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Russians are trying to flee – data from Google Trends

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Re: Russians are trying to flee – data from Google Trends

#371

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> A million people marching in Moscow would change minds. How? What would they do? They would march and riot and protest and then after a day or two they would go home. Meanwhile the politicians will just wait it out and the show will go on (see Belarus).

Why would you assume that? (See Euromaidan)

Compare the total area of Ukraine and Russia - and max distance between the border and the capital city.

Re: Russians are trying to flee – data from Google Trends

#372
post #11

I managed to escape the country yesterday, had to flight to Egypt of all places, because ALL (even business) tickets were sold out. The recent news is that starting March 6 all international flights are suspended, the trap has closed. The disheartening thing is that even if you never supported Putin, other countries treat you as enemy. I am at Georgia now and banks refuse to open bank accounts to Russians, and I need…

a lot of people seem ok with punishing Russian individuals for the actions of the government. maybe these people have grown in better functioning democracies (unlike Russia or my own country) so they act as if the people were well represented by their governments; unlike reality for most countries with a serious corruption problem.

So we are supposed to just let dictators do anything they please because we don't want hurt their subjects?

There's not many options beside kinetic war and obliterating the economy.

What do you suggest we do that would be more effective? Hand over Ukraine's sovereignty?

Re: Russians are trying to flee – data from Google Trends

#374

I managed to escape the country yesterday, had to flight to Egypt of all places, because ALL (even business) tickets were sold out. The recent news is that starting March 6 all international flights are suspended, the trap has closed. The disheartening thing is that even if you never supported Putin, other countries treat you as enemy. I am at Georgia now and banks refuse to open bank accounts to Russians, and I need…

> The disheartening thing is that even if you never supported Putin, other countries treat you as enemy.

This is precisely what leads to atrocities like Japanese internment camps. We are repeating dark history in real time and it's being actively cheered on by a bloodthirsty mob who have no regard for innocent civilians and kids.

Re: Russians are trying to flee – data from Google Trends

#375

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Maybe there is something you can work out with TerraUSD (algorithmic stablecoin) and localbitcoins.com

DAI and MIM are a more battle tested model than TerraUSD But yes a basket of stablecoins is good right now

DAI and MIM are KYC-ed at their root so I wouldnt go for them,

Edit: you have to be compliant to a subset of KYC to run their api - sorry i dont have the detail on top of my head, I do know its the case for USDC and last I checked DAI was KYC-rooted too. Everything thats stablecoin usd is KYC-rooted but TerraUSD which you cant purchase with usd on some major fiat ramp.

Also KYC is recursive right, if youre KYCed you got to KYC your users too

Re: Russians are trying to flee – data from Google Trends

#376
post #11

Earlier quoted context omitted.

a lot of people seem ok with punishing Russian individuals for the actions of the government. maybe these people have grown in better functioning democracies (unlike Russia or my own country) so they act as if the people were well represented by their governments; unlike reality for most countries with a serious corruption problem.

> a lot of people seem ok with punishing Russian individuals for the actions of the government. Its easy to say that but you have to look at the bigger picture. It's easy to say "just punish the government / the oligarchs", but as most Westerners know, these people have become extraordinarily adept at hiding their money and distributing their assets. So it is very difficult indeed to target them per-se, hence you nee…

No post body was provided.

Re: Russians are trying to flee – data from Google Trends

#377
post #344

I managed to escape the country yesterday, had to flight to Egypt of all places, because ALL (even business) tickets were sold out. The recent news is that starting March 6 all international flights are suspended, the trap has closed. The disheartening thing is that even if you never supported Putin, other countries treat you as enemy. I am at Georgia now and banks refuse to open bank accounts to Russians, and I need…

I'm glad you left in time, hope you find somewhere to stay and that your loved ones are safe too. First sinister thought that crossed my mind when two days ago I heard he'll likely prevent people fleeing on the 5th was that there must be some 40 million "fighting aged" men not doing essential work (for a military economy) under a despot out of medieval times. How significant do you consider the probability he's block…

"Putin denies rumours Russia was going to declare martial law"

https://www.business-standard.com/article/international/puti...

This mean will be done next week....

Re: Russians are trying to flee – data from Google Trends

#378

I managed to escape the country yesterday, had to flight to Egypt of all places, because ALL (even business) tickets were sold out. The recent news is that starting March 6 all international flights are suspended, the trap has closed. The disheartening thing is that even if you never supported Putin, other countries treat you as enemy. I am at Georgia now and banks refuse to open bank accounts to Russians, and I need…

[Disclaimer: Russian] According to my estimations, probably at least 95% of people who are "against the war" do not go out to participate in protests. My estimations are based on talking to my colleagues (large IT company). Yes, starting from now, protesting becomes more risky (you may go to jail for years if you get caught second time). But just a week ago, it was mostly harmless (yes, some people get arrested for f…

In some way you’re right. But it’s important to note that we haven’t chosen this government, we haven’t chosen this country we live in.

I personally lost any hope to change it one year earlier after participating in pro-Navalny protests. Now, I just don’t want to have anything in common with this government. I’m choosing another one. And I’m not going to pay taxes to Russian government anymore

Re: Russians are trying to flee – data from Google Trends

#379
post #277

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"As long as he controls the military protests can only do so much. " Most succesful revolutions happened, when the military joined the protests. The military is made up of common people after all. And it is hard to see through the fog of war from the distance - but my impression is, that the russian army fights very hesistant and with low morale and badly organized. And they are not welcomed as liberators. No matter…

That is solved by making this branch of military the most privileged and the best paid - basically make them addicts of the regime. This makes uprooting the status quo their existential threat.

that's what's happening in Russia, there are all kinds of benefits to being in police. You kids have priority over others when going to college. Despite not having education you are being paid better than the most. You have early retirement and etc.. Many are hired from low income rural areas.

If an average Russian is being brainwashed, for police it's much worse. They really think that people coming to protest are being paid by the "West" and show no mercy.

Anyone who supports opposition, like following someone in Instagram, is immediately fired.

Re: Russians are trying to flee – data from Google Trends

#380

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Fair chance it would turn into a bloodbath. Better would a national strike. Equally difficult to organize but much harder to attack.

I'm talking about ALL the people that are against Putin. Which if this guy is to be believed is most of the people. They are not going to kill most of their own people. A million people marching in Moscow would change minds.

A million people marching won't change Putin's mind, only a bullet to the head could (tho I don't expect protesters have a chance to reach him in his bunker), but it could convince even more citizens to walk into fire. However the army will certainly be given the order to kill their own people if they rise up, Putin's learned how to quell a revolt with blood while helping al-Assad with his own. I don't believe for a second he wouldn't turn another one or two of his cities into Grozny or Aleppo if he deems it necessary to deter revolt and make a point. The question is, if people actually revolt en masse, just how far will the military go in obeying orders. I don't believe in god but may it help them all, and us afterwards, if the they can't be convinced to mutiny even under those orders.
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