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Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

nvidianews.nvidia.com

251–260 of 367 posts

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#251
post #117
post #81

Earlier quoted context omitted.

in the past - Industrial Revolution - when somebody started producing something profitable others would start similar production too. In our post-Industrial age software provides the moat protecting your hardware margin. The IBM's PC cloning was the perfect illustration when such a moat wasn't utilized. Everybody learned the lesson, pushed for DMCA and the likes and here we're. Speaking about how high is the specific…

> in the past - Industrial Revolution - when somebody started producing something profitable others would start similar production too. Minor correction. They stole the technology. When British invented textile mills they had strict law against exporting the designs. Cotton was bought from the US to Britain and made into textiles. Samuel Slater is considered the Father of the American Industrial Revolution was called…

I couldn't really care less about what CorpGov considers stealing with respect to open distribution of information.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#252

This likely has more staying power than the crypto boom that fueled AMD's GPUs to enormous heights but when that crashed AMD ended up holding a lot of stock it couldn't shift and had an enormous right down of inventory. This AI bubble could be burst by a better cheaper product more dedicated to the task or a realisation that the issues with AI just can't be solved and a cooling off of the market hype. What I fear is…

AI is still fueled by hope. The actually applications of it (they do exist and they are valuable) pale in comparison and value to what it's valuation is based on, it's future promise. When the people who say things like "AI is going to replace all accountants!" stop speaking the the future tense, it's value will be justified. For now, it's OpenAI spending billions developing a product they hope will make trillions an…

Yes, and the cognitive dissonance induced by comparing the actual applications of it to what the evangelists and marketeers say about it is extraordinary. The rhetorical gap widens apace.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#253

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don’t get the whole P/E thing. Do people basically say we shouldn’t bother buying anything with a crazy P/E more than 20? Despite the fact that these high P/E companies are now making people lots of money? Wtf?

You need to “get it” because it’s really important. We’re all in here arguing about PE ratios of tech companies reaching 100x. Is that too much? Who knows. For the best tech company in the world? What is the limit? But for other companies like Tesla, their PE was once 1000x. That’s crazy town. PE is the first number you should use for comparing two stocks to determine value vs risk.

Ok, but didn’t all FANG companies have insane P/Es at some point? Are you saying they were bad investments?

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#254

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don’t get the whole P/E thing. Do people basically say we shouldn’t bother buying anything with a crazy P/E more than 20? Despite the fact that these high P/E companies are now making people lots of money? Wtf?

It's more that a high P/E means that the company itself needs to make a lot more money for the long-term shareholders to not be holding an investment that doesn't pay off in the end. You can still make plenty of money speculating on it as it's going up (so long as you sell), or short-selling it as it's going down, but generally speaking it's a sign that the business is being valued the assumption that it will grow by…

Thank you for this well reasoned take.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#255
post #205

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We're literally in fiscal year 2025. The report also calls it fiscal year 2025. Fiscal years are about when you'll pay tax. This is Q1 of four quarters to be reported before Nvidia pays tax in 2025.

This is incorrect. Fiscal years have nothing to do with when you pay tax. They're pretty much totally arbitrary, with different companies using different values. To demonstrate: The earnings Microsoft reported for this same quarter (calendar Q1 2024) a month ago were reported as their Q3 2024 fiscal year results. Apple's were fiscal Q2 2024. Google's were fiscal Q1 2024.

> A fiscal year is a 12-month period chosen by a company or government to coincide with planning, budgeting, or revenue cycles.

> Financial reports, external audits, and federal tax filings are based on a company's fiscal year.

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/fiscalyear.asp

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#256

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's still illegal even if you don't work for company A or B.

Not in the US. “Don’t trade on any information not known by everyone” is a much more strict version used in other countries. That stricter version destroys the incentive to short selling research firms.

That depends on how you learned of this otherwise MNPI. Insider trading can definitely be done by non-employees.

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1164964/000101968715...

"""

An “insider” is an officer, director, 10% stockholder and anyone who possesses inside information because of his or her relationship with the Company or with an officer, director or principal stockholder of the Company. Rule 10b-5’s application goes considerably beyond just officers, directors and principal stockholders. This rule also covers any employee who has obtained material non-public corporate information, as well as any person who has received a “tip” from an Insider of the Company concerning information about the Company that is material and nonpublic, and trades (i.e. purchase or sells) the Company’s stock or other securities.

This policy also applies to your family members who reside with you, anyone else who lives in your household, and family members who do not live in your household but whose securities transactions are directed by you or are subject to your influence or control, as well as trusts or other entities for which you make investment decisions.

"""

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#257

Earlier quoted context omitted.

AI is still fueled by hope. The actually applications of it (they do exist and they are valuable) pale in comparison and value to what it's valuation is based on, it's future promise. When the people who say things like "AI is going to replace all accountants!" stop speaking the the future tense, it's value will be justified. For now, it's OpenAI spending billions developing a product they hope will make trillions an…

In many cases there's no obvious way to collect additional revenue for AI features either. For example, Google now has an AI box in their search but will this translate to more ad revenue?

Ai is more of a deflationary force. It will make things cheaper and those features will be table stakes.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#258

The earnings call is wild. The pitch is essentially that AI is here right now and if you don't buy loads of Nvidia GPU immediately you'll be destroyed by other companies/countries that did buy it.

Arms race is lucrative, even better than gold rush

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#259

This stock is a great example of invest in stocks where you have strong knowledge. I saw pallets of h100s shipping that were worth 100s of millions each pallet (each card is $40k and you can fit a lot on a pallet) as someone working for a company buying these and knowing that many other companies were doing the same (we have 12+ months of back orders with nvidia alone). I invested last year at ~$250 when redditors we…

> Invest in things you know

Exactly. I invested in NVDA when it was $21.85, after I saw a demo of Deep Learning for the first time. This was long before LLMs and generative AI. I was blown away by how you can upload any random image and it would tell you what is in the image. Then I learned about NVDA and CUDA and how DNNs leverage them and decided it would be a good investment.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#260

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Curious if you've closed out your position yet? The tricky thing about the market is both entering and exiting at the correct time. I have strong knowledge of this is space and don't invest in it exactly for that reason. LLMs are great, but the hype is greater, and I personally don't want to have my income and my investments correlated. NVIDIA may be selling a lot, but their P/E ratio is nearly 80, so that price isn'…

I saw NVIDIA as the next big thing due to AI 6 years ago back when their stock price was dictated by gaming and crypto. I was working for a hyperscaler and I was confident they were undervalued, along with Microsoft and AMD. And then I sold all 3 during COVID because I realized the exact problem you are saying - I had no idea when to sell and ultimately I was happy with my gains. Whoops I guess. Now all serious inves…

Didn't get Nvidia early enough so only 5x on them, but 10x on AMD, still holding most of it. Was planning on selling more but then ai took off hard.
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