571–580 of 816 posts
- Twitter doesn't "die", but social media does get a lot more diverse. Journalism gets better because of this
- Generative AI like ChatGPT goes mainstream (this may have already happened with ChatGPT, to an extent)
- Some large earthquake in CA
- Apple finally rids the world of the lightning port
- Crypto currency price crash, it will cost dirt cheap.
- Price of all electronics (computers,hardware) will cost cheaper.
- New advancement in techology and software like we never seen before.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
The mass attacks on gay groups we’ve seen to date resemble hate crimes more than politically motivated terror attacks, so “political tension” isn’t really the right term. The issue is that the right wing has steered very hard into anti-gay rhetoric in the last couple of cycles which convinces the sort of deranged people who commit mass hate attacks that they are doing something for a cause. Combine that with the feti…
ARs are quite common which is why I predict someone with a GAYR-15 will stop one of these attacks in its tracks and people will stop associating them with right wingers exclusively.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
No, the narrative is anywhere from "we're defending Russia proper from invasion" to "we're going after every Ukrainian and their children" between different (and sometimes the same) TV hosts and public figures.
Like I said, I am not really a follower of russian TV, I mainly just read various Speeches Putin gave. And there was never anything close of "we're going after every Ukrainian and their children", that I remember. It was variations of "the NATO is coming closer to us everyday and we have to fight back". If you know more and different, pls share.
Also, https://www.newsweek.com/russian-state-tv-boss-says-drown-uk...
- Binance and Coinbase collapse
- BTC trades at under $4k (really I only think there's about a 50-50 chance of this happening and it also might be a 2024 prediction since I think the recession is the trigger--I'm also not making a prediction that BTC dies, it is too much of a perpetual zombie, very 50-50 on BTC making it out of 2024)
- Putin is ousted in a coup, Russia has lost in Ukraine (or else again this is a 2024 prediction and the writing is merely on the wall but with a sharpie). NATO has not directly intervened.
- "Deglobalization" nonsense fades (dunno how you measure this)
- Nothing happens with China and Taiwan other than continued tensions
- China is going to let COVID rip through its population in early 2023 and they'll have one of the highest death pandemic death rates in the world going out of it
- Commercial MBS blowing up will either have happened or be on the tip of everyone's tongue going into the end of 2023.
Bold and seemingly contradictory predictions by me: -The rapid advances in AI slow down. Dalle and GPTchat will be an exception not a rule in the long run. The fraction of hard AI problems that can be solved with raw force of more parameters and training isn't that large. -Paradoxically, AI will change everything. The advances that are already here haven't caught on yet. Legal documents in particular occupy this swee…
+1 for for the recession, it's not coming, that almost apparent right now. Yes, more will lose their jobs, but only because many of those positions should never have been created in the first place. There are still plenty of jobs, just less attractive ones. I will say: I have zero feel for the US job market, it's simply too weird to comprehend. For Northern Europe, plenty of work all around.
Russia won't run out of APC, but they will run out of tanks, they basically have already. They don't have the inventory to deploy tanks in offensive actions anymore. They won't run out of APCs. The will run out of good one and competent personal to put in them. The last more of a statement of current facts, not a prediction.
I have none; I guess 2023 will be broadly similar to 2022, and I feel like the UK is trending down in many respects, but those aren’t predictions worth anything. Huge shifts in the world tend to be unpredictable by ordinary people - many saw a pandemic was due at some point, few saw COVID coming in the six months preceding as very early news came in small fragments from China. Who, if anyone, tends to make specific p…
> many saw a pandemic was due at some point, few saw COVID coming in the six months preceding as very early news came in small fragments from China. Last years hd a few saying Russia would invade Ukraine (and as many saying it wouldn’t), but of those they thought Ukraine would fold in days and have no support from the west. Nobody expected Ukraine to successfully repel the invasion. In 2020 predictions I don’t see an…
- Android 14 ships without soft keyboard, voice operation and use of suggestions are enforced. Can lipread for privacy.
- Russia threatens the world with a climatic bomb, releasing as much CH4 in the atmosphere as possible, burning however unproductive taïga
- Amazon sells its retail branch to a yet unknown Chinese group, only keeps media and cloud
- news on TV is entirely AI generated, harvesting videos from social media. Only human staff in the redaction is the presenter.
- well known newspapers subscription reaches $1000
- Microsoft enforces Rust on all new code in Windows including kernel and drivers
- Almost nothing of note will happen
Side note: love that the instruction for how to write predictions as a list misformatted the list the same way I always do. Would it be too much to wish for HN to support natural list formatting?