How Lucky Is Too Lucky in Minecraft?

Post by konschubert » Tue, May 18, 2021, 7:27 AM UTC

flaubere wrote: post #61

ketzu wrote: post #25

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> but Dream hired a statistician to debunk the numbers in the first video. The video discusses this and tries to provide their own intuition besides the two papers, as both agree on the core odds of the likelyhood being around 2 x 10^22. They contrast this with the number of events if 10 billion (10^10) humans would do something for 1 century (10^2) every second (~3.15 x 10^7): ~3.15 * 10^19. So the odds of the event…

If the chance of it happening is that small, isn't it fair to also consider the probability that we live in a universe without objective reality and/or where a god or gods intentionally interfere with random occurrences such as RNG outputs? I would put this at better than 1/10^22. If you claimed that your religion was real and showed me an incontrovertible 'miracle' which had a chance of less than 1/10^20 of occurrin…

Post by bryanrasmussen » Tue, May 18, 2021, 1:47 PM UTC

smogcutter wrote: post #79

bryanrasmussen wrote: post #45

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As chaorace above you suggested, it was so structured by the arrival of the technology to keep track of everything you ever did that was bad and put it online for future reference. The tendency to do it was already in place, it is likely that you see someone from high school that was a jerk and you think that jerk once did this, even if it was 15 years ago. That's a sort of normal human tendency. Some people are so n…

I agree with you, but that’s a subtly different claim than that we used to have a community process (or ritual, but that’s adding some baggage) for forgiveness/reintegration that has since been lost. Not having the technology that creates a social record is different than actively forgiving and forgetting.

Post by SAI_Peregrinus » Tue, May 18, 2021, 2:48 PM UTC

bryanrasmussen wrote: post #93

smogcutter wrote: post #79

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I agree with you, but that’s a subtly different claim than that we used to have a community process (or ritual, but that’s adding some baggage) for forgiveness/reintegration that has since been lost. Not having the technology that creates a social record is different than actively forgiving and forgetting.

well the community process thing is sort of a more complicated thing - some argue that the old process of putting people in the stocks / public humiliation was a more humane way of treating people because they then paid their debt and could be reintegrated. Not saying I agree but the argument at any rate is there was a community process. I am at any rate open to the possibility that this was a good aspect of a system…

Post by gamblor956 » Tue, May 18, 2021, 4:18 PM UTC

beardyw wrote: post #85

gamblor956 wrote: post #78

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As a friend in the State Department exlained, it's because of the French and the British. Generally,"nation" is used to refer to an autonomous political unit, but "nation-state" refers specifically to a sovereign nation. And the French and the Brits have/had a lot of "nations" which are part of their "nation" and which thus are not "nation states" of their own. For example, Scotsland (and even technically Britain its…

"Britain" is a bit confusing. Most often it is used to refer to the UK itself, or sometimes to Great Britain the island. I doubt that's what you meant.