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John Jumper to join Anthropic

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Re: John Jumper to join Anthropic

#45
post #40

He will be back at Google after the Anthropic IPO. Seems like everyone here is easily fooled by the Anthropic hype. After the IPO, Anthropic won't be like the daycare it is today. Their main competitors are the chinese labs which are racing all their prices down close to $0.

Can you go into a bit more detail about what exactly it is that you are predicting? This is interesting, and definitely cuts against the grain that the rest of these comments are going with.

Re: John Jumper to join Anthropic

#46
post #19

Anthropic legit builds one the strongest if not the strongest IC team in the history of computational technology. They are insanely stacked on talent, and either we will witness a legendary run, or a new LTCM

why so dramatic? why cant it just be a quietly competent lab, why must it be a dramatic collapse?

Re: John Jumper to join Anthropic

#47
post #19

Anthropic legit builds one the strongest if not the strongest IC team in the history of computational technology. They are insanely stacked on talent, and either we will witness a legendary run, or a new LTCM

Google at its peak, as well as Microsoft, had similarly strong teams.

Re: John Jumper to join Anthropic

#48
post #40

He will be back at Google after the Anthropic IPO. Seems like everyone here is easily fooled by the Anthropic hype. After the IPO, Anthropic won't be like the daycare it is today. Their main competitors are the chinese labs which are racing all their prices down close to $0.

Can you go into a bit more detail about what exactly it is that you are predicting? This is interesting, and definitely cuts against the grain that the rest of these comments are going with.

Seems like what Shazeer did with Character AI. He started it and then Google licensed to bring him and some of the team back after some time.

Not a bad playbook. If you’re important to the company, leave and start your own company. Then play the M&A game and you can clean up nicely.

Re: John Jumper to join Anthropic

#49

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Can you go into a bit more detail about what exactly it is that you are predicting? This is interesting, and definitely cuts against the grain that the rest of these comments are going with.

Seems like what Shazeer did with Character AI. He started it and then Google licensed to bring him and some of the team back after some time. Not a bad playbook. If you’re important to the company, leave and start your own company. Then play the M&A game and you can clean up nicely.

I'm just not sure that Google, or anyone for that matter, really has the capital to do that with Anthropic. This is a near trillion dollar company.

Re: John Jumper to join Anthropic

#50
post #40

He will be back at Google after the Anthropic IPO. Seems like everyone here is easily fooled by the Anthropic hype. After the IPO, Anthropic won't be like the daycare it is today. Their main competitors are the chinese labs which are racing all their prices down close to $0.

Can you go into a bit more detail about what exactly it is that you are predicting? This is interesting, and definitely cuts against the grain that the rest of these comments are going with.

A lot depends on whether the z.ai CEO, who just released the first freely-available Opus-class model weights, is blowing smoke when he claims he's less than a year away from achieving Fable-level performance.

If he walks the talk, I really do not understand how either OpenAI or Anthropic is going to justify the twelve-digit valuations they are hoping for. They will just be some people who bought a domain name and rented some GPUs.

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