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Department of Commerce has lifted export controls on Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5

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Re: Department of Commerce has lifted export controls on Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5

#711
post #5

Here's a copy of the letter that Commerce sent to Anthropic (note who it'a NOT addressed to...) Source: https://x.com/AndrewCurran_/status/2072103733715194048?s=20 ------- June 30, 2026 Tom Brown Chief Compute Officer Anthropic 548 Market Street San Francisco, CA 94104 Dear Mr. Brown: Since the issuance of my previous letters, dated June 12, 2026 and June 26, 2026, Anthropic has taken steps in close coordination with…

> Among other things, Anthropic has agreed to proactively detect and address security risks associated with the models; to work diligently with the U.S. government on protocols and standards and releases for Mythos, Fable, and future models; and to inform the U.S. government of any malicious activity. How likely is it the resolution was just a direct flow of data on what each Claude user is specifically using Claude…

This is a serious answer, even though it sounds smart-assish:

How likely is it the resolution was money flowing to the correct people?

and a follow-up: How likely is it that the block was put in place just to get that money flowing?

Re: Department of Commerce has lifted export controls on Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5

#712
post #281

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No you don't; it's often overkill to use the SOTA models. People want SOTA because it's shiny, but there are a lot of tasks where it's cheaper and more efficient to use other models.

> but there are a lot of tasks where it's cheaper and more efficient to use other models. Sure… but which ones? How can you know ahead of time? I just did a “simple” upgrade project where both me and the AI kept tripping over dead code, subtle typos, and difficult-to-trace live versus dead code. Many times I used “Medium” thinking I got bitten, but not every time, and I couldn’t predict when. So “Extra high” it was,…

> Sure… but which ones? How can you know ahead of time?

Experience, mostly, and bit of trial-and-error. For code I use SOTA, but for e.g. translations I use Gemini 3.5 flash, for some other use-cases I use Gemma 4.

Re: Department of Commerce has lifted export controls on Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5

#713

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"Fading superpower" is typical EU cope. It may help to be a little bit introspective about why one might want to oppose EU politics, or its leaders, whose "leadership" over the last decade has led to unprecedented migrant, economic, and energy crises, and stalling growth.

Seeing the word 'cope' lobbed out is usually a sure sign a poster is projecting, and so it is here. What exactly is there in the USA's destruction of the economic norms that have always served it, or in the pointless dumping of its hard-won soft power, alienation of its allies, deliberate weakening of its intelligence gatherers, rampant open corruption from its leadership, or in any other of the innumerable harms it'…

"What exactly is there in the USA's destruction of the economic norms that have always served it"

What destruction? US GDP growth has recovered to the pre-COVID trendline while EU lags behind it's already-slow previous pace.

Re: Department of Commerce has lifted export controls on Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5

#714

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Among other things, Anthropic has agreed to proactively detect and address security risks associated with the models; to work diligently with the U.S. government on protocols and standards and releases for Mythos, Fable, and future models; and to inform the U.S. government of any malicious activity. How likely is it the resolution was just a direct flow of data on what each Claude user is specifically using Claude…

This is a serious answer, even though it sounds smart-assish: How likely is it the resolution was money flowing to the correct people? and a follow-up: How likely is it that the block was put in place just to get that money flowing?

Real nice IPO ya got there, it'd be a shame if anything happened to it...

Re: Department of Commerce has lifted export controls on Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5

#715

Fable 5 apparently can't be used for coding? (This is from Anthropic's announcement.) > After a series of productive conversations with the US government, we're redeploying the model with a new set of classifiers to target and block more cybersecurity tasks. In the near term, some routine tasks like coding and debugging will fall back to Opus 4.8. Edit: the above was from their tweet announcement at https://x.com/Ant…

> Fable 5 will be included for up to 50% of weekly usage limits through July 7, after which it will be available via usage credits. > The new classifier also comes at the cost of flagging benign requests more often during routine coding and debugging tasks. Here's Fable 5, the strongest model. Actually try to use it to harden your code and it turns into Opus 4.8. You have seven days to use it, and only half of that t…

Fable 5 is switching into Opus 4.8 for everything I throw at it. It is not worth it Opus 4.8 is good enough for the next couple months. For $17/mo for pro anthropic is still worth it for claude code etc.

Re: Department of Commerce has lifted export controls on Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5

#716

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If they really cared about their image among their user base and wanted to undo a little bit of damage they've already done via various policies and decisions, keeping the limits and duration the same as before the ban (or slightly being more generous with them) would have been a really cheap way for them to do that. Alas...

I hope that their marketing and developer relations teams were already off yesterday, and that they will have better news for us today. OpenAI is doing a much better job on this, offering generous usage limits to users at home. They also hand out usage resets for minor issues, that you can even apply at a time of your choosing.

5.6 isn't available to subscribers at all. "Better" on the optics front because they didn't tease users, but they're not better for subscribers regarding latest model access.

Re: Department of Commerce has lifted export controls on Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5

#717
post #624

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm not sure what you're saying. They spent ages adding guardrails to Mythos. Then they spent ages creating a whole new even more guardrailed version of Mythos called Fable. Then they added tons of classifiers so API requests to Fable would get rejected even if you ask a question like "what is a molecule". They put the thickest layer of bubble wrap around the model of any model in history. And then just today they ma…

I am saying they could have not said anything about it being too dangerous etc. and just released Fable as a new model once the safeguards were in place and Mythos to trusted orgs as they did. Instead they choose to hype for months about having a model that's simply 'too dangerous to release'. In other words, why hype it beforehand instead of just quietly add the safeguards they ended up with anyways and release then…

Because Dario is an ASI doomer and deeply fears the power and danger of hyperintelligent AI and it'd be extremely irresponsible to not warn people "hey, this thing can do things the past models couldn't, and the future models may do it even better".

He was trying to be pro-social.

Re: Department of Commerce has lifted export controls on Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5

#718

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Red hat did it for Linux. Someone needs to do the same for AI. Make money on the implementation and maintenance not the api tokens. Tech companies have gotten fat and Happy on recurring revenue. But they are abusing the trust users have placed in them. I feel a back lash in a way I’ve never experienced. I think AI labs are assuming that if they build and serve intelligence every one will want it. I think the last mon…

I think the problem is whether you're for or against local models, the training strategies etc are roughly the same. > I think the last month has resulted in a lot of people saying “f u I would rather fail in life than serve you”. I agree a lot of people are saying this and doing this but this won't last long. People do not want to suffer or fall behind their peers. At some point not using AI for anything will not be…

The thing the overlords are forgetting is they need customers and users.

You are right that the temptation to use the asymmetric advantage AI gives will be intense. But banks felt that temptation in 2008 in with cheap capital and 40x leverage. Some banks resisted. Which ones do you think survived in 2010? Business and technology moves in cycles. Optimize for longevity and let your competitors go out of business

Re: Department of Commerce has lifted export controls on Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5

#719

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I hope that their marketing and developer relations teams were already off yesterday, and that they will have better news for us today. OpenAI is doing a much better job on this, offering generous usage limits to users at home. They also hand out usage resets for minor issues, that you can even apply at a time of your choosing.

5.6 isn't available to subscribers at all. "Better" on the optics front because they didn't tease users, but they're not better for subscribers regarding latest model access.

It is expected to release next week, and the reason it has not been widely rolled out yet is the US administration, as far as I know.

Re: Department of Commerce has lifted export controls on Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5

#720

Earlier quoted context omitted.

For Ukraine, America has treated them far worse than China, humiliating its leader, buying Russian oil, publicly agreeing with Putin, telling Ukraine to just give up its land and people, charging Ukraine for its support, trying to bend Ukraine over a barrel for mineral rights in exchange for weapons, I could go on. China does what it says it will do. The US lies to your face and does what it wants to. One of these is…

You have a very childish view of the world if you think insulting words is what counts, while ignoring China buying far more Russian oil, China reneging on their memorandum with Ukraine (but somehow "China does what it says it will do"?), the US tariffs on Indian to deter the purchasing of Russian oil, the literal US sanctions on Russian oil, the material ongoing intelligence support, China saying "we can't afford fo…

> There is no point in this conversation, it is pure emotional certainty coupled with a very vacuous understanding of the world you live in. You've been emotionally hijacked by your media consumption.

right back at you, son.

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