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The global chip shortage is starting to have consequences

cnbc.com

641–650 of 741 posts

Re: The global chip shortage is starting to have consequences

#641

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You won't find small car footprint trucks anymore because of CAFE standards. The small size pickup is infeasible to get to happen while still getting "truck" performamce characteristics at that size. At least as far as I understand, that and safety requirements are the main driver of truck size increases over time.

To honest, when I think of a small truck I just want something with about the power of a sedan or estate car but with a flat bed instead of more seats. I get why people like big trucks, but I think there's a lot of people who want storage space without necessarily needing massive towing power.

Like the first-generation (scroll down) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volkswagen_Caddy

Re: The global chip shortage is starting to have consequences

#642

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Many products like water boilers, ovens or toasters can be built more robust without digital chips. I would argue we would see a overall quality improvement from having a bad chip shortage.

Genuine question: how is the lack of digital chips going to make a toaster more robust?

YouTuber Technology Connections was featured in the recent discussion on diswashing machines and detergents. He's done a video on a lovely ancient toaster, too: https://youtu.be/1OfxlSG6q5Y

Fully automatic brownness selection, and hands-free insertion and pop-up -- all without any electronic chips at all.

Re: The global chip shortage is starting to have consequences

#643

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The industry has largely forgotten how to make stuff without chips. That's why I am telling people that a global chip shortage, if something happens to Taiwan, would bring the industry not back into fifties, but into the iron age. The further the tech ladder you go, the harder you fall if somebody takes out your engineering bay.

What could happen to Taiwan? I’m interested.

Invasion by the PRC seems the most plausible threat. So obvious, in fact, that I'm wondering why you ask.

Re: The global chip shortage is starting to have consequences

#644

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Most new cars still suck / Do not offer meaningful new features That really depends on how old your car is. I generally buy instead of lease, and run the car until it starts having regular problems. As a result, my car is 12 years old, and any new one from the last few years is a significant upgrade in terms of features. I don't really want a monthly car payment again, but I'm almost looking forward to when my curren…

We had a 2020 Corolla as a rental over Christmas/New Years 2019/20, and it was amazing. What we drive at home: a 2008 Ford Fiesta that my husband bought in 2013. My only worry is that something will go wrong enough with it in the next year or so that we’d be compelled to get another car in this rather tight market, but otherwise, knowing that your car's current resale (and repurchase) value is approximately the secon…

> We had a 2020 Corolla as a rental over Christmas/New Years 2019/20

How does that work? Are models named for the year after they become available?

Re: The global chip shortage is starting to have consequences

#645

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But lifetime support doesn’t help if the parts for your machine aren’t available anymore. If your 20 year old machine breaks and there aren’t parts available to fix it, you might get offered an equivalent replacement. If your old chip masks are incompatible with the replacement machine, you’re not immediately able to make what you need. So for some companies, having lifetime support might not help with the manufactur…

The parts were made by humans once, they can be made by humans again. The only question is is it worth it

Not completely sure on this one, for example how the Romans had better concrete than we have now, even despite all of our scientific advancements

Re: The global chip shortage is starting to have consequences

#647

Interestingly, there is an embedded video in that article that explains the issue specific to the automotive shortage - it's because the automotive industry cancelled a lot of chip orders in anticipation of low vehicle demand and that caused chip makers to reduce their production for the kinds of chips that go into cars, and now it takes time to ramp back up: https://www.cnbc.com/video/2021/03/02/how-the-global-compu…

I get that this is a potential big problem, but I had to stop reading when the dog washing company blamed needing to respin a new board on a chip being out of stock due to this. I'm sorry, but if you aren't buying enough chips to build all the boards you want to build of a revision, this is just what happens, chip shortage or no. Stuff gets obsoleted all the time, it doesn't take a chip shortage. Blaming a black swan…

Re-spinning a board, LOL. Dude, there's copper substrate shortage on the market, people have delays getting their already ordered PCBs delivered.

Re: The global chip shortage is starting to have consequences

#648
post #494

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“The parts that don’t have a pin compatible substitute” is usually 80% of your total BOM cost. It’s not a helpful clarification. Let’s take something totally ordinary like an STM32 MCU, and let’s ignore for a moment that there are now some clones on the market, with questionable compatibility at times. Even though they’re unique parts, there is no way anybody sane would stock up on those for the lifetime of a product…

I’ve been stocking up on various chips and components for the last month. Almost grabbed some STM32s. Maybe if I can find them. I have this growing gut feeling we are at the peak of technology... at least for a while.

On the other hand, I expect this whole mess to propel technology way forward, especially the microchip market. Everyone can now see that there is extreme demand for it and what is compatibility and standardization good for.

Re: The global chip shortage is starting to have consequences

#649
post #632

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Embedded development is more than just wrangling C, that would be like saying backend dev is wrangling EC2 instances ;). It's knowing how low level hardware operates and knowing how to dig yourself out of the various gotchas like for example figuring out that a last minute replacement of the crystal oscillator by the HW team with a cheaper one is now screwing up your boot process or that the reason your products are…

I hope an EE with a logic analyzer will help troubleshoot the clock problem, since I don't think the prevailing software methodology will work (i.e., ask on Stackoverflow, then add three dozen more Node.js packages to the firmware footprint). :)

You don't need EE for that, just reasonably competent embedded programmer with a logic analyzer. But that's typically the difference between embedded programmers and "normal" programmers.

Re: The global chip shortage is starting to have consequences

#650

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I agree. Why does my toothbrush have to connect to bluetooth? Why does my refrigerator twitter? Analytics etc; to get "relevant" ads. That's all this IoT and data syphoning etc is mostly about. How often do you brush your teeth? What toothpaste do you use? Maybe your dentist needs to know that or, at least, someone from some (big) (tech) company doing data science about it for whatever reason (mostly to show you ads)…

Sure. That's what's in it for some "them" out there somewhere. What's in it for me, the consumer who just wants to brush my teeth? (Crickets.) So don't hold your breath for this stuff to take off. Most people won't spend more money to buy something that will benefit someone else.

That's why they build it into everything, so you won't have a choice but to buy it.
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