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Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

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Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#211

Post by lhnz »

evnp wrote: post #144
dmak wrote: post #55

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's just my personal opinion. When you learn React with JSX, you just need to know JS and everything else is pretty much predictable. Whereas in Vue, you have to learn JS and all the declaration markups of Vue (ex, v-bind, v-for, etc...); it's less predictable and someone who understands JS would still have to learn those things. Ex, if you knew how to write a loop in JS then you can write a loop to output React com…

We've been leaning heavily into Vue3+TSX over at https://radiopaper.com which addresses some of these gripes. It's true there's more "magic" and ceremony around creating components than just a simple function, but not much – you just return what you expect to render from the `setup` component method and all is well. You also get niceties like well-typed props & emitted events, and even runtime prop data validation if…

Prop destructuring isn't necessary. A lot of people changed to accessing the props via property access and this is often a better approach for conciseness. Don't force yourself to do something stylistic if it doesn't fit!

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#212

Post by brutusborn »

formerly_proven wrote: post #44
hikingsimulator wrote: post #21

Here is what I expect: 1, The Sunak Government will further undo the banking ring-fencing rules in England so large banks can play with British pension funds. Down the line (6-10 years), there will be a massive pension crisis in England. 2, The USA will start delivering ATACM missiles to Ukraine (this may prompt Russia to make an example: a nuclear detonation over the black sea or some Ukraine field as an attempt to…

Ordered by likelihood would be 6, 2, 1, 5, 4, 3 - 6.) being unfortunately a given (the question being where and when they'll attack) and and 3.) not very likely.

Why do you think 6 is a given? Has political tension in the US just got to breaking point?

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#213

Post by artembugara »

rsj_hn wrote: post #173
r_hoods_ghost wrote: post #149

1. Deglobalization accelerates as the Bretton woods organisations become increasingly irrelevant and trade moves to being bloc and region based. 2. The web continues to fracture into separate Euro, Sino, Russo and Americano nets due to increasingly different views in privacy, surveillance, freedom of speech etc. SV companies are slow to pick up on this. 3. Tech layoffs in the Bay Area intensify. When hiring begins ag…

[flagged]

My predictions are all contrary to yours.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#214

Post by denton-scratch »

phtrivier wrote: post #66
jensneuse wrote: post #26

It's very interesting to go to last year's predictions ( https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29746236 ) and search for the word "Russia".

My general prediction is : - next year will be a mixture of things continuing to happen as before, and completely unexpexted events (that will actually play out similarly than previous events, but from a while ago.) - There will be strikes in France, - coups in south America and / or Africa, - very few plane crashes, an awful lot of car accidents - and maybe a rocket malfunction. - War in Russia will go on. (Apparent…

> War in Russia will go on.

There is no war in Russia. Russia is at war, but that war is happening in a country called Ukraine.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#216

Post by smcl »

mhuffman wrote: post #99
MerelyMortal wrote: post #67

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How do you predict that it will end?

A few obvious ways: 1. Russia starts "testing" nukes and a deal is brokered that pisses off both Ukraine and Russia but allows them both to claim "victory", save face and not start a thermonuclear war (this is Henry Kissinger's take); or 2. US loses its taste of financing and completely backing the Ukrainian war if a big recession hits here (hard to support Ukraine when we start "really" feeling a economic hit at hom…

re #3, aren't the senior Kremlin figures just as pro-war/Z as Putin (or even more so)? This would suggest that unless politics in Russia is completely upended in the event of Putin dying or being incapacitated, the war would likely continue or escalate :-/

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#217

Post by chx »

It's not at all hard to see the end of the blockbuster-multiplex studio-cinema model. Surely it'll take a few years but this year is absolutely grim. The top 15 superhero movies all time or in other words those that earned above a billion (and that's without adjusting for inflation) are all pre-COVID. The 2022 box office is a complete mess: domestically you had seven movies which were making significant money and that's about it. The average of 2017-2019 domestic box office was 11B, adjusted for inflation that's like 12B so this year is about 60% of the good ole' years. That's not "recovery" that's more like "unmitigated disaster".

Internationally the #14 movie made 391M at the box office and it was a complete flop and the #15 made only 286M -- basically, the revenue just dropped off a cliff at that point.

Look at 2019, family movies completely ruled the chart: The Lion King, Frozen II, Toy Story 4, Aladdin (these four made over a billion), How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World...

In 2022, you have Minions: The Rise of Gru and Sonic the Hedgehog 2 and ... that's it. So much so that I think Lightyear will be used in the histories to mark the beginning of the end.

And look at next year's slate: who wants another Indy movie after bloody aliens and that fridge? Hunger Games without Jennifer Lawrence? Family movie wise, what are we even looking at aside from Mario?

The game is over. Cinemas need to find a new value proposition, a $100 movie night for a family of four is just not attractive any more. They can just watch Disney+.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#218

Post by dmak »

evnp wrote: post #144
dmak wrote: post #55

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's just my personal opinion. When you learn React with JSX, you just need to know JS and everything else is pretty much predictable. Whereas in Vue, you have to learn JS and all the declaration markups of Vue (ex, v-bind, v-for, etc...); it's less predictable and someone who understands JS would still have to learn those things. Ex, if you knew how to write a loop in JS then you can write a loop to output React com…

We've been leaning heavily into Vue3+TSX over at https://radiopaper.com which addresses some of these gripes. It's true there's more "magic" and ceremony around creating components than just a simple function, but not much – you just return what you expect to render from the `setup` component method and all is well. You also get niceties like well-typed props & emitted events, and even runtime prop data validation if…

> Vue3 also has `FunctionalComponent` now for the cases where you really want a simple component from a function – and again props work beautifully with Typescript.

This kind of reinforces my point about having to learn Vue. I personally think it's just unnecessarily building more API to memorize on top of JavaScript.

> In contrast, I'm finding integrating Typescript with the largely-JS React codebase I work with on the day job to be a bit nightmarish – the amount of prop destructuring which seems to happen in every single component makes typing their signatures a repetitive, tedious affair (largely due to TS's handling of destructured arguments).

To be fair, I find issues with this with TypeScript everything. Moreover, I think that is the natural progression for all typed systems or languages. I honestly prefer JS without TypeScript. I may use TypeScript some times for certain areas like having enums.

> All that said, appreciated reading your take on the two frameworks

I'm happy to hear that!

Merry Christmas to you too!

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#219

Post by smcl »

jessaustin wrote: post #138
mhuffman wrote: post #99

Earlier quoted context omitted.

A few obvious ways: 1. Russia starts "testing" nukes and a deal is brokered that pisses off both Ukraine and Russia but allows them both to claim "victory", save face and not start a thermonuclear war (this is Henry Kissinger's take); or 2. US loses its taste of financing and completely backing the Ukrainian war if a big recession hits here (hard to support Ukraine when we start "really" feeling a economic hit at hom…

...a Western-friendly replacement is installed in Russia... Some have forgotten that Putin was originally declared "a Western-friendly replacement". The world would have been a more peaceful place if we hadn't interfered in Russian politics to support Yeltsin and his chosen successor. Russia isn't the only nation in which our choice (??) of leader has led to "blowback", both for the victim nation and for most America…

This is an accurate and very reasonable comment, it has been downvoted by people who do not know some very basic facts about post-USSR era Russia

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#220

Post by dr_dshiv »

amelius wrote: post #168
jensneuse wrote: post #26

It's very interesting to go to last year's predictions ( https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29746236 ) and search for the word "Russia".

I guess this was mostly Ukrainians who noted this while the rest of the world was sleeping. And apparently, I am reading the wrong news sources.

- Starship makes a successful orbital flight. - Russia won't start any overt military operations in Donbass, let alone Ukraine proper. - Modern GPU prices are still ridiculous. - Europe's opinion on nuclear energy will become a tad more favorable. - Ethereum won't shift to Proof of Stake. - No major AI breakthroughs. - James Cameron's Avatar 2 won't bring anything groundbreaking to the table. - Apple won't release a VR headset.
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