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How death rates from Covid-19 differ between vaccinated and unvaccinated

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Re: How death rates from Covid-19 differ between vaccinated and unvaccinated

#211

I noticed that they're only evaluating the covid-19 death rate. Not the overall death rate. Based on the latest data from England's ONS, in the 10 to 59 year old category, the vaccinated overall death rate is almost twice as high as the unvaccinated death rate

Https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/dataset/deathsbyvaccinationstatusengland

thanks, but the link doesn't work

Re: How death rates from Covid-19 differ between vaccinated and unvaccinated

#212

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is completely wrong—being vaccinated does reduce your likelihood of getting infected (and thus reduces likelihood of infecting others). > In September, unvaccinated persons had a 5.8X risk of testing positive for COVID-19 and a 14X risk of dying from COVID-19 compared to vaccinated persons. Source: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#rates-by-vaccine-s...

The risk of testing positive for covid is conditioned on the probability of being tested in the first place. The CDC guidance skews towards testing unvaccinated people more aggressively, hence the numbers are predictably skewed towards the unvaccinated. Further confounding the issue, vaccination among kids and teenagers is recent, their VE numbers are going to decline over time. Medical research indicates VE against…

Today people self select to get tested unless they have to get care from a hospital or doctor or other work requirement.

Re: How death rates from Covid-19 differ between vaccinated and unvaccinated

#213
post #190
post #92

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>What are the best resources to answer this question? Your physician. Not hacker news.

Your physician if he reads hacker news

Cute response folks. My physician is also my MIL. She is also not sure if boosters are a good idea. Doctors are not all equipped to keep up on the latest research on a rapidly changing topic. If I ask a doctor outside my family I am not likely to get linked to the latest research and an explanation of its quality.

I am absolutely able to read a study and interpret its results. I read the phase 3 trial results for Moderna and was satisfied that it was excellent evidence for getting the vaccine. I’m not yet aware of any booster studies outside of antibody counts post booster. It would be nice to have an idea of how much my risk of Covid drops and for how long, but I’m not sure if we have evidence collected on that yet.

Re: How death rates from Covid-19 differ between vaccinated and unvaccinated

#214

For the irrationally angry throwaway, here you go: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/safety/ad... VAERS (an early warning system that allows unverified reports and requires physicians to report all seemingly related deaths) shows 0.0022% (9,810) of vaccinated individuals in the US died after receiving the vaccine. Generously assuming all those reports can be directly linked to the vaccination (they c…

> that figure is already three orders of magnitude lower than the 1.6% (772,000) I think the interesting ethical/moral/etc debate is what to do for people who are at lower or negligible risk of dying from COVID in the first place. For example, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1191568/reported-deaths-... suggests that <20k people under 40 have died from covid over 2 years. There might be age groups or demographics…

You are doing your math incorrectly. The "0.0022%" number if for all age groups, so if you want to compare appropriately, you use the % for death via covid for all age groups, which is 1.6%. If you want to narrow it to age group, you need to find the death rate in VAERS by age group.

Furthermore, the 0.0022% is undoubtedly a gross exaggeration of death-by-vaccine, as VAERS is designed to capture nearly any result of death after a vaccination, including things like "got hit by a car" because drugs could cause drowsiness, for instance.

In fact, it seems that people that get the vaccine have a reduced chance of dying from non-Covid things.

https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7043e2.htm

Re: How death rates from Covid-19 differ between vaccinated and unvaccinated

#215

Dear HN, should I, a man under 40 get a booster shot? How many months after my second dose should I get it? What are the best resources to answer this question? This information is scary hard to get for someone who wants science, not politics.

Bob Wachter who is the chair of the department of medicine at UCSF says get a booster 6 months after either Pfizer or Moderna. If you got the J&J get a booster after 4 months.

https://profiles.ucsf.edu/robert.wachter

Re: How death rates from Covid-19 differ between vaccinated and unvaccinated

#216

I noticed that they're only evaluating the covid-19 death rate. Not the overall death rate. Based on the latest data from England's ONS, in the 10 to 59 year old category, the vaccinated overall death rate is almost twice as high as the unvaccinated death rate

Https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/dataset/deathsbyvaccinationstatusengland

I'm assuming this should be https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsde....

Can you be more specific with your claim? The age-standardised mortality rate appears to be significantly higher for the unvaccinated population according to your source.

// edit: Sorry, I missed the part where you were talking about a specific age group. This can be explained by [1].

[1]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29323980

Re: How death rates from Covid-19 differ between vaccinated and unvaccinated

#217

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/dataset/deathsbyvaccinationstatusengland

thanks, but the link doesn't work

I found this the data going here https://www.ons.gov.uk/redir/eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9.eyJpbmRleC... but it goes up to the end of september and the rate of the unvaccinated is higher than that of the vaccinated

Re: How death rates from Covid-19 differ between vaccinated and unvaccinated

#218

Isn't their data also showing that Moderna is the most effective vaccine at preventing deaths?

Moderna seems to be slightly more effective but with slightly worse side effects. Dose is the most likely explanation (30µg for Pfizer/Biontech vs 100µg for Moderna).

Re: How death rates from Covid-19 differ between vaccinated and unvaccinated

#219

I'd be genuinely interested if they would provide the death rate for recovered individuals too, as that is something that gets discussed often.

I need this data, too. My 71-year-old father had a mild case last year and is refusing the vaccine.

Re: How death rates from Covid-19 differ between vaccinated and unvaccinated

#220

For the irrationally angry throwaway, here you go: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/safety/ad... VAERS (an early warning system that allows unverified reports and requires physicians to report all seemingly related deaths) shows 0.0022% (9,810) of vaccinated individuals in the US died after receiving the vaccine. Generously assuming all those reports can be directly linked to the vaccination (they c…

I think being generous with these arguments hurts more than helps. The reporting rules are mandatory for COVID-19 vaccines because they were authorized under emergency use.

"Healthcare providers who administer COVID-19 vaccines are required by law to report the following to VAERS" ... "Death" - https://vaers.hhs.gov/reportevent.html

Even someone who dies of a car accident gets recorded as a death. There is no judgement call made as to whether the vaccine caused it at all, it is required by law.

https://wonder.cdc.gov/controller/saved/D8/D159F823

VAERS is a dataset that is meaningless on its own, especially in the case of the COVID-19 vaccine. It is meant to be compared with other datasets to uncover trends which could indicate a problem with the vaccine.

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