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Greeks Reject Bailout Terms

nytimes.com

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Re: Greeks Reject Bailout Terms

#341

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's a similar issue that we see in the US. There are a number of people (and the entire Constitution) that pushes for state level decisions unless it's absolutely necessary at the Federal level. This approach creates a more unified country because people are able to make their own decisions and live with them. States are able to compete economically. People are able to move within the country to states with policies…

The cognitive dissonance is maddening. It's a little more complicated than simply accusing the other party of cognitive dissonance. There actually is a right answer and a wrong answer to some of these questions. K-12 education, for instance, has no business being a state-level issue. It is grossly unfair if a kid in New York learns about evolution while her cousin in Texas learns that Jesus rode a dinosaur to work. (…

> K-12 education, for instance, has no business being a state-level issue.

This is contentious because there's no constitutional basis at all for the Federal government having any say over education per the 10th Amendment.[1] The Constitution doesn't mention education at all, which means the states should have control. This was mostly the case until the 1980s.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tenth_Amendment_to_the_United_...

Re: Greeks Reject Bailout Terms

#342

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> This approach creates a more unified country because people are able to make their own decisions and live with them. >>I don't know why you would assume that: There's a whole host of tensions that come with decisions made at the state level. Reciprocity is a huge one that comes up semi-frequently (for example with firearm laws). There are and those get to be negotiated and worked out. The tensions arise, such as wi…

> The tensions arise, such as with firearms laws, because states don't see eye to eye on those issues so they get to dictate exactly how things work in their own states That causes some AWFUL problems for people traveling between states, which is incredibly common nowadays because of air travel. Google for the myriad of really terrible stories involving people accidentally traveling to New Jersey with a firearm. In a…

Without quoting the whole thing I'll just reference.

Firearms/Jersey: That is true and it's one of the big reasons that if you are going to transport a firearm you have to know the laws. I'm not arguing that it doesn't have problems.

People disagree about things all the time. People argue about things. The way cities setup laws causes issues and confusion for people, especially travelers. It can be annoying but it's less annoying than having outside parties make those decisions for you without the local residents having a say in the matter.

States/Human Rights: Fair enough. I take no real issue with that outside of a branding/labeling political perspective.

Line: Honestly as often as possible. The line is supposed to be hard, difficult to overcome and argued to a point of undeniable certainty before the Supreme Court or to the point that it gets past both houses of congress AND the president. If something can't be argued convincingly enough to pull that off, it's left up to the states. Framing anything as a human rights issue would depend on backing up an almost total lack of demographic free will in order to do so. That's why a lot of Indian reservations are dry though. The native american population doesn't handle alcohol well (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alcohol_and_Native_Americans). Doesn't mean the whole country shouldn't have it, but it makes complete sense for them to want to ban it locally.

Balance: Federal programs that create an exercise of redistribution are out of the hands of state budget control but the funds are still limited, budgeted and when the money runs out somebody is still left holding the bag.

Issues/Gap: There's a number of issues that go well beyond the drinking age and it usually has to do with aiming a federal monetary firehose at an industry with no regard for the after effects. The Farm Bill is a great example of this because of the disruption that it caused globally and played a huge part in Mexico's farming industry struggles, which had cascade effects eventually helping us get to the immigration issue we have today.

Others revolve around tax policies around businesses and the lack of understanding of how money flows in different areas. Tax policies are huge, especially when talking about business tax policies because the big guys who everybody envisions when talking about taxing the 1% or forcing businesses to provide benefit X can actually afford it. The smaller businesses caught in the middle are the ones that can't and they are your eventual potential competitors. Small businesses employ 2/3 of the people in this country and every tax increase hits them harder than anybody else because most of them are 1 or 2 bad months from going under completely.

We can look at how we got to the medical issues we have today, when the federal government incentivized businesses to provide health insurance and never gave citizens the same ability to simply pay for it directly pretax. That removed insurance from the consumer market and was the first big step in creating the cluster that led to needing an overhaul.

We can look anywhere from student loans and education prices in conjunction with national campaigns that made it undesirable to just learn a trade rather than getting a degree...ANY degree regardless of its ability to help you earn a living. Increase demand, create money out of thin air to pay for it and wonder why prices keep out pacing inflation...

Let's not forget military spending while we're on the subject.

We can look at housing prices and the issues on both sides of the federal isle that led up to creating that debacle.

These are not trivial issues. They are massive economic disruptions that happen when a federal financial firehose is aimed at a problem and they always have consequences.

Right now the TPP is squeaking its way through the system with barely a blip on the radar. That legislation is scary but all anybody on my Facebook feed cares about right now is rainbows and confederate flags - the issues that let people for one reason or another feel better about themselves.

The issues that have serious consequences that involve math, numbers and logical exposition of the worst case scenarios in trade agreements...those are boring. Those are federal. Those are out of reach and we don't immediately FEEL how those affect us. We'll deal with that when we have to.

Just like credit card debt.

Just like the 30 year mortgage that will result in paying more than double the price of the house but we could fit it in the cash flow.

Just like the degree with zero job prospects that we just took on $50,000 worth of debt to get.

Just like how we really stuck it to those greedy businesses owners to get them to give us stuff that we assume they can afford...because after all they own a business and by default, that makes them rich.

Re: Greeks Reject Bailout Terms

#343
post #330

What's most interesting to me in this entire crisis is the moral discourse surrounding debt. More often than not, you'll hear stuff like: "Of course Greece must pay its debt", "You mean to say you can just take money and not pay?", "Why should taxpayers bail Greece out?"... All the while, there is absolute ZERO condemnation for banking entities making risky loans. There is not even a tacit nod towards acknowledging t…

> All the while, there is absolute ZERO condemnation for banking entities making risky loans. There is not even a tacit nod towards acknowledging that if banks make loans that fail, it is their loss to eat. Not sure you really understand the situation. Everything which you said "isn't happening" already happened. There was already a massive haircut on privately held Greek debt (but not the publicly held greek debt),…

Do you have a citation for this? I looked on Google and didn't see any evidence that creditors were asked to take a haircut on Greek debt. In fact this article on cnbc seems to suggest that Europe is resisting any suggestion of a haircut:

http://www.cnbc.com/id/102371294

I could definitely be wrong, just want to know where you're getting your information from.

Re: Greeks Reject Bailout Terms

#344

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's a similar issue that we see in the US. There are a number of people (and the entire Constitution) that pushes for state level decisions unless it's absolutely necessary at the Federal level. This approach creates a more unified country because people are able to make their own decisions and live with them. States are able to compete economically. People are able to move within the country to states with policies…

The cognitive dissonance is maddening. It's a little more complicated than simply accusing the other party of cognitive dissonance. There actually is a right answer and a wrong answer to some of these questions. K-12 education, for instance, has no business being a state-level issue. It is grossly unfair if a kid in New York learns about evolution while her cousin in Texas learns that Jesus rode a dinosaur to work. (…

Are public schools in Texas really teaching anybody that Jesus rode a dinosaur to work...?

For what it's worth, I grew up in South Carolina, went to a Christian school up through 5th grade and grew up in a Southern Baptist Church. At no point during any of this did anybody try to convince me that the world was 10,000 years old. We learned dinosaurs lived 65 million years ago. We learned everything we needed to learn. I now have a masters degree.

This school brainwashing stuff that floats around the internet is a scare tactic at best and an isolated minority of people at worst who actually believe their children aren't going to have internet access one day. Most of the best schools in my area now spend more time focussing on teaching kids HOW to learn effectively and core life skills because there is an assumption that the bulk of the information is a few clicks away.

Somebody teaches a kid a made up story, that kid is eventually going to have Google and question just about everything those people ever told him.

Re: Greeks Reject Bailout Terms

#345
post #100

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The Eurozone loans helped my country (another EU country which went bust in the GFC) recover. They allowed a "soft landing" in correcting government deficits. Of course it entailed new unpopular taxes and cutting government spending but most people are grateful that the country did not have to experience economic Armageddon - unfortunately it looks like Greece is about to experience this.

> hey allowed a "soft landing" in correcting government deficits. Of course it entailed new unpopular taxes and cutting government spending but most people are grateful that the country did not have to experience economic Armageddon - unfortunately it looks like Greece is about to experience this. There isn't a single EU country where 'correcting government deficits' with taxes and spending cuts helped the economy. Y…

So...when the Greeks have no money tomorrow, how do you think that is going to effect their economy? I guess for me the ultimate question to the "no" voters is now what? No one is going to lend Greece money anymore and they have no reserves so basically they are going to have to cut no matter what.

Re: Greeks Reject Bailout Terms

#346
post #330

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> All the while, there is absolute ZERO condemnation for banking entities making risky loans. There is not even a tacit nod towards acknowledging that if banks make loans that fail, it is their loss to eat. Not sure you really understand the situation. Everything which you said "isn't happening" already happened. There was already a massive haircut on privately held Greek debt (but not the publicly held greek debt),…

Do you have a citation for this? I looked on Google and didn't see any evidence that creditors were asked to take a haircut on Greek debt. In fact this article on cnbc seems to suggest that Europe is resisting any suggestion of a haircut: http://www.cnbc.com/id/102371294 I could definitely be wrong, just want to know where you're getting your information from.

From the wikipedia overview[1]:

"A year later, a worsened recession along with a delayed implementation by the Greek government of the agreed conditions in the bailout programme revealed the need for Greece to receive a second bailout worth €130 billion (including a bank recapitalization package worth €48bn), while all private creditors holding Greek government bonds were required at the same time to sign a deal accepting extended maturities, lower interest rates, and a 53.5% face value loss."

When you do the math (the maturity extension and interest rate cuts were steep), the total haircut was 75%+, with the bulk of the losses absorbed by French banks. It got a HUGE amount of press back in 2012—at least in the financial press. Google for "greece", "2012", "bond swap", "haircut", "debt swap", etc., you'll find hundreds of articles. Many of which boiled down to "um, if the troika doesn't take a haircut too, it won't fix the core problem, and we'll be right back here in another 2-3 years". They were right too. :(

Edit: Your link is part of that. All that's left is government held debt, and they STILL insist on avoiding any haircut, just as they have been this entire time. They were happy to see other people lose their money, but by now we're out of people with skin in the game. All that's left is the troika. Their insistence on avoiding a haircut is why everyone else had to have a 75%+ haircut..and why even that wasn't enough.

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greek_government-debt_crisis#2...

Re: Greeks Reject Bailout Terms

#347
post #341

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The cognitive dissonance is maddening. It's a little more complicated than simply accusing the other party of cognitive dissonance. There actually is a right answer and a wrong answer to some of these questions. K-12 education, for instance, has no business being a state-level issue. It is grossly unfair if a kid in New York learns about evolution while her cousin in Texas learns that Jesus rode a dinosaur to work. (…

> K-12 education, for instance, has no business being a state-level issue. This is contentious because there's no constitutional basis at all for the Federal government having any say over education per the 10th Amendment.[1] The Constitution doesn't mention education at all, which means the states should have control. This was mostly the case until the 1980s. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tenth_Amendment_to_the_…

It doesn't mention marriage, either. Just saying.

Re: Greeks Reject Bailout Terms

#348
post #179

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How much research did you do into all the fiscal decisions of the country you live in ? Are you even qualified enough to interpret the result at all ?It seems to me you are asking from the average Joe Greek more than professional actually did. Also "Greece" is not a single entity. Making Greece pay does not mean making the people that created the debt pay - it means taking the available money and you should know that…

Agreed, the people who mismanaged and/or stole the money in previous years are GONE. Why punish the average Joe in Greece? What will it achieve?

The point of democracy is that the people appoint representatives to act on their behalf -- as such, the public is indeed fully responsible for what their politicians do, like it or not, whether an individual voted for them or not.

There is no abdication of responsibility in a democracy and the Greeks should know that better than anyone.

Re: Greeks Reject Bailout Terms

#349

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No, the greeks don't demand more money. They want to make the debt viable, in order to be able to pay it.

I don't understand. Aren't the terms the Greeks are negotiating over additional financing from the EC, ECB, and IMF?

He has a point actually :-) Varoufakis does not accept the 7.2 billion of "aid" under current conditions because he believes that Greece has an insolvency problem and not a liquidity problem.

The current hovernment wants to add at least 30% debt reatructuring (which Germany says it s off the table) and pay back only when reasonable primary surpluss has been achieved.

Re: Greeks Reject Bailout Terms

#350
post #94

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am very pro Euro. But I don't like the fact that a single country in Europe feels that 18 other countries have to pay their debt. These bailouts in the past were signed from the greece government in the best interest of its people. A lot of people make it seem that we (non-greece european) somewhat forced theses agreements onto greece. In fact these bailouts where were unpopular in Germany, because it cost us a lot…

Half-Australian and half-Estonian here; I can only agree with your sentiment. It seems to me that decades of corruption, tax avoidance and financial mismanagement is responsible for the position that Greece is in today, and I don't see why it is necessary for other countries to reward such behaviour with continued support and understanding. You don't like the terms of financial support offered by the EU? Well, maybe…

So what do you think of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_Agreement_on_German_Ext... ?

Perhaps everyone in Germany would be better off still re-paying that 50% that was just removed.

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