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Neutralizing antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 variants after infection, vaccination

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Re: Neutralizing antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 variants after infection, vaccination

#261

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There are already areas of the country where "this" isn't going on, where businesses are open at full capacity and the public is happy to patronize them. Even in the most socially distanced areas, there's lots of people going on vacations and eating in restaurants and having house parties with their friends and family. So when you talk about reopening in Easter 2022, it's hard to connect that with the state of things…

We will absolutely see another surge before the vaccine roll out is completed. So tens of thousands of more people will die because states reopened too quickly. Easter, 2022 is no more realistic than Easter, 2020. Expectations need to be set that are reasonable and err on the side of caution and pessimism.

The source of this thread was a comment attempting to set the expectation that things will never get better, and nobody will ever again live the way they did in 2019. There’s a huge chasm between that and your (reasonable) claim that some people have moved a bit too fast and there may be public health consequences.

Re: Neutralizing antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 variants after infection, vaccination

#262
post #119

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"Younger people are also more affected [2]" The paper you're citing says "younger" means 59, vs 66 for influenza: > Patients with COVID-19 were younger (median age [IQR], 59 [45–71] vs 66 [52–77]; P Also, this is data from a single hospital , across two different years. The overall trends for SARS-CoV2 are not even remotely debatable: the risk of mortality rises exponentially with age. It's one of the most striking f…

I just took the first study I could find. You seem to claim that it’s conclusions are wrong and that young people are less affected of COVID than influenza. Do you have good studies to back this up?

I am telling you that your comment is not supported by the source you cited.

You can find a wide range of publications showing the age-specific mortality profile of Covid by Googling. Here is one that is commonly cited:

https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10654-020-00698-1

Re: Neutralizing antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 variants after infection, vaccination

#263
post #256

Earlier quoted context omitted.

For a freight truck to cross Europe can take multiple days, especially as drivers are not allowed to drive more than 9 hours a day (all European trucks are outfitted with a tachograph) and in some countries they have to stop for all of Sunday. During those days on the road, drivers need to be able to stop and use a quality toilet and buy food, which generally means a petrol station. That is the existing infrastructur…

> That is the existing infrastructure – your vision of hermetically sealed, disease-free places to stop is simply unrealistic as considerable time and money would be needed to build these everywhere in Europe that a driver would need to stop. All countries with quarantine facilities I'm aware of are using existing buildings. They don't have to be hermetically sealed, just ensure that people don't come into contact wi…

All those countries with quarantine facilities are using a handful of locations around a handful of airports or ports. Truck drivers in Europe need to stop in an exponentially larger amount of places, and even repurposing existing facilities would be too great a challenge on that scale. Again, you don’t seem to understand how freight transport works in Europe.

Re: Neutralizing antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 variants after infection, vaccination

#264
post #140

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Even if vaccinated people can contract the virus, they are likely to fight it off relatively quickly and keep the virus load in their bodes low, keeping their chances of transmitting it much lower than an unvaccinated person would. Lets say being vaccinated halves your chances of passing on the virus compared to an unvaccinated person. If almost all the population get vaccinated, we can ease the lockdown to the point…

But if the vaccines don't prevent infection, you won't achieve herd immunity until 70% have been infected one way or another.

It may well be that having already been infected doesn't prevent you passing on the virus, in exactly the same way.

Whether your immune system knows how to fight the virus from previous infection, or from a vaccine, it can take time for your immune system to kick in and fight of a new infection. During that time you might be infectious.

Re: Neutralizing antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 variants after infection, vaccination

#265

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Your comment wasn't constructive and at worst, sounded like you were making light of mask wearing by suggesting we should just never leave our houses. Of course if everyone was confined to their houses, there would be less sickness but nobody is debating that. We're debating the normalization of mask wearing.

It sounds like your concern is masks, not saving lives. Because if you care more about saving lives you will realize people only need to stay home. Fewer fatal accidents, infections, and other disturbances if people just never ventured outside their homes.

I'm not sure what kind of strange reality you're speaking from but it's not one that currently exists.

Re: Neutralizing antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 variants after infection, vaccination

#266

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We will absolutely see another surge before the vaccine roll out is completed. So tens of thousands of more people will die because states reopened too quickly. Easter, 2022 is no more realistic than Easter, 2020. Expectations need to be set that are reasonable and err on the side of caution and pessimism.

The source of this thread was a comment attempting to set the expectation that things will never get better, and nobody will ever again live the way they did in 2019. There’s a huge chasm between that and your (reasonable) claim that some people have moved a bit too fast and there may be public health consequences.

"Never" is always an exaggeration. I took that to be hyperbole, meaning "not for a very, very long time." Maybe the western world has this fully under control in a year. What about the virus mutating everywhere else? All you need is the next patient zero to get on a plane with some highly resistant variant and this starts all over again.

Re: Neutralizing antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 variants after infection, vaccination

#267
post #155

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Well, in Germany three politicians who had to resign because of corruption where they had made deals with companies manufacturing masks and made hundreds of thousands of euros. And this is just facts and no conspiracy theories, and I bet this goes on at every level. If you find a way to (legitimately) control people and peoples behaviours, of course it's lucrative.

You can't just say it's "lucrative." You have to say how. Are you saying that a controlling number of powerful politicians or their backers are heavily invested in mask manufacture, but not in any of the parts of the economy that are affected negatively by the lockdowns? And "hundreds of thousands of Euros?" That's a pittance. There has to be more to be made (than maybe enough to buy a studio apartment in Berlin) in…

Have you never heard of corruption before? This is not something that I'm saying, it's out in the news in plain sight
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