Live data from Hacker News

Mystery of interstellar visitor 'Oumuamua gets trickier

scientificamerican.com

171–180 of 236 posts

Re: Mystery of interstellar visitor 'Oumuamua gets trickier

#171
post #47

My pet theory (which is not intended to be taken too seriously) is that it is indeed a discarded light sail, and that light sail in particular was used to transport a Von Neumann probe which detached at some point after the object entered our solar system but before we first observed it. This detachment, in addition to leaving the sail tumbling, would have changed its trajectory, meaning our estimation of which direc…

I thought one of the main issues arising with the "alien tech" theory is that this object was moving too slowly to ever make it to our solar system in any timely manner? Thats not to say it couldn't have slowed down prior to us finding it, but if its a detached light sail why wouldn't the alien probe have detached it at higher speeds to have less mass to slow down?

The probe would have needed to use the light sail to slow down as it approached the target star.

Really, the opposite is a better argument: How could the probe have landed safely on Mercury (or wherever) after ejecting from a light sale that still had enough velocity to escape the solar system?

Re: Mystery of interstellar visitor 'Oumuamua gets trickier

#172

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Realistically, though, it's too much of a coincidence that such a probe would first arrive so soon after we gained the ability to conceive of it. Are you sure it's a coincidence? Imagine you are an intergalactic species that advances yourself by invading other worlds and stealing the inhabitants' knowledge and technology. What would be the best time to invade? I would suggest waiting as long as possible in their te…

Light sails are not very fast. The probe would have had to have been launched thousands of years ago at least, maybe millions. Either way, long before our current level of advancement could have been predicted.

I'd argue development isn't linear, as we seem to have millennia with pretty static tech, then in the span of a (increasingly long) lifetime, electricity, flight, and the internet. On that scale, our last 150 years could have occurred randomly at any time.

Re: Mystery of interstellar visitor 'Oumuamua gets trickier

#174

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Realistically, though, it's too much of a coincidence that such a probe would first arrive so soon after we gained the ability to conceive of it. It is based on TIME but our conception of it would be independent. I think a lot of what's part of the drake equation is merited on overlap. It's entirely possible that other civilizations have been created and died out LONG before mammals even evolved. IF you factor in j…

> I think it's plausible that a god would not want to talk to another intelligent civilization. Why would we? We would be to a god what bacteria is to us. At that level of abstraction it might make more sense to think of humanity itself as an organism, and to their point of view an infant one. At the point we either either birth an AI or elevate people to digital organisms with vastly greater intelligence, then we've…

maybe we are just "ants" for them. That would be the current intelligence level of humanity for aliens.

Doesn't the cities, human civilization on Earth feel like a big messy anthill?

All our society could feel for them just like what we see when we look to what ants have built.

"Nice engineering down there, they communicate using sounds and directed energy, nice they've discovered electricity, they solve their conflict using mostly primitive kinetic weapons. Hey they have developed shows to fill the free time they've got now after having setup some automatization. And now they have a planet reaching data network, how nice.

They're quite aggressive tough, I wouldn't put my finger in there, they bite, hard enough"

Re: Mystery of interstellar visitor 'Oumuamua gets trickier

#175
post #136

Earlier quoted context omitted.

While it's entirely possible they'd have a good reason to be stealthy, I don't think it's likely to be anything we've thought of. The Prime Directive is a mushy human emotional idea, not something that makes any logical sense for a space-faring civilization to follow. If there's any competition out there among space-faring civilizations, none of them are going to tie their hands behind their backs by refusing to touc…

What you are missing is that technological advancement can accelerate exponentially. Couple this fact nothing can move faster than light. This means if you don't stamp out alien life as soon as you encounter it then the next time you come back they might already have achieved technological parity with you. And they might not be as forgiving as you are. This means you have to hide and you have to exterminate any alien…

> the next time you come back

This is imagining that space exploration is done by human-like entities that have discrete physical bodies and slow reproduction rates. They come to a place, check it out, and move on.

AI-driven Von Neumann probes would operate very differently. They arrive, and they settle and replicate. Eventually they send out new probes. But they don't leave once they have arrived. There's never any reason to leave.

Re: Mystery of interstellar visitor 'Oumuamua gets trickier

#176
> Asked if there is a clear leading candidate explanation for 'Oumuamua's acceleration, Loeb referred Live Science to a not-yet-released book he authored called "Extraterrestrial: The First Sign of Intelligent Life Beyond Earth," due for publication in January.

Oh this is an article without substance just to promote a book?

Re: Mystery of interstellar visitor 'Oumuamua gets trickier

#177

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I think it's plausible that a god would not want to talk to another intelligent civilization. Why would we? We would be to a god what bacteria is to us. At that level of abstraction it might make more sense to think of humanity itself as an organism, and to their point of view an infant one. At the point we either either birth an AI or elevate people to digital organisms with vastly greater intelligence, then we've…

maybe we are just "ants" for them. That would be the current intelligence level of humanity for aliens. Doesn't the cities, human civilization on Earth feel like a big messy anthill? All our society could feel for them just like what we see when we look to what ants have built. "Nice engineering down there, they communicate using sounds and directed energy, nice they've discovered electricity, they solve their confli…

I don't expect ants, either as an individual ant or as a colony, to necessarily be able to hold a conversation given enough time, but an alien species more advanced than us, or a godlike AI, may expect at some point in the future we might be able to, or might birth something that is able to (if not, where did they come from?), which is why I think they would be more likely to view us as infants currently incapable of conversing with them usefully rather than bugs with no hope of doing so.

Re: Mystery of interstellar visitor 'Oumuamua gets trickier

#178
post #126
post #108

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I don't really have a conversation with the bacteria infecting a wound Could it be because you know they won't reply? That's the case with most animals. Talking to a random dog or cat (relatively intelligent creatures) and knowing they don't understand a thing you say just kind of makes it pointless. Of course they'll understand simple universal body actions and react, but nothing more. If there was a bacteria or a…

What if an AGI’s intelligence has exploded to a point where human intelligence is insignificant?

it's based on what we understand as being intelligence so what would that even mean?

Re: Mystery of interstellar visitor 'Oumuamua gets trickier

#179

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Light sails are not very fast. The probe would have had to have been launched thousands of years ago at least, maybe millions. Either way, long before our current level of advancement could have been predicted.

I'd argue development isn't linear, as we seem to have millennia with pretty static tech, then in the span of a (increasingly long) lifetime, electricity, flight, and the internet. On that scale, our last 150 years could have occurred randomly at any time.

> as we seem to have millennia with pretty static tech,

That's not even remotely true. Even between antiquity and middle ages there were constant technological improvements. Of course everything sped up once we had access to steam and later fossil fuels as machinery to replace manual work became a reality.

Re: Mystery of interstellar visitor 'Oumuamua gets trickier

#180

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Realistically, though, it's too much of a coincidence that such a probe would first arrive so soon after we gained the ability to conceive of it. Are you sure it's a coincidence? Imagine you are an intergalactic species that advances yourself by invading other worlds and stealing the inhabitants' knowledge and technology. What would be the best time to invade? I would suggest waiting as long as possible in their te…

Would a species that has mastered intergalactic travel really have anything to learn from us? I think they would either kill us, eat us, enslave us, or maybe all of the above.

you forgot another real option, "ignore us", just like we ignore ants when we walk around.
Post reply on HN