81–90 of 296 posts
Remember (approx. 6 months ago) when we were seriously, unironically worried that all menial labor jobs would be taken by AI? Now we're worried about all the AI jobs disappearing.
A couple years ago Cruise acquired Strobe, a Lidar start-up. It appears these are the people getting laid-off.
Remember (approx. 6 months ago) when we were seriously, unironically worried that all menial labor jobs would be taken by AI? Now we're worried about all the AI jobs disappearing.
Almost 40 percent of those in households making less than $40,000 a year had lost a job in March. Tech sector has had it easy so far.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
There are 7,500,000,000 people in the world. A lot more than 800 of them are good at their jobs.
800 hires a year means ~15 people starting every week. Every one of those 800 positions likely received hundreds of resumes, which needed to be sifted through. Then you need to have calls with each candidate, narrow down the pool further. Then all the onsite rounds. For an initial team of 200 that is an impossible task.
Then the 201 people hire the next 1, and the 202 hire the next one, and so forth.
I feel in the minority in thinking self driving tech will ever be viable. I've worked in computer vision startups and know how powerful the tech can be, but it still can't account with even a fraction of challenging driving conditions. I don't think anything short of general purpose AI could handle it. We are some pretty big discoveries away from general AI.
I also don't think they solve any real transport issues compared to traditional mass transit: https://battlepenguin.com/tech/self-driving-cars-will-not-so...
Earlier quoted context omitted.
I mean, when musk says this he gives data to back it up - that humans manage just fine with visual systems, and that lidar is really expensive.
> when musk says this he gives data to back it up - that humans manage just fine with visual systems What humans do 'just fine' isn't very relevant to self-driving tech. Humans balance just fine as well and yet the state of the art for robots is quite primitive. Airplanes also don't fly like birds. > lidar is really expensive Which, again, is somewhat separate to whether it is effective.
That's the whole point. Full autonomy will never truly happen until computers can do what human brains can with regards to driving. No amount of sensor technology will make up for that fact. It's a software problem, not a hardware problem.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
Almost 40 percent of those in households making less than $40,000 a year had lost a job in March. Tech sector has had it easy so far.
It's going to be a bit weird because a lot of those should come back because the underlying business didn't suddenly become nonviable.
They may have. We don't know when or if things will go back to the way they were before March 2020 and how consumer and employer behavior will change.
For example, maybe movie theaters are completely screwed. Except as a novelty, the big business chains may not survive. Universal Studios is already pushing back on theater release windows and no live-action movies are being filmed right now, and who knows for how long that lasts. Will the public feel safe enough to go back into theaters all at once before theaters run out of money as if nothing happened? I imagine some of those jobs at least are permanently gone.
Employers will probably maintain work from home and cut back on office space. All those jobs that support maintaining offices may not come back either.
I don't think the restaurant business will jump back either, people can't just restart their failed restaurant as if they didn't lose all that money they needed to keep their already slim margin business open before the pandemic.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
I mean, when musk says this he gives data to back it up - that humans manage just fine with visual systems, and that lidar is really expensive.
> when musk says this he gives data to back it up - that humans manage just fine with visual systems What humans do 'just fine' isn't very relevant to self-driving tech. Humans balance just fine as well and yet the state of the art for robots is quite primitive. Airplanes also don't fly like birds. > lidar is really expensive Which, again, is somewhat separate to whether it is effective.
Somewhat, but if lidar was really cheap it wouldn't really matter if it was also not-necessary.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's going to be a bit weird because a lot of those should come back because the underlying business didn't suddenly become nonviable.
> the underlying business didn't suddenly become nonviable They may have. We don't know when or if things will go back to the way they were before March 2020 and how consumer and employer behavior will change. For example, maybe movie theaters are completely screwed. Except as a novelty, the big business chains may not survive. Universal Studios is already pushing back on theater release windows and no live-action mo…