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Newark cops, with reform, didn't fire a single shot in 2020

nj.com

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Re: Newark cops, with reform, didn't fire a single shot in 2020

#101
post #90

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is where you and I disagree, and frankly why our country will continue to decline into more polarization and violence. I believe that you convince people that they're wrong by making a reasoned argument. You seem to believe that you convince people that they're wrong by shutting them up, and censoring them. And as a free human being, I'll push whichever POV I so choose.

From my perspective the U.S. has steadily shifted to the right the past 40 years. I doubt that a person advocating Reagan’s policies would be supported by today’s Republican Party. We have entered into territory where the paradox of tolerance is very much a reality. Tolerance is no longer a good option when confronting disingenuous comments. There is a significant segment of the American public that simply can no lon…

This is what has actually happened to the country's political values (click animate to view the data over the past several decades):

https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/interactives/political-...

Here is a more detailed discussion of the data. Tragically, Pew Research describes the situation as dire even back in 2014, which was before polarization really started to accelerate.

https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2014/06/12/political-po...

As you can see, both parties are moved toward the extremes, but in recent years the left has moved further to the left than the right toward the right.

These moves to the extremes of the right and left are driven partly by social media, and partly by traditional media (since most traditional media these days originates in social media: original reportage is getting increasingly rare).

Re: Newark cops, with reform, didn't fire a single shot in 2020

#102
post #13

I think this only addresses half of what's wrong with Newark PD. Newark still spends about a third of it's city budget on police, at the expense of essential services like infrastructure and education. Newark PD still arrests Black people at a much much higher rate than white people. The disparity of arrest rates is even greater when it comes to drug possession.

This sentiment about arrest rates really needs to go.

I've done a deep dive into the numbers. Murder rate data from the FBI has a large "unknown" category, so I'll handle that in a few ways for simplicity. Focusing on murders rather than other violent crime is the best thing to do because, while there may be a lot of ambiguity about what constitutes "assault", how often it's reported, etc., there really isn't much ambiguity about murder. We don't lose track of bodies very often. Here's the murder rate in the U.S. broken down by race. All numbers are murderers (offenders) per 100,000 people:

White (simple, ignoring "Unknown"): 1.8 Black (simple, ignoring "Unknown"): 13.3

White (assuming all "Unknown" are White): 3.7 Black (assuming all "Unknown" are Black): 23.2

White (splitting up "Unknown" by existing proportion of total): 2.6 Black (splitting up "Unknown" by existing proportion of total): 18.8

The difference is stark. Using the 2.6 vs. 18.8 numbers, probably closest to the truth, Black people in the U.S. are about seven times more likely to murder in a given year than are white people. The number becomes even more stark if you compare Black to non-Black (because Asians are less likely to murder than Whites), and yet more stark if you just look at men (women murder at something like 1/8 the rate of men, so having them in the system dilutes all differences). If you remove Black Americans from the system, U.S. murder rates look like much of Western Europe.

This is a hard thing but it is a true thing. Most of the differences in how police treat Black vs. White people in the U.S. are driven by this phenomenon, not racism on the part of cops or "the system". There is an argument to be made about a legacy of slavery or systemic racism, and maybe it's important to do that, but those arguments are completely irrelevant to the cop who's walking a beat in a bad neighborhood--White or Black. That cop will (involuntarily) collect statistics on the world around him or her, and will act accordingly. We call it learning. You can't help but do it. I think some small proportion of this enormous difference is due to a feedback loop, i.e. people end up murdering more because they're policed more.

Insofar as you are "outraged" by this simple statement of fact, you are part of the problem--not the solution. Real solutions to the real problems of murder and differential policing in the U.S. require people who are brave enough to look the problem right in the eye. Ignoring the obvious truth proves to me that you don't really care about actually helping people, and are really in it to impress your friends with how woke you are.

There's a lot of work to be done, please be part of the solution.

FBI UCR murder offender data: https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s/2019/crime-in-the-u.s.-... Census data: https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-kits/2020/population-e...

Re: Newark cops, with reform, didn't fire a single shot in 2020

#103
post #64

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Except see Chicago, where its also legal, and arresting black people for marijuana related crimes continues unabated. https://www.chicagotribune.com/news/breaking/ct-marijuana-le...

”Most arrests involve possessing or attempting to sell amounts over the legal limit of 30 grams. I mean, they are breaking the new marijuana laws. Is this wrong? If I try and make my own moonshine and sell it I’ll go to jail too.

Making your own moonshine can kill people via methanol poisoning. Weed can’t kill you. What’s your point again? Hundreds of thousands of pounds of weed are sold via the black market every year, yet nobody dies[0].

You could also never be caught for moonshining, I know drug dealers who have sold for years without any police contact.

[0] People died from consuming THC carts that were tainted with Vitamin E acetate. Otherwise, weed products have not killed anyone ever.

Re: Newark cops, with reform, didn't fire a single shot in 2020

#104
post #2

Some time ago, I watched Frontline's "Policing the Police" episode that featured Newark and Baraka's efforts. The episode was fairly early in their process (2016), and does a nice job of framing up both the problem, and how they intended to solve it. Jelani Cobb hosts it. He does a ride-along, and somewhat incredibly, sees the problems first hand...despite the cops he's riding with knowing full well he's filming ever…

It's on youtube [1]. They released another documentary with the same name and the same Newark subject with 2020 updates [2]. They both have the same duration but are different. [1] Policing the Police (2016) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2_8vTl6D940 [2] Policing the Police (2020) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=taNwWilMVLg Both come with optional English subtitles.

Extra confusing that they share a lot of footage. The 2020 release is an update more than a new work.

Re: Newark cops, with reform, didn't fire a single shot in 2020

#105
post #81

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is where you and I disagree, and frankly why our country will continue to decline into more polarization and violence. I believe that you convince people that they're wrong by making a reasoned argument. You seem to believe that you convince people that they're wrong by shutting them up, and censoring them. And as a free human being, I'll push whichever POV I so choose.

If you make a statement and provide a source that contradicts your statement, yes, you should be questioned on why you even provided that source in the first place, and if you actually read/comprehended it. That isn't "shutting them up", they invalidated their own claims with their own source.

Question?

Absolutely. I encourage respectful questioning and refuting.

Flagging and censoring? (cdot2 had been flagged into invisibility until he was unflagged) "paradox of tolerance"[1]?

Nope

1. People should read _Open Society and Its Enemies_ before making that argument, because how they're applying it is not what Popper argued.

Re: Newark cops, with reform, didn't fire a single shot in 2020

#106
post #65

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Black and brown people are left out of the windfall and continue to be arrested for selling weed illegally. I would hazard a guess that if they were instead selling bootlegged booze illegally they would also be arrested. I’m not clear what point you’re trying to make.

I hear you, but: 1) Selling bootleg booze has health/quality risks that selling weed doesn't. You don't see crackdowns on people selling other plants without a license. 2) Legalizing possession and then only giving licenses to well-connected people who are excellent at getting paperwork through the system is, well, a lot better than nothing but doesn't really solve the whole problem.

Why does the business of selling cannabis need to be so accessible?

If someone wants to do it, they can put in the work to 'get the paperwork through the system'; if they just want it to be available to them and their friends, well, now it is, because someone else has put in that work. I don't really see the issue?

(But then, I'm glad to live in a country that hasn't legalised it, so what do I know.)

Re: Newark cops, with reform, didn't fire a single shot in 2020

#107
post #65

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Black and brown people are left out of the windfall and continue to be arrested for selling weed illegally. I would hazard a guess that if they were instead selling bootlegged booze illegally they would also be arrested. I’m not clear what point you’re trying to make.

I hear you, but: 1) Selling bootleg booze has health/quality risks that selling weed doesn't. You don't see crackdowns on people selling other plants without a license. 2) Legalizing possession and then only giving licenses to well-connected people who are excellent at getting paperwork through the system is, well, a lot better than nothing but doesn't really solve the whole problem.

Selling is different, I think, than possession because dealers are often not just selling one thing like marijuana, but more dangerous drugs as well. I can understand an arrest in the case of dealing.

Re: Newark cops, with reform, didn't fire a single shot in 2020

#108

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What a disgusting and false comment https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/factcheck/2020/09/29/fac... - Rates of white-on-white and Black-on-Black homicide are similar, at around 80% and 90% - Rates of Black-on-white and white-on-Black homicide also within 8 points - Police kill Black people at disproportionate rates

Please do tell me what's "disgusting" about mentioning a statistical fact? Feel free to look at the FBI's uniform crime statistics, among others and see what I mean. Ideological considerations only make progress harder when they blatantly try to ignore realities. As for your claim that police disproportionately kill black people, well, actually it's a bit more complicated than that and doesn't quite negate what I men…

Maybe you think you are being helpful and informative, but citing the FBI statistics is a tired trope and you are behaving, online, indistinguishably from hardcore racists.

https://knowyourmeme.com/memes/despite-being-only-13-percent...

EDIT: themgt, this is not a throwaway account. I'm a long time user that often gets banned and returns to try again to have reasonable discourse. I find it hard because for educated people, many on this site are full of unexamined biases.

Ok, so I cited another take on crime statistics when presented with the super-trope of OP citing the FBI crime statistics. What I'm trying to do is educate you and others that if you don't socialize with the other half of the internet, well they see someone post the FBI crime statistics and they think, "Wow, what a total racist or a total knucklehead."

What is the truth that you want me to know that you don't think I don't?

I'll tell you the truth that I want you to know: if you reach for the FBI crime statistics instead of the testimony and experience of law-abiding people of color then your trust is in authority and not in the integrity of good people everywhere

Re: Newark cops, with reform, didn't fire a single shot in 2020

#109
post #16

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Check the demographics, white people make up only about one third of the population in Newark.

Arresting at a hire rate means in comparison to the demographics of the city. In 2020, 50% of Newark residents were Black but 80% of arrests were of Black people. 80% of victims of police use of force were Black. A third of the city is white but only 4% of police use of force victims are white. [1] [1]: https://www.nj.com/opinion/2020/07/newark-must-do-more-to-st...

It doesn't mean anything without specifying the denominator, they could've meant per unit time, population, or crime.

Now that you've specified though, the only remaining wiggle room is 'who is actually committing the crimes'.

80% arrests being black people is 'fine' if 80% of 'arrestable crime'[^] is committed by the black population; it just points to something other than policing needing improvement. Education perhaps, or welfare.

[^] by this I just mean that not all convicted crime involves an arrest, and maybe there are demographic differences in the types of crimes committed

Re: Newark cops, with reform, didn't fire a single shot in 2020

#110
post #84

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The problem with all this data is that it doesn't inform us of who is actually committing crimes . If we are overly fixated on racism by the police and confuse correlation with causation, we might entirely miss other structural/systemic factors that might be leading (or forcing) black people to criminal behavior more often than white people. I am aware of some research that tries to estimate propensity to actually co…

The police don't get to decide who committed a crime, the judicial system does. Yours is the same argument that George Floyd deserved what he got because he was a criminal. Being arrested or frisked by police does not a criminal make. Conviction does. It's a duck.

It seems oddly philosophical to suggest that a crime hasn't been committed until its would-be committor has been convicted...

Regardless of what you want to call it in the time between the event later deemed criminal, and the sentencing, surely you see that that's what GP was referring to? That there may be differences in demography of 'who is involved in these events'.

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