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TSMC’s dominance poses risks to the global economy

wsj.com

91–100 of 107 posts

Re: TSMC’s dominance poses risks to the global economy

#91
post #66
post #17

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If Xi considers unification to be his legacy, there is a high risk of invasion.

Wouldn't that make WWIII his legacy?

Maybe, may be not, who is to say...?

It's dangerous exactly because we don't know what will happen.

Re: TSMC’s dominance poses risks to the global economy

#92
TSMC is in the process of installing foundries in both the US and Japan. Imagine where we'd be if they weren't in existence. And how many decades they've been doing their thing. What a stupid assertion around risk. The WSJ should do an article about how the fact that most bicycles are manufactured in Taiwan poses global a risk to public health and transport (or whatever you fit in the blank).

Re: TSMC’s dominance poses risks to the global economy

#93
post #20

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The solution is to stop playing the bullshit game of Taiwan non-recognition, give it a seat in the UN and protect it.

Can a place be recognized as a country by the UN if a Security Council member vetos?

Recognition of a country does not require the security council, a general assembly vote is all that is needed. That said, the UN isn't exactly a body known for it's lawfullness or fidelity to procedure. When the UN General Secretary Ban Ki-moon rejected Taiwan's bid because of resolution 2758, there was no real legal basis for him to do that, but people just went along. Neither is there a "supreme court" of the UN that can settle these disputes, as the ICJ is intended to resolve disputes between two member nations, not disputes between the General Assembly and the Secretary General.

It's best to think of the UN as a meeting place where consensus can form, rather than as a law making body with a well functioning appeal and dispute resolution process for its own deliberations.

Re: TSMC’s dominance poses risks to the global economy

#94
post #82
post #79

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No, they wouldn't deliberately stop selling the product of intact, fully staffed fabs after gaining control of them. But we're not talking about a corporate takeover. We're talking about a naval invasion of a very densely populated and well defended island. That might involve heavy artillery bombardment and prolonged urban combat, maybe a guerilla war and sabotage actions. There is no guarantee that the fabs are stil…

Then what will China get from that? I mean, we're on different political sides, not good vs evil, please acknowledge that.

China's interest in Taiwan has nothing to do with economy.

The CCP and Xi in particular have turned "reunification" into a matter of national and personal pride.

More substantially, they see Taiwanese independance as a threat because it could serve as an example to independance movements in Hong Kong, Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia and probably a few more.

Re: TSMC’s dominance poses risks to the global economy

#95
post #5

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think if there is a U.S. China war over Taiwan we have larger issues.

For one individual not necessarily. Life (often) goes on during war.

If that war happens who knows what the (literal) fallout will look like.

Re: TSMC’s dominance poses risks to the global economy

#96
post #85
post #82

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Then what will China get from that? I mean, we're on different political sides, not good vs evil, please acknowledge that.

> we're on different political sides, not good vs evil One of the sides runs a series of concentration camps. Sells organs from political prisoners, etc. But yes, I suppose it's just politics. Personally, I think genocide is slightly evil, but feel free to disagree.

That's another political campaign, run by a Washington based agency, look that up, they are not even trying to hide that.

If, I mean If, China is evil, wouldn't that make any country not declaring war to China evil too?

Re: TSMC’s dominance poses risks to the global economy

#97
post #86
post #32

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't want to argue if China will "invade" Taiwan. But what make you think China will "cut off the world" IF that happens? That's not how this works, that's not how any of this works.

> what make you think China will "cut off the world" IF that happens? You think leading US chip designers would send their designs to China? The well organized state of industrial espionage by China, is a pretty good reason this won't happen. Furthermore, the rest of the world would be forced to embargo anything related to Taiwan.

Yeah, US tried to use politics to ban Chinese 5G equipments, from recent news, I don't think that's going very well.

Re: TSMC’s dominance poses risks to the global economy

#98
post #94
post #82

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Then what will China get from that? I mean, we're on different political sides, not good vs evil, please acknowledge that.

China's interest in Taiwan has nothing to do with economy. The CCP and Xi in particular have turned "reunification" into a matter of national and personal pride. More substantially, they see Taiwanese independance as a threat because it could serve as an example to independance movements in Hong Kong, Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia and probably a few more.

Yeah, that's basically true, partly though, for example I won't agree to that quotation mark.

And what's wrong with national pride? And in what way do you think waging a war could boost pride? I thought we learnt that after two WWs. You might want to check China's current economy and civilian living status, we are not like some middle east country with nothing to lose, no offense.

Re: TSMC’s dominance poses risks to the global economy

#99
post #96
post #85

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> we're on different political sides, not good vs evil One of the sides runs a series of concentration camps. Sells organs from political prisoners, etc. But yes, I suppose it's just politics. Personally, I think genocide is slightly evil, but feel free to disagree.

That's another political campaign, run by a Washington based agency, look that up, they are not even trying to hide that. If, I mean If, China is evil, wouldn't that make any country not declaring war to China evil too?

> That's another political campaign, run by a Washington based agency

Independent media across the globe and across political spectrums have reported that China has locked away >= 1M people in concentration camps.

Claiming that the Uyghur genocide is made up is just trolling. These things have been documented for years.

And the Uyghur is not the only minority to be persecuted.

Tell me who is the Dalai Lama working for?

> wouldn't that make any country not declaring war to China evil too?

I think you'll have to ask a philosopher, if evil is a transitive property :)

But my two cents is

(1) NO!

(2) War is not the solution.

Honestly, war is very rarely a good solution. Sanctions a political pressure might be better tools.

Re: TSMC’s dominance poses risks to the global economy

#100
post #97
post #86

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> what make you think China will "cut off the world" IF that happens? You think leading US chip designers would send their designs to China? The well organized state of industrial espionage by China, is a pretty good reason this won't happen. Furthermore, the rest of the world would be forced to embargo anything related to Taiwan.

Yeah, US tried to use politics to ban Chinese 5G equipments, from recent news, I don't think that's going very well.

Not sure how that's relevant, 5G is an entirely different topic.

The reason advanced chip factories are located in China is that they are expensive and Chinese authorities can't be trusted.

Adding to that is that sending your chip designs to China, is a sure way to get them stolen.

Lots of companies don't sell the latest tech in China. And don't manufacture in china because their designs would be stolen. This is not a problem for cheap manufacturing, but for high tech stuff it might be...

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