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Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst

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Re: Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst

#91

Post by forum_ghost »

throwmeariver1 wrote: post #76
tankenmate wrote: post #68

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Politics ought to be adjusted not to human reasonings but to human nature, of which reason is but a part and by no means the greatest part. -- Edmund Burke To make a somewhat contra-positive corollary; If you want to remove politics you need to remove humans. -- Me HN wouldn't be much without humans.

There are a lot of communities that are functioning way better after they implemented a strict no politics policy. It's a strawman argument. Especially considering the populous of hackernews of which 90% don't believe that they can be manipulated by advertising because they are too intelligent. It's gonna be a shitshow.

Better yet, seems many believe they are absolutely immune to Russian psyops, and of course the West would -never- psyop its own citizens. I've been even called a russian propagandist for linking to WaPo, a well-known Kremlin outlet.

It's probably time to ban politics.

Re: Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst

#93

Post by tazjin »

eterevsky wrote: post #67
junon wrote: post #37

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As mentioned a lot of places, Ukraine psy ops aren't as long. Longer = more chances for mistakes. This has been vouched for by multiple people with contacts in the FSB who all say this is most likely genuine. One of the people to vouch for it is a Bellingcat employee. It also mentioned a false flag op to make Ukraine look like it's been developing nuclear weapons. News just broke of that today from Russian media, ent…

Good point about the news of nuclear weapons. I missed the fact that this post was published before the news went live. It is conceivable that Ukrainian intelligence could know about these plans, but this post being a genuine FSB leak is a much more probable explanation.

For what it's worth, the talk about Ukrainian nuclear weapons was in Russian internet before this letter appeared. The idea doesn't originate from it.

(Not writing this to suggest anything about its authenticity, just adding information)

Re: Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst

#94

Post by Dma54rhs »

junon wrote: post #63
throwaway2048 wrote: post #48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Russia has been stating ukraine was trying to develop nuclear weapons for a week now.

Sources for that? If so, it's not been pushed as major news until today.

At least Russian state media has been talking about it since "military exercises", that either they plan or some hazy they might have been making dirty bombs.

Re: Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst

#95

Post by varispeed »

mongol wrote: post #21

It is unfortunte that discussion about the Ukraine war is so absent from HN. I understand that it is a complex topic that may drown HN's real purpose, but the HN readership use to have really insightful takes on most topics.

From what I noticed on many social networks is that Russian information warfare is working on spreading their propaganda. They will be coming to derail any conversation with lies, deflection and other manipulation techniques to sow doubts in the reports coming from Ukraine. They are quite crude so it is very easy to spot them if you know what to look for. I think their propaganda is mostly targeted at people who already made up their mind or those who don't read beyond headlines. HN may not be a target network for such effort, because most people here are quite smart.

Re: Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst

#96

Post by codeflo »

sss111 wrote: post #2

It could just be my ignorance, but is world hunger really as inevitable as they say. Couldn't other countries step up production or tap into their grain reserves? >World hunger is unavoidable... I can't tell you what the higher ups were thinking when they decided to go through with this operation

Medium term certainly, but short term, who knows. Prices go up, supply chains become interrupted, factories that process food go out of business. And it’s not like poorer countries in Africa can simply buy their way out of any supply issue the way the West can.

Re: Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst

#97

Post by forum_ghost »

avodonosov wrote: post #59

A "whistleblower" should reveal some secret facts. Here we have a collectiol of opinions, even if by an FSB worker.

It has a few facts, but entirely upside down. Seems to me, this is a very fine example of copypasta in a certain style.

Whistleblowing or not, "leaks" such as this, even if fake, can easily result in a death penalty in war time.

No way it's real.

Re: Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst

#98

Post by 3np »

terramex wrote: post #77
rnhmjoj wrote: post #69

Interesting: news[1] just came out of Russia accusing Ukraine of working on a dirty bomb. This makes the letter seem more plausible, if it really preceeds the news. [1]: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-without-evidence...

It preceeds this news, I've seen original post translated into polish two days ago. edit: here https://www.wykop.pl/wpis/64199473/translator-z-rosyjskiego-... and this was given as original source: https://t.me/Tsaplienko/1785 (last edited: Mar 4 at 18:29)

OP also looks to be from Mar 4, if you go to the FB post

Re: Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst

#99

Post by varispeed »

dragonwriter wrote: post #80
rnhmjoj wrote: post #69

Interesting: news[1] just came out of Russia accusing Ukraine of working on a dirty bomb. This makes the letter seem more plausible, if it really preceeds the news. [1]: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-without-evidence...

Russia has been a accusing Ukraine of working to acquire nuclear weapons, with US assistance, for quite a while, though the specification that they intend to produce a dirty bomb may be a new twist on it.

I read about it like two weeks ago. They are desperate to find a justification for their war crimes. Given that Putin himself has been caught saying multiple lies, there is no point giving any credibility to them. Their "special operation" is not going to plan and they will be trying to use any trick to find some support for their atrocities.

Re: Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst

#100

Post by forum_ghost »

itsailor wrote: post #36

The more I read foreign media, the more I am convinced of how one-sided they assess the situation.

what is the domestic media that you read which is that balanced?

Absolutely everything on this seems to be extremely biased, to the point, I simply assume it all to be entirely fake until proven otherwise.

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