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Agent swarms and the new model economics

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81–90 of 159 posts

Re: Agent swarms and the new model economics

#81
post #53

This is almost a year behind Steve Yegge's first post on beads. Gas Town and Gas City provide orchestration for the swarm. So far I haven't seen a perfect implementation but this idea isn't new.

Everything Steve yegge has done has been trash. That's why nobody is talking about beads or gas town. It was clear even in the beginning that it was a borderline AI-psychosis-fueled trash fire.

Re: Agent swarms and the new model economics

#82
post #55

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Shakespeare-level literature was produced. We are the infinite monkeies, and one was shakespeare.

How much slop you figure Shakespeare produced?

Honestly judging from the volume of his output, a ton.

It’s rare to run into prodigious artists who simply produce a few perfect pieces - as a rule those few magnum opuses are built on a hill of cutting room floor scraps.

Re: Agent swarms and the new model economics

#83

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes and this can be proven because what Anthropic says and does is vastly different They say SaaS is dead and you can vibe code any SaaS using Opus and yet despite having Mythos with them they have to use JS terminal to run Claude Code. Why don't they just vibe code CC? Why doesn't Dario have a 100000 agent swarm to run entirety of Anthropic or at least software department?

They've said for some time that Claude Code is 90% LLM generated code.

Also famously terrible. If not for the walled garden and the fact that anthropic can take away our ability to use custom harnesses any day, I would not be using CC. Given some of the features they add I've also started to suspect that their models are making product decisions. Not necessarily intentionally, but more in the sense that I think their engineers just let their models build and add whatever it feels like is a good idea to the codebase and then they just publish that.

Re: Agent swarms and the new model economics

#84
post #45
post #31

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Even if no Rust code for it was seen during training, an LLM can trivially transpile SQLite's C codebase to Rust on the fly. For example, I just asked ChatGPT to write John Carmack's famous Fast Inverse Square Root algorithm in Erlang, without searching online or thinking, and it transpiled it immediately (while also extracting the knowledge in the same step). SQLite's semantics/code are stored in the middle layers o…

Then you would expect the implementation to be structured the same as SQLite, and having glanced at the result, it looks like at least some things aren't. For example, it seems to use an operator-tree executor rather than SQLite's bytecode interpreter.

To test this hypothesis you would need to look at the initial version before subsequent agents started refactoring it.

Re: Agent swarms and the new model economics

#86

Love to see these crazy kinds of experiments going on. Even if this doesn't 100% work or is prohibitively expensive for now, these are glimpses into the future in the same way people were talking about coding agents in 2023 when we just had tab complete.

It shouldn't be prohibitively expensive because the more you break the work into smaller parts, theoretically the smaller a model can be that completes it.

Therefore your agent swarms don't have to be cutting edge API calls, they can be hosted on clusters of tiny cheap computers with small CPU GPU. For orgs you could basically invest in a local server that has 100s of small computers.

You can use engineers and frontier models to plan and do task subdivision. And then shit that out to the local cluster that's basically handling each small task without knowing what it's supposed to do.

The real issue is the middle. Testing, verifying interconnectivity of mid level abstractions, building that amount of tech debt at such a high rate and actually being aware in any way what it is that you've built.

I think for most MBAs, considering the US and a significant amount of global markets only care about short term market upside, and AI is still in the middle of the hype cycle, that's not a serious issue for anyone who is profit oriented.

It's only a real issue for the losers like you and me who care about sustainability and infrastructure that survives longer than one market hurricane season.

Re: Agent swarms and the new model economics

#87
post #74
post #2

>The browser swarm from earlier this year peaked at roughly 1,000 commits per hour on Git. The new system peaks at around 1,000 commits per second. >To facilitate this rate of activity, we built a new version control system (VCS) from scratch. Throughput was not the only reason to own this layer. Every change in the system passes through the VCS, so it is where collisions first become visible, and several of the coor…

Making a high-throughput revision control system is doable, there have been experiments here on HN with git-in-postgres etc. The question is, what is the actual bottleneck here? I made a VCS for LLM assisted work, bootstrapping it on its own code as it was developed. In fact, if it did not really work, it would not even exist! In my experience, keeping track of things and evaluating them was the bottleneck and I focu…

People often think of tech/business as bottleneck issues ie whats my limiting factor. That's relevant to pre-ai business as humans are relatively self organizing.

The issue with AI is it has no real memory, context, long term reasoning, etc. These are a lot of what we use to determine how well we're doing something as well as why.

The "bottleneck" so to speak with ai is that it will just circularly build junk forever, expand scope infinitely, and just continue building.

At its best it will autobuild your unicorn saas. But on average it's a cancer cluster of ever expanding code with no plan.

The issue with unsupervised AI is that when you increase the throughput you decrease the amount of human supervision. So you have to have some way to deal with that.

If I'm going to give AI a gigantic task that's really complicated and it will probably mess it up 100s of times, how will I compensate for that without constantly looking over it's shoulder?

Re: Agent swarms and the new model economics

#88

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's hard not read such quotes and immediately think of the Infinite Monkey Theorem. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Infinite_monkey_theorem

If at the end Shakespeare-level literature is produced, does it matter whether we arrived there by random keystrokes?

Right. The joke with shakespeares monkeys or borjes library is that you just do that and then filter out the books that match shakespeares works.

If you already know what you want in an infinite library, it is there. If you don't know exactly what you're looking for to the letter, you might not be able to find it.

Re: Agent swarms and the new model economics

#89
post #73

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If at the end Shakespeare-level literature is produced, does it matter whether we arrived there by random keystrokes?

2*128 is the UUID namespace, which is astronomical. That is like 21 letters. Making one sentence of Shakespeare by random search is strictly 0% chance. SHA256 is ~43 letters then. "LLM broke all of cryptography and creates random data to fit a hash" -- are we there yet? Random search does not work at this scale. In all their cases, they played with pre-existing well-studied software, so they had an embedded fitness f…

What embedded fitness fuctions are you thinking of?

Re: Agent swarms and the new model economics

#90
post #87
post #74

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Making a high-throughput revision control system is doable, there have been experiments here on HN with git-in-postgres etc. The question is, what is the actual bottleneck here? I made a VCS for LLM assisted work, bootstrapping it on its own code as it was developed. In fact, if it did not really work, it would not even exist! In my experience, keeping track of things and evaluating them was the bottleneck and I focu…

People often think of tech/business as bottleneck issues ie whats my limiting factor. That's relevant to pre-ai business as humans are relatively self organizing. The issue with AI is it has no real memory, context, long term reasoning, etc. These are a lot of what we use to determine how well we're doing something as well as why. The "bottleneck" so to speak with ai is that it will just circularly build junk forever…

But that's mostly just vanilla models.

Some critical parts of agentic development are literally months old while most mature ones are merely a couple years old.

Critical thinking was the most critical checkpoint for models to reach.

Now its only a matter of time for the right tooling and orchestration to come along. Once agent memory and recall works well, all of those bottlenecks will go away one by one.

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