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Could an industrial civilization have predated humans on Earth?

nautil.us

261–270 of 282 posts

Re: Could an industrial civilization have predated humans on Earth?

#261

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But surely it is much more unlikely that animal bones would last for a hundred millennia.

> surely it is much more unlikely that animal bones would last for a hundred millennia Why? The Cambridge paper gives a scientist’s reasons for that not being the case being supposition.

Because processed stones are much more massive than bones, which mostly rot away quite quickly.

Re: Could an industrial civilization have predated humans on Earth?

#262

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Castles that stay above ground, yes, but there likely would be some buried structures, too. Pompeii looked remarkably fresh when dug out.

Pompeii was literally buried in a matter of hours, so that’s kind of a unique case. Any underground structures would be turned into a cave from water seeping in. Most people don’t dig into the side of caves, so it’s likely we’d never know. A great example is the millennium old water passages in Afghanistan. You can’t tell they are man made any more. The point stands, most things don’t survive all that long (in the gr…

Structures / cities might also get buried within a few hundred years due to overgrowth.

Re: Could an industrial civilization have predated humans on Earth?

#263

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Absolutely metal and plastic decompose and break down, respectively.

Not all metal. Buried gold retrieved from ancient graves looks very "fresh".

After ten million years even a large gold ingot would entirely be subsumed by the surrounding matter. Assuming a 10 nanometer/year erosion.

Re: Could an industrial civilization have predated humans on Earth?

#264
post #21

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And yet we have 3.4 billion year old cyanobacteria fossils.

Various sci-fi has explored this idea, for example Mass Effect, but “Reaper” species could explain that.

Also aliens. I see.

Re: Could an industrial civilization have predated humans on Earth?

#265
post #240

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I would not say there has never been a single ancient thing discovered. There are many anomalous findings in archeology. Here are a few examples: * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_Hammer * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coso_artifact * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nazca_Lines * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yonaguni_Monument * Parts of the Egyptian Pyramids seem to have been cut with circular saws. * Places in t…

Aren't there lots of testible hypotheses in archaeology though? I get that you're saying that a lot of explanations feel speculative, but it feels a bit far to say the field itself is incompatible with the scientific method.

The Scientific Method is: "Scientists (and other people) can then secure, or discard, their hypotheses by conducting suitable experiments." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_method

If my hypothesis is that pottery will look like this after being buried for 2,000 years, how do I test that? I don't have 2,000 years before I need to publish.

Re: Could an industrial civilization have predated humans on Earth?

#266

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Serious question, do we know that metal tools were used for those carvings? From what I recall, until iron/steel was invented, it was pretty much abrasion as bronze was not hard enough to chisel nearly every stone.

Metal is too precious to be just abandoned. Metal is usually recycled, even in our civilization. Whatever metal objects from ancient civilizations we know, are either grave goods (swords of warriors etc.), or were found in shipwrecks etc., or were found in destroyed settlements, plus a few accidentally lost (fell into a well etc.). But most metal objects get recycled.

That's a very good point.

Re: Could an industrial civilization have predated humans on Earth?

#267
post #38
post #4

If there were an industrial civilization here before us (modern humans) then it would be astonishing that in all of the fossils we have discovered, we've never yet discovered a single ancient nut, bolt, screwdriver, wrench, etc. Not one single wire or cast metal part. As per the article, that civilization would have to predate all of the vast history of evolution that we know of. Wouldn't some higher life forms from…

This assumes that their technology would be similar to ours. They could have used biological mechanical parts, made from plant or animal material. They could have had radically different theories of mechanics or construction that better fit the state of the planet at their time. In general the statement "They couldn't have been civilized because they aren't exactly like us" limits what we look for and how we look for…

>"They couldn't have been civilized because they aren't exactly like us"

Well if you go back to the dawn of Homo Sapiens that's quite a ways back, but then you could rearrange that concept to say "they couldn't have been that uncivilized because they were exactly like us."

Oh, wait a minute . . .

Re: Could an industrial civilization have predated humans on Earth?

#268

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> surely it is much more unlikely that animal bones would last for a hundred millennia Why? The Cambridge paper gives a scientist’s reasons for that not being the case being supposition.

Because processed stones are much more massive than bones, which mostly rot away quite quickly.

Mass does not matter. Tungsten metal is heftier that the stone and it rots regardless.

Re: Could an industrial civilization have predated humans on Earth?

#269

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Even if it is a single creator, does it seem realistic that this was the first and only machine they built?

I’ve heard it argued by historians that there were likely to have been multiple prototypes of the antykythera mechanism, but each one was recycled to produce the next.

>each one was recycled to produce the next.

This could lend itself to the idea that one person made it, and if nothing whatsoever like it had ever come before you have to figure it took an awfully long time for one person to create something this complicated single-handedly.

Could be a number of years between iterations in a continuous improvement process that adds up to something like a life's work.

Maybe also could be passed down to a subsequent individual like a very specialized craft, and build technology across generations.

Re: Could an industrial civilization have predated humans on Earth?

#270
post #38

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This assumes that their technology would be similar to ours. They could have used biological mechanical parts, made from plant or animal material. They could have had radically different theories of mechanics or construction that better fit the state of the planet at their time. In general the statement "They couldn't have been civilized because they aren't exactly like us" limits what we look for and how we look for…

The statement "they couldn't have been civilized because they aren't exactly like us" is a straw man though The actual question the article posits is "Could an Industrial Civilization Have Predated Humankind?", and so it seems logical to take evidence of industry as a starting point to answer that question. A mere couple of hundred years of human industry has moved vast quantities of matter about, created many new ty…

a human brain contains 100 trillion synapses each transmitting a signal of about 100 bits per second, and weighs 1.3 kg, for something like 10¹⁶ bit operations per second, 8 × 10¹² bit operations per second per gram. the cpu i'm typing this on weighs about a gram and has four cores, each of which typically manages about 1.5 64-bit operations 2.6 billion times a second, about 10¹² bit operations per second and also about 10¹² bit operations per second per gram. evidently the brain tissue is about an order of magnitude more computationally powerful per unit weight, and as it happens it also uses an additional three or four orders of magnitude less energy per unit weight. manufacturing it is also much cheaper. if we knew how to program it, we'd probably program globs of neurons rather than the very fine photolithographic microelectronics we are using today

neurons, however, fossilize very poorly indeed; after death they typically liquefy within days, losing all of the structure that could betray how they functioned

the particular shape of our industrial civilization is based on mass production in centralized facilities of durable goods that are identical to high precision (deep submicron precision in the case of this cpu). clearly this is not the only possible way to produce massive abundance; the rain forest or even the corn field does not work this way, but produces much more detail than tsmc does

much of the durability and fossilizability of our conventional technology stems from its stupidity. to remain standing, a two-story house would once be made with meter-thick walls, while modern hollow brick with plaster and reinforced concrete reduces this to perhaps ten solid centimeters between indoors and outdoors. more frugal balloon-frame designs consist entirely of metastable materials like wood and steel, materials which will lose their structure if left exposed to air and water, either suddenly in a fire or gradually over decades. but even a balloon-frame house is wasteful and inefficient compared to a five-meter-tall stand of bamboo

remaking the planet for your convenience is much cheaper if you can avoid spending resources on durability and fossilizability which don't benefit you during your lifetime

could you get there without a transitional phase of making lots of thick, solid objects out of materials that are stable on geological timescales? probably, but maybe not if your uplift path starts with fire instead of math...

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