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EU Signs €145B Declaration to Develop Next Gen Processors and 2nm Technology

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Re: EU Signs €145B Declaration to Develop Next Gen Processors and 2nm Technology

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post #305
post #296

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There is a popular myth that 'there was a mighty USSR and some enemies ruined it'. The Soviet Union collapsed because of massively broken economy. That's just basic science. They exported oil and imported grain. Russia imported GRAIN for gods sake. Then oil prices collapsed. Next? They did nothing and just ate through the resources until they were no more. And then 'evil liberals/evil west destroying the great countr…

The truth is in between. Was USSR full of internal problems? Yes. Did USA and allies want USSR destroyed and actively work on? Also yes. Saying that Cold War and the arms race had absolutely no role in USSR collapse is either a blatant lie or incompetence.

Exactly. Had the west not interfered, the USSR would recover from the 80s crisis. Instead, they took advantage of its shortcomings and managed to break up the union: Gorbachev is considered by many Russians a traitor, but he was not the only western investment in toppling the Soviet Union.

Let's remind that full-on opening of the market was not what the west promised, but it's what they pushed for once the reforms passed a point of no return and they wouldn't take "no" for an answer. Propaganda is what won the cold war.

Re: EU Signs €145B Declaration to Develop Next Gen Processors and 2nm Technology

#312

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't think the US will allow that. They probably have enough leverage.

I think they squandered that recently. We will see with Biden but the Trump administration basically encouraged Brexit and repeatedly adopted anti- EU positions in key geopolitical issues (Syria, NATO, Iran, Israel, and Ukraine). These things come with a cost and the EU will try to rectify this. Enhancing Chinas CPU tech by a few generations might be worth it if it can advance EU interests and ensure future good-fait…

Enhancing China’s CPU tech even a single generation is in the EU’s interest in exactly 0 alternate universes, along with this one.

As long as the US has the world’s only reserve currency and as long as the EU economy - especially the productive bit in the North - is built on exporting to the all-powerful US consumer, the EU has very little leverage in its affairs with the US.

Re: EU Signs €145B Declaration to Develop Next Gen Processors and 2nm Technology

#313
post #226
post #171

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yet after spending 133 billion € the vast majority of Romanian, Bulgarian and many more countries villages do not have sewage pipes for example

I don’t know how much the EU spent, but over here EU money payed for a frankly crazy amount of fiber optic cable. Completely common for a house far from any urban centre to have fiber internet.

Which I found that very amusing, because Germany is suffering from really bad and expensive cable/copper internet all over the place.

Re: EU Signs €145B Declaration to Develop Next Gen Processors and 2nm Technology

#314
post #259

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Man, I wish I too shared such optimism in EU or other massive multi government bureaucratic organizations to pull something off like this in 2021. But sorry I simply don’t. From my experience with gov trying to do tech investment it’s going to go into the pockets of late career overpaid ‘executives’ with ‘industry experience’ and tons of (also overpaid and underqualified) contractors doing the same thing. Not the bri…

> Not the brilliant engineers you imagine are going to run it. I have no doubts brilliant European engineers are going to work on the hard problems of shipping a next gen chip process and design... In America! What the EU should do is earmark some of that money to be directly paid as engineering salaries. Of course they won't: that would reduce the piece of the pie of all the non-technical managers and bureaucrats!

> I have no doubts brilliant European engineers are going to work on the hard problems of shipping a next gen chip process and design... In America!

Exactly. The salaries in EU are pitiful.

Re: EU Signs €145B Declaration to Develop Next Gen Processors and 2nm Technology

#315

ITT bashing on EU without understanding it I believe the 17 signing nations are allowed to inject money into their own economy. Even if the goals are a bit unrealistic. EDIT The 2-3 years is when the funds are allocated. Not when the results are expected.

Still, I think the 2-3 years is too short. I believe if you put in a lot of money into something it needs a bit of time, otherwise every participant will just do whatever they normally do, just more of it.

The 2-3 years is when funding start, not when results are expected.

Re: EU Signs €145B Declaration to Develop Next Gen Processors and 2nm Technology

#316

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Well I can certainly say one thing, thanks to EU regulation I don't have to eat chlorinated chicken, the air is clean and I have reasonable working hours and holiday protected by law. You seem to suggest that regulation is always bad, I think a lot of people would disagree.

> Well I can certainly say one thing, thanks to EU regulation I don't have to eat chlorinated chicken, the air is clean well, if you completely ignore that the EU pushed diesel over petrol, to protect its domestic industries exactly the same as the chicken thing neither are to protect your health, that's just a secondary effect that the EU uses for PR

Comparing chlorinated chicken to diesel is just insane.

Re: EU Signs €145B Declaration to Develop Next Gen Processors and 2nm Technology

#317
post #259

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If the EU treats this as a strategic capability and not commercial, the spending is much less of a consideration. The advantage that the EU has is in fact ASML. No company can make the 5nm litho systems today, and catching up with the decades of R&D they've invested is not feasible. They are the greatest achievement of science and technology on the planet. [0] The strategy that can work is for the EU to partner with…

Man, I wish I too shared such optimism in EU or other massive multi government bureaucratic organizations to pull something off like this in 2021. But sorry I simply don’t. From my experience with gov trying to do tech investment it’s going to go into the pockets of late career overpaid ‘executives’ with ‘industry experience’ and tons of (also overpaid and underqualified) contractors doing the same thing. Not the bri…

> Man, I wish I too shared such optimism in EU or other massive multi government bureaucratic organizations to pull something off like this in 2021. But sorry I simply don’t.

I can understand your concerns. But if you look at mid-range airplanes the European monster Airbus did respectably catch up with incumbent Boeing.

In with the Jumbos they clearly surpassed it engineering-wise but failed in their commercial predictions that such planes would be needed.

So EU is neither a guarantee for failure nor for success.

Re: EU Signs €145B Declaration to Develop Next Gen Processors and 2nm Technology

#318
post #247

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No-no, this is not examples of ordinary wastefullness and 'crash', these were outright fraud. The exact same thing the OP accuses government grants of perpetuating. Your post is a perfect example that with startups that's just accepted and glossed over.

Well maybe because in government grants waste and fraud are the rule, while in private startups they are the exception. And it is the investors problem when a startup fails, and they are aware of it. But with governments, it is OUR money squandered away by politicians and their friends.

> Well maybe because in government grants waste and fraud are the rule, while in private startups they are the exception.

Are they really? What are the failure rates for both?

> But with governments, it is OUR money squandered away by politicians and their friends.

https://qz.com/1719019/wework-and-ubers-losses-may-be-subsid...

https://www.businessinsider.com/weworks-investors-include-pe...

Re: EU Signs €145B Declaration to Develop Next Gen Processors and 2nm Technology

#319

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's a deep question that is asked nowhere near enough. And when it is asked, my experience has been it's mostly been Americans doing the asking. Here's a story. I was once visiting Silicon Valley for work and getting dinner with a friend who lives there. I'm a Brit who lives in central Europe. On the way over I'd bought a copy of Der Spiegel, which likes to write tabloid-esque articles about the Power Of Tech Firm…

I run a tech company in the Netherlands. I can corroborate most of this. Giving employees equity in the Netherlands is nearly impossible without getting taxed to death. The position of the tax authority is that the sole reason you get equity, is because of your relationship as employee, and therefore the "gift of equity" is actually a form of salary, and therefore salary tax must be paid based on the value of the equ…

>The position of the tax authority is that the sole reason you get equity, is because of your relationship as employee, and therefore the "gift of equity" is actually a form of salary

But they are correct in saying this. You wouldn't give equity to random people would you? And is it not worth money? You might not agree with the tax rate but the two reasons you mentioned are irrefutably true.

Re: EU Signs €145B Declaration to Develop Next Gen Processors and 2nm Technology

#320

This is NOT how innovation works. https://www.amazon.com/How-Innovation-Works-Flourishes-Freed...

Historically, Silicon Valley was created from government contracts and subsidies.

Gov. intervention can work if done correctly.

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