My understanding is we haven’t gotten to full Hormuz apocalypse mode because the Chinese have a ton of stockpiles. And the Red Sea has been an option. Those conditions seem to be changing.
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Houthis 'take control' of key island in global shipping route
271–280 of 672 posts
Re: Houthis 'take control' of key island in global shipping route
#272Earlier quoted context omitted.
How exactly would you recommend criticizing the actions of the State of Israel then, without being labeled antisemitic? I'm sick of this equivocation. Nobody is claiming that Jewish people in general manipulated Trump into touching the stove. Some facts: * Netanyahu met with Trump in February to show him a presentation intended to convince him to attack Iran. * Netanyahu convinced Trump that it would be fast and easy…
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Re: Houthis 'take control' of key island in global shipping route
#273I wouldn't be surprised if this got downvoted off the front page in minutes, just like the other story about diesel being at all time highs. There is a well coordinated group here that seems unusually allergic to inconvenient truths.
Yes yes, my tinfoil protected brains thinks the same! Or wait, maybe just flamewar style debates are not so welcome here, so people flag instead have another debate about who is more evil?
Re: Houthis 'take control' of key island in global shipping route
#274Earlier quoted context omitted.
Holy shit. This is really interesting. AI used to impersonate, social media to amplify, and that led to a significant tactical defeat? I don't want to live in interesting times anymore.
They also used Claude in a fairly sophisticated way to design their missile guidance system (PDF, search for GTG-87001). https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/e50be2e51e7695dc4b1366a37a245a...
Re: Houthis 'take control' of key island in global shipping route
#275Earlier quoted context omitted.
It’s in quotation marks because it’s a quotation. The BBC have not independently verified that the Houthis have taken control of the island, they are reporting what a government source has said.
It has nothing to do with verification. They are simply reporting what sources have said: Houthis 'take control' of Perim Island - government source published at 09:00 Houthi rebels have "taken control" of Perim Island in the Bab al-Mandab Strait, according to a source. Earlier, we were reporting that the group had reached the key island. The AFP news agency also says Houthis have "taken over" Perim Island, also refe…
Re: Houthis 'take control' of key island in global shipping route
#276Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's nice to think there was some sort of plan, but the truth is much scarier.
I believe there were pieces of a plan. This global energy shift gambit being one of them. I don’t think there was a unified strategy with contingencies etc though (if there was it certainly wasn’t very good).
Iranians were rioting against the regime, Israel intelligence handed the US a report that the collective "Head" of the Iranian regime will be all together at one place, at one time.
Cut off the head, and the rioters riding high on the win will topple the rest. Coming off of the swift clean victory in Venezuela, and Trumps incredible desire to put feathers in his cap, it was an irresistible proposition.
So he decided to cut off the head, which was successful. The miscalculation however was that the rioters got scared/apathetic rather than motivated. The power vacuum was filled by the same people who were there before. I'm sure Mossad and the CIA were probably on the ground trying to ground swell support, but evidently it didn't happen.
Re: Houthis 'take control' of key island in global shipping route
#277Earlier quoted context omitted.
China is the reason we don’t have 5-6 dollar gas. They literally cut their imports to prevent economic disaster. If they begin buying at regular levels we would be the ones hurting more.
No that's not the only reason. High oil prices affect their economy quite a bit, and much of their imports form what I understand come from the Middle East.
China is essentially the only actor in the market that is able to weather this conflict in marathon fashion.
Re: Houthis 'take control' of key island in global shipping route
#278Earlier quoted context omitted.
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> Iran can't have a nuclear weapon. It's an intolerable premise and if the price to be paid is global oil catastrophe it's a price well worth paying Says you. All other nuclear nations behave (even Pakistan and India, which are at each other throat all the time). What makes you think that Iran won't? It will also have Russia and China keep a lid on them, same as North Korea. And I don't buy the "Iran is different" go…
I'm not a nuclear weapons expert but from what I understand the United States and others are pretty easily able to identify where enriched material comes from. Also we probably have eyes on the material in general and can see where it is being moved. It has to be stored in places, put into a missile, &c.
But if your argument were to be taken to be correct you're also highlighting the problem with the JCPOA. Well, one of them at least.
Re: Houthis 'take control' of key island in global shipping route
#279Earlier quoted context omitted.
lol. The orange man is doing more damage to the USA than China could ever do short of actual war. He is destroying the US militarily, economically and politically. They emphatically support his efforts.
IMO it is a good thing that the USA is no longer paying for (among others): - NATO - Maintaining security on the high seas for other than USA shipping, - tariffs imposed by other countries (yes, other countries have been imposing tariffs for decades): https://wjno.iheart.com/content/2025-03-17-qa-how-many-count... The USA can use the money saved for its own citizens (possibly even lowering their taxes!)
How is that going? Any progress there? Are US citizens richer than they were before?
Re: Houthis 'take control' of key island in global shipping route
#280Earlier quoted context omitted.
How exactly would you recommend criticizing the actions of the State of Israel then, without being labeled antisemitic? I'm sick of this equivocation. Nobody is claiming that Jewish people in general manipulated Trump into touching the stove. Some facts: * Netanyahu met with Trump in February to show him a presentation intended to convince him to attack Iran. * Netanyahu convinced Trump that it would be fast and easy…
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The objection here is to the particular faction in power. Not the existence of the state.