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Scenarios in which Tesla FSD Beta 9.0 fails

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Re: Scenarios in which Tesla FSD Beta 9.0 fails

#141

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Because Elon doesn't operate under the same jurisdiction as us common people. Try calling out a random diver a 'pedo', or perform the most cynical kind of market manipulation (then laughing to the SEC at their face) and your outcome will be very different. It's Animal Farm all over.

> Elon doesn't operate under the same jurisdiction as us common people. Elon doesn't get any special treatment. You can do all these things as well if you're willing to expend resources when faced with repercussions. My suspicion though is society will give you more slack if you dramatically increase access to space for your nation state or make credible progress against a global ecological problem humanity is facing…

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Re: Scenarios in which Tesla FSD Beta 9.0 fails

#142
post #77
post #20

This really isn't beta grade software, as it isn't feature complete as the failure scenarios in the video clearly show. I'd call it alpha grade, and it has been that for a while. It's not 2 weeks or whatever unrealistic timeline away from being done, as Elon has claimed for ever. 2 perhaps years if we're lucky, but given human and driving complexity probably way more before even the whole of the USA is reliably suppo…

>This really isn't beta grade software, as it isn't feature complete as the failure scenarios in the video clearly show. I think it depends what they actually are trying to accomplish. This is Beta for a glorified cruise control overhaul; not a beta for promised RoboTaxi. Musk/Tesla tend to talk about RoboTaxi then slip seemlessly into/out of 'but today we have low engagement cruise control!'. Fair bit of hucksterism…

> I think it depends what they actually are trying to accomplish

Good point. "Full Self Driving" in my mind paints a picture beyond "a better cruise control". But maybe they meant that and just named it wrong.

Re: Scenarios in which Tesla FSD Beta 9.0 fails

#144
post #87

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We are going to need a fundamental breakthrough in AI to achieve the level of FSD that people expect. Like a convolutional neural network level breakthrough.

I suggest some simple Smoke Tests. I love that concept for software testing. It could be applied here to test if we are getting closer or further from what humans can do. Some examples: Smoke Test 1: Driving with Snow Smoke Test 2: Driving with Rain Smoke Test 3: You are driving to a Red sign and you notice 50 meters ahead a pedestrian has its headphones on. The pedestrian is distracted and looking at traffic coming…

>the cyclist bad humor

slecht humeur? That's "bad mood".

Re: Scenarios in which Tesla FSD Beta 9.0 fails

#145

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Elon doesn't operate under the same jurisdiction as us common people. Elon doesn't get any special treatment. You can do all these things as well if you're willing to expend resources when faced with repercussions. My suspicion though is society will give you more slack if you dramatically increase access to space for your nation state or make credible progress against a global ecological problem humanity is facing…

[flagged]

> HAHAHAHAHAHAHAAHA!

Defeatist thinking. As they say, pessimists get to be right, but optimists get to be rich.

Re: Scenarios in which Tesla FSD Beta 9.0 fails

#146
post #120

Many of the comments here seem a bit... unfair to me, considering that these clips were handpicked. I watched (and fast-forwarded) through a few of the original, full-length videos from which these clips were taken. The full-length videos show long drives (in some cases, hours long) almost entirely without human intervention, under conditions explicitly meant to be difficult for self-driving vehicles. One thing I rea…

It literally doesn't matter how well it does in 90% of situations when the other 10% can injure or kill people in relatively basic scenarios like the Tweets presented. I mean the car almost ran into a concrete pillar like it wasn't even there. > For BETA software, FSD 9 is doing remarkably well If this was a React website, that'd be great. But it's a production $40,000 multi ton automobile.

People will die today because a driver was drunk/distracted/suicidal/rode raged or had a medical problem.

Are you OK with that or do you think we should attempt to fix that with software? If you do think you should attempt to fix that, do you understand that software engineering is a iterative process? It gets safer overtime.

Re: Scenarios in which Tesla FSD Beta 9.0 fails

#147
post #34

I watched a human driver in a BMW weave at 90 mph through traffic yesterday, swerving back and forth between lanes inches from other peoples cars. If Tesla can make a car that's even 1% less dangerous than human drivers, that could be thousands of deaths avoided every year. Humans should not be allowed to drive cars on public streets.

> Humans should not be allowed to drive cars on public streets. Because the alternative right now is... this abomination that doesn't even grasp what a concrete pillar is?

Maybe it does and it is trying to put itself out of its misery?

Re: Scenarios in which Tesla FSD Beta 9.0 fails

#148

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Because Elon doesn't operate under the same jurisdiction as us common people. Try calling out a random diver a 'pedo', or perform the most cynical kind of market manipulation (then laughing to the SEC at their face) and your outcome will be very different. It's Animal Farm all over.

Actually most of us can do any or all of the following things that Elon did (write a tweet calling a diver a pedo, write a tweet claiming that a stock will go to 420 huh huh, tweet random nonsense about cryptos, criticize the SEC or FAA, etc.) with very little consequence, if any.

Step 1: Become the CEO/major shareholder of a billion+ dollar company.

Step 2: Publicly lie about some purported acquisition with the purpose of manipulating the stock of said company.

We can talk after you've done that, from jail probably.

Re: Scenarios in which Tesla FSD Beta 9.0 fails

#149
post #55

Why are there so many comments from seemingly different posters all saying the same thing on this, "I don't understand why humans are allowed to drive cars"? It feels kinda... culty? Or too similar to be a coincidence. It honestly probably is but these Tesla posts always bring out those types and it confuses me. Humans kill humans, do we want machines to start doing it on the road automatically now too?

I think the idea is, if humans were held to the standards machines are, we wouldn't let them drive. If you offered me a car that drove itself, and statistically, it killed people at the same rate as humans, but let me not have to drive, I'd take that. Nobody everybody agrees.

> I think the idea is, if humans were held to the standards machines are, we wouldn't let them drive.

But the reverse is true. Humans receive driving bans and even criminal penalties for the sort of driving errors autonomous systems make without penalty.

Re: Scenarios in which Tesla FSD Beta 9.0 fails

#150
post #11

I don't understand how something this broken is allowed to operate on public roads. If I drove like Tesla's FSD seems to based on the videos I've seen, I'd be pulled out of my car and arrested on (well founded) suspicions of "driving while hammered." After a decade of work, it's not capable of doing much beyond "blundering around a city mostly without hitting stuff, but pay attention, because it'll try to hit the mos…

The monorail video is jaw-dropping. Nine versions in, I would expect ongoing challenges with things like you mention. But continued failure to even see large, flat obstacles is no longer something that needs to be fixed – that it has persisted this long (even after killing someone as in the case of T-boning a semi trailer at highway speeds) is an indictment of the entire approach Tesla has been taking to FSD. I used…

I think a big issue with that instance (monorail) is probably because they just threw out years of radar data without having a comparable reliability in place with the vision only.

Completely mental that they are allowed to run this on public roadways.

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