461–470 of 816 posts
My thinking (some of these may take a year or two more) - we start understanding more about how powerful neural networks can be in storing abstractions of information. More and more breakthroughs come here. A company will come that will do magical things - this company will not be Open AI or one of the big FAANG - Maybe not this year, but soon: new advances started in robotics based on generative AI. Robots start mov…
1. We will learn that one or more traditional banks have taken on cryptocurrency exposure and will need to be bailed out to prevent another financial crisis. 2. Politicians will introduce legislation to regulate AI, with the initial focus on copyright protection, but it will be defeated. Court cases are brought against companies for training ML using copyrighted data, setting up an eventual supreme court battle in co…
Going with some completely random things this year so that I look like a time traveler. - Magnitude 8 earthquake in British Columbia in November. - Major world leader dies in plane crash in France in March. Part of an attempted coup. - JWST breaks. - Lebron misses 64 games due to a right leg injury. - TCU wins the CFP. - Shipping is blocked for 2 weeks on the Mississippi River near Memphis. - Coinbase collapses. Cryp…
1. Deglobalization accelerates as the Bretton woods organisations become increasingly irrelevant and trade moves to being bloc and region based. 2. The web continues to fracture into separate Euro, Sino, Russo and Americano nets due to increasingly different views in privacy, surveillance, freedom of speech etc. SV companies are slow to pick up on this. 3. Tech layoffs in the Bay Area intensify. When hiring begins ag…
> When hiring begins again a large number of the new hires are either remote or are in other geographical areas where labour costs are lower. I think this is a definite possibility too. I understand the reasons why US tech comp is higher than the rest of the world, but I don't see why it is _that_ much higher - I'm not sure it's sustainable in the new remote-work world.
The tech 2X is that historically hiring was done for the Bay Area, where cost of living is crazy, and also just basic supply and demand. If a few dozen engineers can build $100M-1B+ of value, it makes sense to pay them a lot (of investors’ money).
Earlier quoted context omitted.
We've been leaning heavily into Vue3+TSX over at https://radiopaper.com which addresses some of these gripes. It's true there's more "magic" and ceremony around creating components than just a simple function, but not much – you just return what you expect to render from the `setup` component method and all is well. You also get niceties like well-typed props & emitted events, and even runtime prop data validation if…
> Vue3 also has `FunctionalComponent` now for the cases where you really want a simple component from a function – and again props work beautifully with Typescript. This kind of reinforces my point about having to learn Vue. I personally think it's just unnecessarily building more API to memorize on top of JavaScript. > In contrast, I'm finding integrating Typescript with the largely-JS React codebase I work with on…
{greeting} world!
; ``` and can be used in TSX or standard-Vue templates as ``` ```There is certainly more surface-area to learn about than React, though my feeling is that hooks have evened that equation quite a bit (one React component class vs. a whole quirky hooks toolkit; and admittedly Vue has forms of both as well). I'd argue both are far less to learn than Angular – I've had a tiny bit of experience there and recall feeling continually lost. I also think there are tradeoffs that justify extra bits of learning, but that's a subjective matter that (imo) can only be informed through some amount of firsthand experience building something complex with the frameworks.
Typescript is not everyone's cup of tea! Tradeoffs abound there – personally while I agree it can be cumbersome, I have trouble going back at this point (though I will when necessary). Interesting that you enjoy enums – I do as well but have found a distaste for them in the TS community which saddens me.
Here is what I expect: 1, The Sunak Government will further undo the banking ring-fencing rules in England so large banks can play with British pension funds. Down the line (6-10 years), there will be a massive pension crisis in England. 2, The USA will start delivering ATACM missiles to Ukraine (this may prompt Russia to make an example: a nuclear detonation over the black sea or some Ukraine field as an attempt to…
> 6, the USA suffers a right wing terrorist attack against a gay pride event in June with 30+ deaths I like how you specify the month and the number of deaths to make it a bit more of a challenge.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Zelensky is already a US puppet Get this shit out of HN and back to RT, please. The US is not the center of Europe, and Ukraine is its own country.
We don't spend $115 billion on a country's war effort unless we are confident we're in control.
"Ally" and "puppet" are not the same thing.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
Why do you think 6 is a given? Has political tension in the US just got to breaking point?
The mass attacks on gay groups we’ve seen to date resemble hate crimes more than politically motivated terror attacks, so “political tension” isn’t really the right term. The issue is that the right wing has steered very hard into anti-gay rhetoric in the last couple of cycles which convinces the sort of deranged people who commit mass hate attacks that they are doing something for a cause. Combine that with the feti…
2. At least one FAANG company will have a major layoff, but due to poor execution and inefficiency rather than macroeconomic conditions.
3. China will not invade Taiwan.
4. YIMBY policies like the builder’s remedy in California will kick in in many parts of America, but construction costs will have ballooned to the point that housing development in cities is no longer fundable, triggering a multi-year decline in the strength of American cities.
5. At least one generative AI product company will find a credible business model and escape upwards out of the hype cycle.
6. Climate change driven disasters will continue to occur, and younger generations will begin to gain enough power to force policies that can genuinely reduce carbon emissions across industries. Having a large carbon footprint will begin to be seen as gauche.
Edit: One more hopefully obvious one. The tech layoffs of 2022 will lead to a proliferation of new startups, kicking off the start of a new decade-long tech boom and bust cycle with some amazing and important products and services created!
Going with some completely random things this year so that I look like a time traveler. - Magnitude 8 earthquake in British Columbia in November. - Major world leader dies in plane crash in France in March. Part of an attempted coup. - JWST breaks. - Lebron misses 64 games due to a right leg injury. - TCU wins the CFP. - Shipping is blocked for 2 weeks on the Mississippi River near Memphis. - Coinbase collapses. Cryp…
I think you have this backwards :-)