Tesla Announces a Humanoid Robot “Tesla Bot”

Post by moogly » Fri, Aug 20, 2021, 12:37 PM UTC

dougmwne wrote: post #230

FireBeyond wrote: post #159

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Right. I mean how many years has Boston Dynamics been cranking at 'teaching' a robot how to walk like a human, and it's still a work in progress? But of course Musk is going to bust it out in the next 16 months at most. Just like FSD, "this year", "this year really", "this time we promise we mean this year", "this year, seriously folks".

Boston Dynamics has made some pretty incredible progress. The very first videos had Atlas and Spot "walking" but really more like controlled tripping. It was cool and impressive, but definitely in line with my idea of what was possible in robotics. The most recent video has Atlas doing parkour. It's skin crawling. It looks fake. It can jump and flip better than I ever could. It is suddenly out of step with what I eve…

Post by HWR_14 » Fri, Aug 20, 2021, 12:39 PM UTC

rococode wrote: post #80

CommieBobDole wrote: post #53

Musk seems to have fallen for the idea that since he's had great success in one or two areas, he can easily repeat that success in other areas, even if the difficulty is much higher and entirely different skills are required. SpaceX and Tesla are great achievements, but they are primarily stories of successfully implementing and improving existing technologies with innovative engineering and business practices (like…

I feel people said the same thing about him for SpaceX and Tesla back when he was just the wacky PayPal guy. Remember SpaceX's first launch was in 2006 (before the iPhone existed!) and it's only started getting really serious traction in the past 5 years. Elon's no stranger to things that don't have any "useful form" for well over a decade. I'm quite certain he's aware of the realistic timelines, and he sells a diffe…

Post by HWR_14 » Fri, Aug 20, 2021, 12:43 PM UTC

cush wrote: post #194

OnlineGladiator wrote: post #129

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> If I had to make a bet on when it was possible, I'd say 25 years. Maybe 10 if Tesla goes all-in on robots and spends tens of billions on it, Manhattan project style. I have a decade of experience in robotics (including both humanoid robots and self-driving cars) and I think this is optimistic. Robotics is a wonderful field if you like to work on hard research problems. It is a terrible field if you're trying to inv…

If solid state battery tech takes off, it's entirely possible within a decade.

Post by HWR_14 » Fri, Aug 20, 2021, 12:49 PM UTC

sidcool wrote: post #243

bmitc wrote: post #170

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Tesla has nothing to do with rockets, so that’s all irrelevant. Tesla does not make the best electric vehicles. I doubt they’re sustainable in the future with more and more competition onboarding. For example, other car manufacturers rev their models every couple of years or so across dozens of models across several geographic regions. Tesla is clearly not able to do that with their existing three models. I guess we’…

There is still no car that closely challenges 2012 Model S. Tesla has a production problem not a demand problem.

Post by sixQuarks » Fri, Aug 20, 2021, 12:51 PM UTC

tenpies wrote: post #203

sixQuarks wrote: post #28

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Sure, you can say that, but name another person with a more impressive track record of actual accomplishments.

Jeff Bezos. I'll put it to you another way: if Tesla vanished tomorrow, life wouldn't really change. There may be a few brownouts in a corner of the planet as Tesla batteries vanish and power generators kick in, but life would largely be the same. EV adoption would continue sans Tesla just fine. Self-driving would probably even improve because there wouldn't be the risk of one greedy company, guinea-pigging people an…