Live data from Hacker News

Russian Assets Reportedly Seized at Baikonur Cosmodrome by Kazakh Authorities

tlpnetwork.com

71–80 of 152 posts

Re: Russian Assets Reportedly Seized at Baikonur Cosmodrome by Kazakh Authorities

#72
post #30

Thats what happens, when all you got to hold the band together is terror instead of soft power. Everyone just quits at the first sign of weakness.

I was thinking about the same thing a few days ago. One of the most interesting takeaways from this war is how soft power is very underrated, and lack of any soft power whatsoever is one of the reasons behind Russia's problems.

Russia has spend billions to gain soft power by hosting the 2018 world cup, the winter Olympics etc.

However the only "soft power" that has actually worked for Russia are their hundreds of thousands of social media disinfo sockpuppet accounts. They have convinced half of India, Nigeria, Hungary and Kentucky that Ukraine created COVID-19.

Re: Russian Assets Reportedly Seized at Baikonur Cosmodrome by Kazakh Authorities

#73
post #65
post #62

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes, hopefully some of the federated republics will start civil wars to break away from the Russian empire. Continue the disintegration process that started in 1991.

Hoping that a nuclear power breaks apart is a nightmare. This is true for states like Pakistan but when you have a stockpile in the thousands and a nuclear logistical distribution like Russia it is nearly guarantee that we have several (terroristic) nuclear explosions over the next decades and probably half a dozen rogue states more. And do not assume that this is a peaceful transition. Putin is very much concerned a…

Concern does not equal the ability to prevent or master a situation. Putin was also concerned with aquiring ukraine. Between that dictator impersonating aparatschik, the ground is liquifying as we speak.

Re: Russian Assets Reportedly Seized at Baikonur Cosmodrome by Kazakh Authorities

#74
post #48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They can run one where china supplies the required components.

Last i heard, china is also being limited in acquiring advanced electronics : On October 7, the Biden administration unveiled a sweeping set of export controls that ban Chinese companies from buying advanced chips and chip-making equipment without a license. The rule also restricts the ability of “US persons” — including American citizens or green card holders — to provide support for the “development or production”…

Doesn’t China create advanced electronics?

Re: Russian Assets Reportedly Seized at Baikonur Cosmodrome by Kazakh Authorities

#75
post #72
post #30

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I was thinking about the same thing a few days ago. One of the most interesting takeaways from this war is how soft power is very underrated, and lack of any soft power whatsoever is one of the reasons behind Russia's problems.

Russia has spend billions to gain soft power by hosting the 2018 world cup, the winter Olympics etc. However the only "soft power" that has actually worked for Russia are their hundreds of thousands of social media disinfo sockpuppet accounts. They have convinced half of India, Nigeria, Hungary and Kentucky that Ukraine created COVID-19.

Do their energy exports count as soft power? Arguably that was working quite well, until they further expanded in to Ukraine.

Re: Russian Assets Reportedly Seized at Baikonur Cosmodrome by Kazakh Authorities

#76
post #65
post #62

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes, hopefully some of the federated republics will start civil wars to break away from the Russian empire. Continue the disintegration process that started in 1991.

Hoping that a nuclear power breaks apart is a nightmare. This is true for states like Pakistan but when you have a stockpile in the thousands and a nuclear logistical distribution like Russia it is nearly guarantee that we have several (terroristic) nuclear explosions over the next decades and probably half a dozen rogue states more. And do not assume that this is a peaceful transition. Putin is very much concerned a…

Seems very unlikely to me. Between things like permissive action links, maintenance require to keep the bombs in working order, and expertise in how to use them, I would be dubious of rogue states getting them, wanting to use them, and actually being able to execute on them. Terrorists tend to have some sort of goal. Not just scary bad guys who want to blow stuff up. We typically see nukes are just used to establish legitimacy of authoritarian rulers via idle threats. using nukes is a losing move.

Re: Russian Assets Reportedly Seized at Baikonur Cosmodrome by Kazakh Authorities

#77
post #74

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Last i heard, china is also being limited in acquiring advanced electronics : On October 7, the Biden administration unveiled a sweeping set of export controls that ban Chinese companies from buying advanced chips and chip-making equipment without a license. The rule also restricts the ability of “US persons” — including American citizens or green card holders — to provide support for the “development or production”…

Doesn’t China create advanced electronics?

Mostly assembly with some fabrication. Most semiconductor manufacturing is in Korea and Taiwan, with assembly in China, India, Malaysia, etc. The majority of the design work happens outside of China as well.

Re: Russian Assets Reportedly Seized at Baikonur Cosmodrome by Kazakh Authorities

#78
post #74

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Last i heard, china is also being limited in acquiring advanced electronics : On October 7, the Biden administration unveiled a sweeping set of export controls that ban Chinese companies from buying advanced chips and chip-making equipment without a license. The rule also restricts the ability of “US persons” — including American citizens or green card holders — to provide support for the “development or production”…

Doesn’t China create advanced electronics?

> Doesn’t China create advanced electronics?

It creates advanced electronics in the sense that it assembles them. It does not manufacture advanced or even mid-grade chips though which is the crucial point. That’s all Taiwan, Korea, Japan, USA.

Re: Russian Assets Reportedly Seized at Baikonur Cosmodrome by Kazakh Authorities

#79

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Russia has now built a launch site inside Russia (Vostochny Cosmodrome), in its far east. Although they don't seem to be actually using it that much at the moment, they wouldn't be cut off from space.

I think the trajectories from there are nowhere as good as Baikonur

You’re right. 45.6deg vs 51.8deg N.

The eastward boost you get from the earths rotation is just: 2 * pi * cos(latitude)/day so the difference is: 2 * pi * r_Earth*(cos(45.2deg)-cos(51.8deg))/day = 40m/s.

Which doesn’t sound like a lot but can add up.

I compared Plesetsk (Russia) vs Baikonur (Kazakhstan) in the Silverbird Astronautics calculator for Soyuz v2-1B using 3.3m fairing and without Fregat, and I got 1552kg estimated payload to escape for Plesetsk and 1665kg for Baikonur. 7% performance hit to high energy trajectories.

http://www.silverbirdastronautics.com/LVperform.html

Plesetsk is more established than V, but is 63deg latitude.

Re: Russian Assets Reportedly Seized at Baikonur Cosmodrome by Kazakh Authorities

#80

Thats what happens, when all you got to hold the band together is terror instead of soft power. Everyone just quits at the first sign of weakness.

I think it is a misunderstanding to think Russia holds no soft power in Kazakhstan.

True, but it seems that the Kazakh leadership is fed up with that power.
Post reply on HN