761–770 of 816 posts
- Apache Spark starts its relatively slow decline in favor of vendor and in-house solutions.
- Cost drives cloud systems away from managed solutions (think AWS Batch) towards semi-managed solutions (think self-run k8s deployments but on AWS EKS).
- There are no improvements in autoscaling k8s clusters.
- Integration testing is replaced by testing in the development environment.
- Google will AB test the search product with NLP generated answers and consider augmenting it as a response to ChatGPT
- Covid will sort of come on and off and will be talked about in a way similar to the flu
- Recession will likely continue at a relatively steady rate. Sun belt states will continue growing. Bay area population will shrink slightly
- Affordable housing construction will make progress in the bay area as buildings are completed. Rent increases will slow down due to increased supply
- TikTok will continue getting bad press. There will be a stand off between TikTok and DC. It will either be banned or have the American side of the business sold to someone like Oracle
- Meta will survive because people will continue using Facebook and IG. VR stuff will be a niche market dominated by them
- Tesla stock will start dropping more aggressively as investors realize it is overvalued compared to other car manufacturers
- Iran instability will continue. CIA could possibly stage a coup in Iran if it becomes especially bad
- Chinese economy will continue declining due to govt interference with domestic tech. Japan and Germany will continue military buildup. Vietnam, India, and Bangladesh will grow as low cost manufacturing centers
- Increased tension between Alberta and Ottawa
- Apple allows sideloading iOS due to EU pressure. Apple won't have any new and interesting software to bring to the table, but might come out with a new phone camera with better computational photography to challenge what Google is doing
- Amazon will continue growing, and will approach Apple as the most valuable company. Apple will grow, but more slowly than Amazon
- YEaR of ThE LiNuX DeSkToP
- Google releases a public chat AI that serves ads.
- Chat AI is adopted aggressively into customer service UX. Customer service continues to decline in quality.
- Universities are increasingly seen as bad investments. Enrollment sees a sharper drop.
1. Deglobalization accelerates as the Bretton woods organisations become increasingly irrelevant and trade moves to being bloc and region based. 2. The web continues to fracture into separate Euro, Sino, Russo and Americano nets due to increasingly different views in privacy, surveillance, freedom of speech etc. SV companies are slow to pick up on this. 3. Tech layoffs in the Bay Area intensify. When hiring begins ag…
>5. Serious attempts are made to have TikTok banned in the USA. This becomes a hot button cultural issue. Who's going to fight for TikTok? Trump tried to ban it, so GOP will be onboard. If it's a serious attempt, Biden and the Dems will be too. They're almost there anyway. So who'd be for Tiktok? The youth? They don't vote anyway, and will just move on to the next fashionable social network.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
Given that Linux mode is a directly supported feature of ChromeOS, I think it gets a little bit murky. A consumer grade device with Debian Buster/10 I can just run Emacs on? True it's not the Ubuntu+Gnome running natively future we wanted in our desktop domination (though Dell and System76 and Framework will sell you one of those these days), but Chromebooks aren't this totally locked down bastardized single-app tech…
If 99% of people don't know what Linux is, and don't use Linux mode, should it really count? Most people just use what is essentially a browser that can also run Android apps.
My thinking (some of these may take a year or two more) - we start understanding more about how powerful neural networks can be in storing abstractions of information. More and more breakthroughs come here. A company will come that will do magical things - this company will not be Open AI or one of the big FAANG - Maybe not this year, but soon: new advances started in robotics based on generative AI. Robots start mov…
>New wars start based on drone That's so dystopian.
- USB 4, Series D will be defined, with 3 possible orientations, one each for display, power and data transfer - Saudi Arabia will release an ethical standards requirement for each of its Western tech company holdings. The exact definition will be confusingly progressive, which will put everyone on guard. - Google will cancel the Search product, with a press release that expounds beautifully about the future. They cl…
After many Covid deaths China will see more protests over the year. To stabilize economy Xi Jinping will make some concessions to the people of China. Invasion of Taiwan will not happen in 2023.
The western countries will see a slight recession, because of energy crisis and reduction of business with autoritarian states ( Russia, China, Saudi Arabia ). But ultimatively the bitter medicine of 2022 and 2023 will lead to a strenghthening of the west as it will become less dependent on imports in general and energy imports specifically.
UK will seek to reverse Brexit.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
> If this was a Chinese message board or Russian message board, I could make opposite predictions and be met with much more interesting debate and intellectual curiosity, as their information control mechanisms aren't nearly as sophisticated, and as a society they tend to be much more pragmatic and intellectually curious. How do you mesh this with the fact that you can and will be arrested in Russia for calling the w…
I recommend finding better news sources. As a simple example, there was an employee of a TV news station in Moscow that started screaming pro-Ukraine things on the air, on live TV. She was given a 100 ruble fine (for causing a disturbance) and released. Meanwhile, people in the EU are actually imprisoned for supporting Russia. And of course Ukraine has death squads, and merely being accused of supporting Russia or be…
I’d suggest you find better new sources because I have seen the videos of the people being hauled off by the Russian police for holding a blank sign where as your example does not even exist.
Here’s an example
https://twitter.com/kevinrothrock/status/1502761903046774786