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Armageddon Looms over World Chess Champs after Carlsen’s Shocking Decision

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Re: Armageddon Looms over World Chess Champs after Carlsen’s Shocking Decision

#161
post #158

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> So it actually is a draw! (sort of) There's been a tournament of top engines playing out the position after the draw -- I think black (Carlsen) won 11 games and white won 2 games, with the rest draws. So this declaration of the lack of advantage just isn't true. > just take things to the tiebreakers where Carlsen has a significant advantage. But he had a significant advantage on the board, too. The question is the…

Just take a look at their relative rankings though. Caruana may have previously been blitz champion but his current blitz elo is ~170 points lower than Carlsen who iirc is the current blitz champion. I'd like to see that same process repeated for all the other draws from the points of highest advantage and right before the draw too if we're going to be using it to evaluate the decision to draw. Not sure how closely t…

His current low blitz ELO ranking only says that he plays less blitz than Carlsen. Possibly to catch up to Carlsen in the normal rankings, with playing lots of normal tournaments. ELO is not measuring the potential, just the rankings of wins and losses.

Caruana's potential is probably the same Carlsen. One should never underestimate him.

Re: Armageddon Looms over World Chess Champs after Carlsen’s Shocking Decision

#162
post #147

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I remember a lot of bitching over the French national teams wining by the Golden goal in 98 world cup and 2000 European one. And I had forgotten the old term of sudden death.

It was only European cup. World Cup was a very clean 3-0.

Vs Paraguay and Laurent Blanc goal in 1998. My original message wasn't clear, I meant they won two games with golden goals,one during the world cup in 98, and the other for the final in 2000. Basically France profit of the Golden goals in two consecutive major competitions.

Re: Armageddon Looms over World Chess Champs after Carlsen’s Shocking Decision

#163

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This reply borders on incoherent to me. What is best effort if not choosing the course of action you deem gives you the best chance to win? Exhausting yourself and risking a blunder in the final classical match just because other people want to see the spectacle of it? That doesn’t seem like “effort” at all. Why do soccer players make back passes from offensive positions when tied 0-0? You think the coach gives a shi…

Yes, OP is talking about being respected by the chess world, not merely winning the title.

Boy, after today’s results, whoever was defending the idea that Magnus should have abandoned his match strategy to play out a minor advantage in Game 12 must be feeling pretty embarrassed over such a ridiculous point of view.

Re: Armageddon Looms over World Chess Champs after Carlsen’s Shocking Decision

#164
post #161
post #158

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Just take a look at their relative rankings though. Caruana may have previously been blitz champion but his current blitz elo is ~170 points lower than Carlsen who iirc is the current blitz champion. I'd like to see that same process repeated for all the other draws from the points of highest advantage and right before the draw too if we're going to be using it to evaluate the decision to draw. Not sure how closely t…

His current low blitz ELO ranking only says that he plays less blitz than Carlsen. Possibly to catch up to Carlsen in the normal rankings, with playing lots of normal tournaments. ELO is not measuring the potential, just the rankings of wins and losses. Caruana's potential is probably the same Carlsen. One should never underestimate him.

Either way the 3-0 victory for Carlsen seems to support that he is better at rapid than Caruana.

Re: Armageddon Looms over World Chess Champs after Carlsen’s Shocking Decision

#165

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We are a sexually dimorphic species. Physical differences between men and women are not limited to muscle mass.

Citation needed. In lieu of such data, a simpler explanation is that boys are more encouraged to play chess from a young age than girls. This results in more teenage boys playing chess, a deeper talent pool, and thus better top ranked players. This is similar to what is seen in soccer. Even though China has much bigger population than Holland by almost 100x, the number of Chinese kids playing organized soccer is less…

> Citation needed

https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2017/04/study-finds-some-sig...

> “[That previous study] finds no average difference in intelligence, but males were more variable than females,” Ritchie says. “This is why our finding that male participants’ brains were, in most measures, more variable than female participants’ brains is so interesting. It fits with a lot of other evidence that seems to point toward males being more variable physically and mentally.”

So if you’re looking for outliers (such as a chess prodigee), you are more likely to find them in the male population than in the female population.

Your explanation is not simpler by any stretch, it just spares you some cognitive dissonance.

Re: Armageddon Looms over World Chess Champs after Carlsen’s Shocking Decision

#167

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Citation needed. In lieu of such data, a simpler explanation is that boys are more encouraged to play chess from a young age than girls. This results in more teenage boys playing chess, a deeper talent pool, and thus better top ranked players. This is similar to what is seen in soccer. Even though China has much bigger population than Holland by almost 100x, the number of Chinese kids playing organized soccer is less…

> Citation needed https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2017/04/study-finds-some-sig... > “[That previous study] finds no average difference in intelligence, but males were more variable than females,” Ritchie says. “This is why our finding that male participants’ brains were, in most measures, more variable than female participants’ brains is so interesting. It fits with a lot of other evidence that seems to point toward…

Chess prodigies tend to be... the nice word is "encouraged" by their parents/teachers.

Which naturally raises the question of whether they can be manufactured. And, regardless of how you may feel about the ethics of testing that experimentally, László Polgár tested it in order to explore his idea that "geniuses are made, not born". The result of his experiment:

* Oldest daughter Susan (Zsuzsanna) achieved Grandmaster at age 22. Peak rating 2577.

* Middle daughter Sofia (Zsófia) achieved International Master, peak rating 2505.

* Youngest daughter Judit achieved Grandmaster at age 15 years 4 months, at the time youngest person ever to do so. Peak rating 2735, ranked #8 (not "women's #8", worldwide #8).

Re: Armageddon Looms over World Chess Champs after Carlsen’s Shocking Decision

#168
post #164
post #161

Earlier quoted context omitted.

His current low blitz ELO ranking only says that he plays less blitz than Carlsen. Possibly to catch up to Carlsen in the normal rankings, with playing lots of normal tournaments. ELO is not measuring the potential, just the rankings of wins and losses. Caruana's potential is probably the same Carlsen. One should never underestimate him.

Either way the 3-0 victory for Carlsen seems to support that he is better at rapid than Caruana.

Yes, this was a slaughter fest. Saw it live
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