61–70 of 107 posts
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Could you elaborate more on why China is a hostile military power?
The very question indicates that we live in different universes, and in your China never threatens Taiwan with violent reattachment nor plays provocation games with military jets.
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I'd like to remind you, TSMC's most famous clients, Apple, Qualcomm, NVIDIA, AMD, happens to be US companies, IF what you said really happens, basically China gets a steaming pile with barely any use.
China is doing everything it can to create a domestic chip industry, even going so far as to poach TSMC engineers to support SMIC. To suggest that they have no domestic use for TSMC and its products is ignoring reality.
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Could you elaborate more on why China is a hostile military power?
The very question indicates that we live in different universes, and in your China never threatens Taiwan with violent reattachment nor plays provocation games with military jets.
And China has about as much right to govern Taiwan as the Habsburg-Lothringen dynasty to govern Czechia.
But you do not seem to deny that China acts in a hostile way towards Taiwan. You switched to "someone else has a dirty conscience too" defense.
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The very question indicates that we live in different universes, and in your China never threatens Taiwan with violent reattachment nor plays provocation games with military jets.
IDK why I cannot reply directly to you, but I am not even an American. And China has about as much right to govern Taiwan as the Habsburg-Lothringen dynasty to govern Czechia. But you do not seem to deny that China acts in a hostile way towards Taiwan. You switched to "someone else has a dirty conscience too" defense.
"you do not seem to deny that ...", I didn't deny it immediately since it's a bit far fetched to argue comparing to the previous paragraph, we even bombed a small island with no people for twenty years(keyword: Second Taiwan Strait Crisis), but that's history, does Xi want Taiwan back? of course, does Xi want to go down as a tyrant? of course not, look at history, we got HK and Macau back, peacefully, remember that.
On the other hand, recently, Taiwan government refused vaccines from China, I think they really went too far.
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I support recognising Taiwan. But doing so won't make it any more secure.
The Taiwan government would probably welcome some US military/naval bases.
My previous comment on a previous post: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26382543
Seems relevant.
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China will not attempt to invade Taiwan (at least not now). But the threat of invasion will be continued to played up in US politics in order to support increased military spending and aggressive industrial policies towards US allies (in particular Taiwan but also South Korea).
If Xi considers unification to be his legacy, there is a high risk of invasion.
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The solution is to collectively, clearly, and politely tell the Communist Party of China to get fked. A lot of companies will lose money and a lot of things will get expensive, but it’s either rip the bandaid off now or amputate a limb later. Does the world have the courage to do it?
Unfortunately, it seems the path the world is taking is to become less dependent on Taiwan and China while avoiding upsetting China. We're going to see a repeat of these events 20 years from now when Vietnam's economy grows, thanks to manufacturing relocation, and we're just as dependent on them for various things. Right now the world is hoping and praying that Vietnam will liberalize when money flows in, but it's mo…
By the way, does the mainland China have the technologies to produce the chips Taiwan does too?
Not at the level that TSMC does. TSMC gets their lithographic machines from ASML, which leads the industry by a large margin. So far, China has not been able to acquire its most cutting-edge machines. They are currently relegated to using older fab generations.
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Can a place be recognized as a country by the UN if a Security Council member vetos?
Perhaps, if all the rest of the security council members and other countrises recognize it individually. You can veto a UN decision but not a sovereign country decision.
So 2 of the 5 permanent members of the UN is already not going to do this.
And it is not only limited to non-western countries, the same argument holds for Spain with Catalonia for instance.
Real-politik is complicated.
Here is another headline, The world relies on two chip marker in South Korea for NAND and DRAM, leaving Everyone Vulnerable. Although arguably NAND and DRAM are commodities, and US already has a back up strategy ( Micron ).