More on this. The Carter Foundation, the only impartial observers who were in Venezuela for the election, and who previously defended Venezuela's election system following Chavez's 2004 win, has called on Maduro's government to release local vote tallies, which apparently it is never going to do: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/31/world/americas/venezuela-...
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Suspicious data pattern in recent Venezuelan election
171–180 of 536 posts
Re: Suspicious data pattern in recent Venezuelan election
#172To play the devil's advocate: It's possible that the person making the announcement was only given the rounded percentages and the total number of votes, and then "created" the number of votes per candidate to fit to the format of the announcement. That would be sloppy, but not malicious.
I've never seen any preliminary results announcing numbers of votes - it's always rounded up percentages with 1 or 2 decimals.
It's 2024; I'd consider it a minimum level of government competency if anyone wants to be called a democratic country.
Re: Suspicious data pattern in recent Venezuelan election
#173This is a bit of an aside, but as a geopolitical news junkie, what I keep searching on Google News is: Venezuela election Lula How his government reacts is going to be a major factor. Given Lula's past dedication to Chavezism, his post-election reaction has made me hopeful for change in Venezuela. What is directly related to TFA is that both the USA and Brazil want to see the voting data. https://www.reuters.com/worl…
> Given Lula's past dedication to (sic) Chavezism Brazil has quasi-presidential system, but it's Chamber of Deputies has the actual power. In the 2000s, Lula's PT was the largest party (usually around 20-25% of the total seats) and could as such strongarm smaller leftist parties into a governing coalition with an absolute majority. Lula won the presidential election in 2022, but his party PT was the 3rd largest, and…
Just to point for anybody reading this and trying to understand Brazil, that this is a huge simplification that may not hold for other events.
Re: Suspicious data pattern in recent Venezuelan election
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Re: Suspicious data pattern in recent Venezuelan election
#175Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Given Lula's past dedication to (sic) Chavezism Brazil has quasi-presidential system, but it's Chamber of Deputies has the actual power. In the 2000s, Lula's PT was the largest party (usually around 20-25% of the total seats) and could as such strongarm smaller leftist parties into a governing coalition with an absolute majority. Lula won the presidential election in 2022, but his party PT was the 3rd largest, and…
> but it's Chamber of Deputies has the actual power Just to point for anybody reading this and trying to understand Brazil, that this is a huge simplification that may not hold for other events.
Please please please read academic books about the political history of Brazil or contemporary politics in Brazil instead of listening to a rando like me on the internet!
I'd recommend reading "Modern Brazil: A Social History", "The Brazilian Constitution of 1988: a comparative appraisal", "Constitutional Engineering in Brazil: The Politics of Federalism and Decentralization", etc, but there are some additional papers and books I could recommend as well.
Re: Suspicious data pattern in recent Venezuelan election
#176Earlier quoted context omitted.
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I can't find much about the Carter Foundation, but Edison Polling—the organization that released the exit poll that showed the opposition winning— does have a long history of criticism for being US-backed and consistently producing results that favor US interests. Meanwhile, the most respected pollster in the country, Hinterlaces, released an exit poll that estimated right around the actual results (54% vs 51%) https…
The Carter Center praises Venezuela voting process before. Even if you ignore that the fact is the opposition has published the tallies they have collected while the CNE is still busy doing who knows what (fabricating them).
Re: Suspicious data pattern in recent Venezuelan election
#177Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's technically possible that that was not their weed and their meth in their pants because those were not their pants. However when they have a mile-long rap sheet for selling drugs, it weakens their argument a bit.
What's the mile long rap sheet though? The group that's alleging fraud (AltaVista) is using images of printed receipts from different voting places as a sample to estimate the final vote. That group also said it's same technique resulted in election outcomes that are within 2 points or less of the announced outcome for 2021, 2018, and 2015. This seems like a new and unique accusation for Venezuela Source: https://www…
Venezuela’s terrible electoral record post Chavez.
Re: Suspicious data pattern in recent Venezuelan election
#178Earlier quoted context omitted.
Why is that article not pointing to the source? I've looked for it, and I couldn't find it.
https://x.com/yvangil/status/1817787106237743565
Re: Suspicious data pattern in recent Venezuelan election
#179Earlier quoted context omitted.
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I come here to get my tech news and encounter people doing government propaganda.
Re: Suspicious data pattern in recent Venezuelan election
#180I think we are going to have to give up anonymity in the name of democracy. Unless you can confirm that your vote has been correctly counted, how can you ever be certain what they have done with it?