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John Jumper to join Anthropic

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Re: John Jumper to join Anthropic

#52
post #46
post #19

Anthropic legit builds one the strongest if not the strongest IC team in the history of computational technology. They are insanely stacked on talent, and either we will witness a legendary run, or a new LTCM

why so dramatic? why cant it just be a quietly competent lab, why must it be a dramatic collapse?

> why must it be a dramatic collapse?

Extreme investor desire for return on capital investment, and quickly

Re: John Jumper to join Anthropic

#53
post #40

He will be back at Google after the Anthropic IPO. Seems like everyone here is easily fooled by the Anthropic hype. After the IPO, Anthropic won't be like the daycare it is today. Their main competitors are the chinese labs which are racing all their prices down close to $0.

Can you go into a bit more detail about what exactly it is that you are predicting? This is interesting, and definitely cuts against the grain that the rest of these comments are going with.

[deleted]

Re: John Jumper to join Anthropic

#54

Something spicy must have happened internally at Google. This rapid fire high level attrition isn't just down to the bureaucratic quagmire.

I think its google doing what theve always done, make a great *thing then ignore it. The models are great their agentic harness systems are really poor though, compared to codex cli and claude code cli its a mess.

Re: John Jumper to join Anthropic

#55

Earlier quoted context omitted.

He was leading the development of AlphaFold, the AI system that predicts protein structures for which he got the 2024 Nobel Prize in Chemistry.

I remember that. That was when they realized the deep learning was largely unnecessary, and they could just use their massive compute resources to brute force the problem space. Proving that we would greatly benefit from using our compute resources for science rather than showing ads, and then we just kept showing ads.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Infinite_monkey_theorem

Re: John Jumper to join Anthropic

#56

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>from the looks of it, 3.5 Flash is still better than most models Define "better". I guess it depends on what you're using it for. I use it almost daily as an alternative to google search and it's great for that, but I think it's absolute garbage for coding and reasoning. For questions related to coding, solving Arch Linux and WINE Lutris issues, helping me with MXLinux issues, and wifi issues on an old rooted huawei…

The thing about Gemini is that it never chews on a problem. Claude and GPT will regularly churn on a prompt for 10-15 minutes. I don't think I have ever seen Gemini think for more than a 2 minutes. Google seems more interested in fast models that can quickly turn responses, which kind of fits with a company that needs to serve AI on a mass scale.

It also fits with ad delivery, if that is the route they are going to go with consumer (non-API usage) gemini. Their cash cow is still ads, and will likely remain ads they aren't suddenly going to be come a frontier lab selling access to a model.

Fast answers, using their search as grounding, that can parse keywords and spit out a few ads is where Gemini Flash is going to head. That, and the agentic actions stuff they showed off at I/O with Google shopping, ordering food, etc. Speed is important there.

Re: John Jumper to join Anthropic

#57
Demis Hassabis posted a farewell for John Jumper on X: https://x.com/demishassabis/status/2068002732250640603

> Thanks John for an extraordinary partnership and wonderful collaboration over the past 9 years! What we achieved with AlphaFold changed the world, and showed the field what was possible with AI for science and medicine, lighting the way for how AI can benefit humanity.

Re: John Jumper to join Anthropic

#58
post #19

Anthropic legit builds one the strongest if not the strongest IC team in the history of computational technology. They are insanely stacked on talent, and either we will witness a legendary run, or a new LTCM

I'm starting to get the sense that Anthropic is the company that will fulfill the prophecy laid out in AI 2027.

Re: John Jumper to join Anthropic

#59
post #19

Anthropic legit builds one the strongest if not the strongest IC team in the history of computational technology. They are insanely stacked on talent, and either we will witness a legendary run, or a new LTCM

Apart from Karpathy and now Shazeer and Jumper, who are the other top ICs in their team?

Re: John Jumper to join Anthropic

#60

Earlier quoted context omitted.

He was leading the development of AlphaFold, the AI system that predicts protein structures for which he got the 2024 Nobel Prize in Chemistry.

I remember that. That was when they realized the deep learning was largely unnecessary, and they could just use their massive compute resources to brute force the problem space. Proving that we would greatly benefit from using our compute resources for science rather than showing ads, and then we just kept showing ads.

If AlphaFold really is brute force on known protein problem space, would it then be usable as a model for novel proteins?
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