Why do we assume that the biosphere should remain largely unchanged? That it should or even could strikes me as extreme vanity. It never has. Long before humans, long before fossil fuels, etc. species came and went. Climate changed continuously. I’ve been watching this for most of my nearly 70 years, the population bomb, the coming ice age, global warming, the Club of Rome, and on and on. None of it ever happened. Fo…
Change isn't the problem. The velocity of the change is the problem. https://www.nature.com/articles/nature08649
They are essentially determining the relative temperature rates of change in different environments. They give no indication how fast this velocity is relative to the past, or any predictions as to how it affects anything tangible. For all we know the velocity is less extreme than average (I’m not saying this is likely - just that we can’t tell from their data or analysis).
I would call this a “water is wet” paper - the basic conclusion is “different environments respond to climate change at different rates” which is intuitive and doesn’t need research. I admit that I could be missing some novelty but based on reading a lot of other “water is wet” climate papers, I doubt it.