Earlier quoted context omitted.
Nate Silver wrote a great article in 2010 about why the notion of exit polling itself has a lot of fundamental problems[1]-- among them, the fact that it is extraordinarily difficult to get an truly random sample. [1] http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/11/ten-reasons-why-you-s...
None of which is news. Still the national media had faced those issues and successfully did it for decades. Then their polls stopped working in 2000. Why?
Reddit user captures video of 2012 voting machines altering votes
361–370 of 659 posts
Re: Reddit user captures video of 2012 voting machines altering votes
#362I know that this will remain at the bottom of this thread, because it doesn't have enough conspiracy theory in it, but does anyone really think that this is actual vote tampering ? I mean, why on earth would you tamper with a voting machine so that it stuffs the ballot, but have it update the UI so that the user can see and report the error? This should fall to the way side of failing basic logic, but it doesn't beca…
But what is the other explanation then?
Re: Reddit user captures video of 2012 voting machines altering votes
#363Earlier quoted context omitted.
I agree. Has no one here used a touchscreen on an airplane seat before, it's usually more than one finger width offset...
Re-read the article. The guy tested just for that and it wasn't a case.
Re: Reddit user captures video of 2012 voting machines altering votes
#364Earlier quoted context omitted.
I was not the best civics student.. What is the significance of it being secret ? Being able to verify your vote seems like a pretty simple, good thing ( I would think ).
> What is the significance of it being secret? So that people can't bribe or blackmail you into voting a particular way.
Re: Reddit user captures video of 2012 voting machines altering votes
#365Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Voter ID to discourage minorities, students, elderly Why would that discourage anyone? In slovenia, you are required by law to carry an ID when you turn 18/get voting rights. So there's really no excuse for anyone to not have an id (or driver's licence).
An example: In Texas, a student ID is not good enough to count as a voter ID -- but an NRA member card is. I kid you not. The Simpsons could not have come up with something more absurd. Minorities in the US are way less likely to carry photo ID. I could go on and on. In short, the situation is different than in Slovenia.
Re: Reddit user captures video of 2012 voting machines altering votes
#366Earlier quoted context omitted.
exit polls and voting results have routinely disagreed with each other since 2000. In most countries that would be taken as proof that the election was not fair It's absolutely not proof. It's, at the least, evidence. Exit polls are statistical -- in my dozens of times voting, I've never hit an exit pollster. But if you say "the exit polls disagree with the official numbers, so let's go with the exit polls" you have…
Statistics tells you the odds that the exit poll would disagree by some degree with the actual result. If the odds show, for example, only a 1 in a 100 million chance of it happening, an investigation should take place. That you've never hit an exit pollster doesn't say much, because the odds can be computed with high confidence by polling only a tiny fraction of the voters. Statistics is highly valuable despite not…
Re: Reddit user captures video of 2012 voting machines altering votes
#367This is just the tip of the iceberg, folks. If you're in the U.S. I highly reccomend being a poll worker in a contentious district in a swing state if you ever get the chance. I was in a suburb of Denver last election and saw all kinds of shenanigans, from people pulling fire alarms to clear out the polling places to people walking aaround with laptops "checking voter registration" (actually just lying to people to g…
That's just disturbing. The last time I went to vote I walked to a local school, waited politely in a queue, went and filled in my paper ballot and went home. A couple of people there were monitoring but nobody tried to influence or interrupt or anything. It was very British.
At the polling place, there were quiet conversations and line chatter, yet was very professional and well, British.
Even when I was a poll worker during the 2000 election, it still was decent and honorable proceedings, even if the campaigning was not.
Re: Reddit user captures video of 2012 voting machines altering votes
#368The system here in Minnesota works much better. All ballots are paper ballots that are indelibly marked by voters. My wife and I voted this morning in our busy precinct in Minnesota, where there are some tight statewide contests about constitutional amendments and perhaps the most contested race for our state's House of Representatives of any electoral district in our state. As usual, we voted by marking bubble-shape…
Bringing up the Coleman/Franken election reminds me of my particular pet peeve. When the margin of victory is less than the margin of error, it's impossible to know the will of the people. One hundredth of one percent is not within any reasonable margin of error.
"The greatest value of free elections is in all of the out-of-equilibrium outcomes that, because of the regularity of free elections, never come close to happening."
Re: Reddit user captures video of 2012 voting machines altering votes
#369Earlier quoted context omitted.
>Outside of each location will be people holding signs of all candidates isn't it illegal to campaign within a certain radius of a polling place?
That would be a state-by-state law. There is no such law in Maryland as far as I know.
Re: Reddit user captures video of 2012 voting machines altering votes
#370Earlier quoted context omitted.
Votes changing From Romney to Obama in Colorado http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/11/03/Dozens-of...
http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=4750429