces trying to split the US society: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/o…

i think knee-jerk is unfair to characterize any sort of reaction that has been brewing for decades, both the problem and proposed solutions.

Re: Defund the Police meets the crime wave

#224

The knee-jerk reaction of "defund the police" to the power abuses of police officers struck me as deeply weird from the beginning. It made me wonder whether the right NOR the left had any clue left as what the role of a police force in a democracy was actually supposed to be — or whether that battle cry _really_ originated from the same forces trying to split the US society: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/o…

I think it’s a justified emotional reaction to injustice. A significant amount of the public exposure police have is extremely negative. Is it clear to anyone barely following along that police are providing value to society?

Here’s a simple example. Portland, OR has had extremely high gun violence this year, like many cities. The public perception is that the police are doing a very poor job handling that, either with bringing people to justice or preventing crime. Now, just a month ago, there was a manhunt near where I live. It seemed like half the force showed up for it, and the reason was that someone allegedly shot at police. It is very difficult to take this in a positive light when it seems the police are only turning up in force when they are threatened, rather than when the public feels unsafe.

I’m not trying to make a claim about what they should or shouldn’t be doing really, I’m just pointing out the severe PR problem the police have created for themselves. And it seems like they continue digging themselves into a hole.

I also think this has less to do with individuals, but it’s clear that the system of policing in place just isn’t working for the community. I don’t think the community will or even has to be experts on what the system should look like. We’re just people who want to feel safe in our city!

But everything about policing seems set up to primarily protect the police (qualified immunity, asset seizure, police unions, lack of accountability from top to bottom, extreme focus on violence as a solution), rather than the public. That’s very concerning.

Anyways, my point is that when average people see a system that isn’t working for them, and don’t really get the “good” that the system may also be doing, of course the reaction is going to be very negative. It just makes sense. And since if you have a very negative view of a system, why would you want to deal with it at all?

And there aren’t clear solutions to the problem! I’d say getting rid of qualified immunity and asset seizure (to an extent) is a start, but that probably requires constitutional changes. And that’s unlikely to get anywhere anytime soon. And police unions seem to prevent local changes as well. If the police aren’t willing to reform themselves despite the very obvious need, it’s no wonder the public is not reacting in a “constructive” way.

Re: Defund the Police meets the crime wave

#225

The police departments can get 100 billion a year and it won't matter when the DA just lets criminals walk after they are arrested. I think that is one of the main factors in the rise of crime and violence. The Waukesha tragedy is a good example of this.

Things like Proposition 47 doesn't help either. [1] [2]

[1] 2014 California Proposition 47: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_California_Proposition_47

[2] It’s Time for Californians to Recognize that Prop. 47 Criminal Justice Reform Failed: https://timesofsandiego.com/opinion/2021/06/16/its-time-for-...

Re: Defund the Police meets the crime wave

#226
post #186

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This same racist narrative existed back before Rap, at one time it was jazz, it’s their nature or culture. Anything to avoid looking more deeply.

Jazz never glorified crime. Big difference here. You are making a false equivalence.

I’m not. It doesn’t matter what jazz is or isn’t. The point is misdirection.

I’m not going to argue that Rap isn’t often talking about crime and violence, but rap is a wide genre and quite a lot of it is not violent. The origins of Rap are quite different than what we have today, you might be interested to learn the history of rap and how/why it changed.

You might also learn about rap and not cherrypick what fits your narrative. You might understand that alot of rap is about the lifestyle individuals feel forced to live and just about their circumstances in general.

This narrative also convieniently ignores the massive audience for pop, gospel and R&B in the same communities you’re discussing as if black people listen to rap and only rap.

Regardless biggest consumers of rap are not black people, but in your analysis only black people are unable to overcome the influence of popular entertainment.

If rap causes black people to commit crime then country music must certainly cause drunk driving and Call of Duty is why we have school shootings.

Re: Defund the Police meets the crime wave

#227

I combined https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_cities_b... and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_mayors_of_the_50_large... (proxy for political party), and found that the top 13 cities with the highest crime rate in that combined data set were democratic. 7 out of 9 republican cities were in the half with the lower crime rate. Interestingly, all 3 cities with independent party mayors were in the l…

If you ignore history this seems like it might be something to look into, that’s until you realize that crime has fallen greatly in the last two to three decades and quite a few of these cities, New York and Los Angeles included had Republican mayors at the start of that time period. NYC crime is way down since Guiliani was mayor. Los Angeles crime is down since Richard Riordan was mayor. So maybe the takeaway is tha…

I think some context is in order.

Giuliani's heavy handedness in dealing with criminals forced the crime to come down in a way. Meaning, police were forced to deal even with the pettiest of crimes. Giuliani banned all sorts of "unsavory" businesses from Times Square. That reduced crime in the area and helped a ton because it showed that a horrible area can be rehabilitated. One year, the subways were gross, smelly, hot, dangerous and covered in graffiti. And the next, I was riding in clean subways at 2am without fearing for my life.

In Los Angeles, with Richard Riordan, his years coincided with California's "3 strikes and you are out" law, which put away lots of habitual criminals. Crime went down everywhere in the state.

Re: Defund the Police meets the crime wave

#228

I read most of the article, in which the author implies that defunding the police increases crime, and blames the people in charge of Oakland with this crime. Yet I recalled hearing that police budgets in Oakland were steady to up this year, despite the protests. A quick search seems to confirm this: https://www.ktvu.com/news/oakland-didnt-cut-any-money-from-t... >Despite claims to the contrary, the Oakland City Coun…

I think it is that the movement itself has caused crime to increase. My friend is a police officer and is moving out of my progressive state to a more conservative one. He told me this is happening in nearly every department. His reasoning was that they use to feel like they were on the side of the community, but in many places it is now the community is opposed to the police. Also they don’t risk certain things beca…

> Also they don’t risk certain things because they might have to use force and they’re worried they’ll be charged with a crime f or doing so, (especially if people riot enough and the DA needs to satisfy them).

It's simple: don't commit crime.

> How do we both protest police brutality when it rears its head, while still treating officers like they’re on the side of the good guys (like most, but not all, are).

Get rid of the bad apples. Simple as that. No more unions and charges for those who decided to cover up instead of reporting malpractice. And liability insurance not paid by the taxpayers.

Re: Defund the Police meets the crime wave

#229

Sorry, but I haven't seen any evidence for a "crime wave" in 2020-2021. FBI stats show a slight uptick in violent crimes. These rates haven't been seen since... gasp ... 2017. If police-civilian interactions really decreased 80% (as quoted in the article), and in exchange violent crime only raised 5.6% [0], personally that shows even dramatic reductions in police presence don't lead to complete "anarchy". I fear, giv…

That data doesn't show 2021. It only goes up to 2020. You don't have to try very hard to find data that supports a massive uptick in violent crime in 2021. Dozens of cities have reported all-time-high murder rates. Even cities like Philedelphia, which was already pretty high to begin with. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/sep/27/us-murder-ra... I don't think it is due to defunding the police, however. As has…

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Re: Defund the Police meets the crime wave

#230
post #12

Walking and spraying multiple houses... I was surprise there was no return fire, then I saw it was CA.

> Walking and spraying multiple houses... I was surprise there was no return fire, then I saw it was CA. Most folks on my street own a gun. First of all, I probably wouldn't have time to wait for cover, make it to my safe, pull a gun, take the safety off, make it to a safe position, aim, and fire before the threat left. But set that aside. No way in hell me or any of my neighbors would return fire at a moving target…

My understanding from the article is that the person was on foot, not in a vehicle. There is risk in any action you take. If they're spraying more houses, nor acting could mean they kill some of your neighbors. There are a lot of variables that were missing just discussing this online.
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