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GPT-6 Astra

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Re: GPT-6 Astra

#802
post #628

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Like, what's the point, if the next AI can do it in 5 seconds? I built a phone app recently, not released to the public, just an idea I had for ages but could never spend the time actually building. Its 100% vibe coded, and took me a few weekends to build... I'm talking a few hours in total. The point I'm making is that you now have the power to create stuff you would never have had the time to build. You can think…

Yes, that's cool and useful. Creating stuff for ourselves, for our own use. But we are social animals, we like sharing. Before it was cool to share an app you made, but now? What's the point of sharing an app, if the other person can make their own, even better suited for their needs, in a few seconds?

indie hacking seems dead-ish because everything can just be cloned instantly, and if you don't have a serious go to market plan with a latent user base you're SOL.

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#803
post #562

OpenAI is killing it now that they are more focused. Killing projects like Sora et al have seen it go from irrelevant to level footing with Anthropic. Sol is so much better than Fable 5. Then we get Astra (yet to use it) few days after Fable 5.1 (which is very impressive). Codex is slightly better than Claude Code. Good on Sam Altman getting back to basics and turning OpenAI around.

> Sol is so much better than Fable 5 I'm genuinely so confused when people say this with a straight face. Are you talking about coding? Desktop use? Prose? Or something else? Sol is a much smaller models and it shows. It often misses the forest for the trees.

I feel like a lot happened this week and people are glazing how ridiculously strong Flash 3.8 is right now compared to Fable/Opus/Sol/Astra.

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#804

OpenAI is killing it now that they are more focused. Killing projects like Sora et al have seen it go from irrelevant to level footing with Anthropic. Sol is so much better than Fable 5. Then we get Astra (yet to use it) few days after Fable 5.1 (which is very impressive). Codex is slightly better than Claude Code. Good on Sam Altman getting back to basics and turning OpenAI around.

Codex is missing a few things that Claude code has had for some time like defined plugin subagents and a few other things. But overall it’s fairly capable. The biggest gripe I have is that codex really restricts context window sizes and compaction leads to a lot of grounding work, and overall codex GPT is too literal in many situations - it’s follows direction slavishly, and when subagent reviewers are used, they ten…

Opus 5 is a genuinely infuriating model. I hate it’s behavior.

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#805

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Watch a chess bot championship here: https://youtu.be/7g-jN3DTkWQ?is=HV3cdcICIRMbswQ3 Then realize LLMs have zero of what anyone would consider intelligence.

I decided to reply to my own comment. In the video above, the initial moves are textbook. Then a position that has never been played is reached. At this point it appears to pattern match against a similar but different board and pattern matches some follow on board. The result is illegal moves and no ability to see checks, captures, threats, tactics. Which is strange because I’m sure it could give general advice abou…

because it wasn't trained to play chess

imagine a hypothetical chess match between:

- an undoubtedly very intelligent person. in the course of their studies, they have read about different chess strategies, openings, etc. but they never actually played the game themselves

- an average person with a year of chess playing experience

who do you think is going to win? of course, you could give the LLM time to think and consider its opponents potential next moves, but this is a computationally expensive way to play the game that doesn't scale

which is all beside the point that chess isn't a very good proxy for general intelligence. there is a correlation, but it's very weak

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#806
post #292

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Take it from the mouth of the creator of ARC-AGI: When we released ARC 3, I got asked, "when do you think a frontier model will saturate it?", and I answered "in about a year, though it depends on how much it gets explicitly targeted" That was 6 months ago, so the progress that Astra represents happened about 2x faster than I anticipated. I think the speed of progress will surprise a lot of people, and what the new m…

I feel like AGI's definition got watered down, and these tests do not cover the original definition, what is your definition and thoughts on aligning with what all of us understood from the original claim? I feel like this test is just helping someone like Sam Altman pretend like he implemented AGI as originally pitched for an IPO when in fact, he has not. Shameful. > AGI is essentially the equivalent of a median hum…

> I feel like AGI's definition got watered down

Typical result of venture capital and too many bag holders unfortunately.

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#807
post #16

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Is the ARC-AGI-3 score with their custom harness? I'm guessing that is what the footnote is for? (per https://openai.com/index/how-two-settings-tripled-our-arc-ag... )

Our responses API harness just means we're using the default settings in ChatGPT and Codex, so it should more accurately reflect real world performance. We didn’t fine-tune the harness to the eval at all. ARC is reporting our score on their official leaderboard here: https://arcprize.org/leaderboard A fair ding is that the comparison with Sol is not apples-to-apples (which we footnoted in the blog), but it's because…

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Re: GPT-6 Astra

#809
post #722
post #336

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Wouldn't "general intelligence" require so much more than scoring well (or even amazingly) on benchmarks? Like what about having some "AGI model" embodied in something (maybe humanoid), and test it by having it step in an assortment of cars and park them. Does bodily-kinesthetic intelligence account for nothing? Humans are intelligent creatures and can dynamically adapt to the physical shape of a variety of vehicles…

This is a big reason why I feel like even though LLMs are _effectively_ AGI in some regard, they also are a hack around what most people figured AGI would look like before the advent of LLMs. Humans can do metacognition, output multimodally at the same time (verbal _and_ physical intelligence go together to produce an expressive face while one talks), have a good sense for what they do and don't know, continuously ta…

Current AI is arguably much more capable of multimodal output than humans. It can produce an incredibly vast variety of audio, images, and video. Humans are limited to producing the sounds we can make with meatflaps in our throats, and contorting various parts of our bodies to produce crude symbols and shapes.

(Very capable!) Embodiment, persistent operation and continuous learning are indeed things that still set us apart from AI. None of those are fundamentally difficult to solve, though.

More importantly, none of those are particularly relevant for being "intelligent": If a criminal threatened to kill your family unless you solve some difficult problem that requires only intelligence and you could choose any single person, animal, or AI to help you with it, which would you choose? Be honest.

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#810

I have nothing to say about the actual model, but unrelated--why do so many of these demos include people buying things autonomously? Even if I did trust an AI to get everything right, it's not like the AI can read my mind. If I was ordering food normally and without AI, I would want more control over the process--looking over the options, prices, thinking about what I really want. People don't know what they really…

That’s exactly the problem I have with all this agent ideas too. Imagine you had a human concierge that is just waiting for your instructions and is as smart or a bit smarter than you. Would you just tell them “plan this holiday for me” or “order this food”? I don’t even trust my friends to get this right, why would I give this to someone else?

I think it depends on what you do for work. I'm not going to ask an agent to book my flight for my vacation to French Polynesia. I want to pick my seat and potentially find a deal making an upgrade worth it, choose an airline, etc.

But my routine business trips in the CONUS with strictly defined booking options... let me just email an agent "Get there by meeting on day A, leave after meeting day B" and have it sort it all out without the drudgery of the corporate travel portal. YES PLEASE!

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