Earlier quoted context omitted.
And that is why it will fail. Fairness is not about everyone getting the same amount just for existing, for that in itself is not fair. Real fairness is everyone playing against the same rules and being treated the same under the law. Sadly governments and politicians are too corrupt to implement real fairness and have decided instead for the populist way out while keeping their insane advantage intact.
People talk about it a lot but I don’t think there is any agreement on what fairness is. Note that having a leader at all means someone has more power, and that’s inherently unequal, but most people think the benefits are worth it.
Germany begins 3-year universal-basic-income trial
131–140 of 348 posts
Re: Germany begins 3-year universal-basic-income trial
#132Earlier quoted context omitted.
And that is why it will fail. Fairness is not about everyone getting the same amount just for existing, for that in itself is not fair. Real fairness is everyone playing against the same rules and being treated the same under the law. Sadly governments and politicians are too corrupt to implement real fairness and have decided instead for the populist way out while keeping their insane advantage intact.
> Fairness is not about everyone getting the same amount just for existing, for that in itself is not fair. Can you explain why? And if your answer amounts to "because people provide different amounts of [effort|value] to society" how would you reply to "so what?".
Re: Germany begins 3-year universal-basic-income trial
#133These studies don't really prove anything. Common arguments in favor of these studies - "They prove people don't quit work on UBI!" - No, they prove that people who are in a program that is very clearly temporary will not end their careers for a short pilot program. This means nothing. "They prove people won't spend it on drugs, booze, and lotto tickets!" - No. If you make $1k from a job and $1k from a pilot program…
> What UBI skeptical people want to know is where is the proof that we can afford to tax ourselves to pay ourselves, where is the proof that it won't hurt long term productivity, and where is the proof that it doesn't cause inflation. A 120 person 36 month trial program cannot answer any of these questions. There is no proof that would actually appease you. There is no way you could measure the effect on inflation wi…
That's not a reason to not even try to offer anything though.
You could start with a trial of these 120 persons (select from all classes of society), give them UBI and double their taxes to make it realistic, because the UBI has to be paid somehow. If plenty of them would have less money during this trial and still find UBI worth it, that would be a strong signal.
Few people would agree to be part of that study though, and one might argue that those that would (i.e. by applying) won't be representative of society at large.
Testing only the spending side of UBI is fun but useless, especially with that setting.
Re: Germany begins 3-year universal-basic-income trial
#134These studies don't really prove anything. Common arguments in favor of these studies - "They prove people don't quit work on UBI!" - No, they prove that people who are in a program that is very clearly temporary will not end their careers for a short pilot program. This means nothing. "They prove people won't spend it on drugs, booze, and lotto tickets!" - No. If you make $1k from a job and $1k from a pilot program…
I don't think this is perfect. Proof is hard to come by in social "science". But this seems a lot better than most other ubi "studies" to me...
Re: Germany begins 3-year universal-basic-income trial
#135I see the claims that this won't produce inflation with extreme scepticism. And I say this, living in a country that has had something similar to a basic income for years, although not fully universal (universal for kids, and people below certain income line), the vast majority of people get it and ended up resulting in that around half the public budget goes to social expenses. Every year that bag gets bigger, defic…
I haven't seen price drops since many people stopped working and can afford less, so I don't expect the system to work logically in the other direction either.
Re: Germany begins 3-year universal-basic-income trial
#136Earlier quoted context omitted.
Real fairness under that definition can't exist as long as there are inheritances. People who are born in wealthier families are not playing under the same rules (just imagine if a person playing Monopoly started with ten times the initial amount of money). I prefer a definition of fairness that is actually achievable[1]: everyone has at least the bare minimum, regardless of fitness and deserving. You can quibble abo…
What's the difference between your local grocery store clerk, and a Hollywood actor? They both likely have cars, homes and an iphone. Sure, your Hollywood actor is probably driving an exotic sports car and their iphone is diamond studded, but fundamentally, what does it matter? > housing, food, education and health. Any society where anyone can't get those things by asking for them is not fair I agree in the general…
Can you actually do anything with just an associate's? In my experience, most places that require college degrees require a minimum of a bachelor's.
Re: Germany begins 3-year universal-basic-income trial
#137Earlier quoted context omitted.
>The thing about government programs that hand out cash is that the money will be circulated back into the local economy most of the time, which is a net benefit How is taxing the local economy to spend in the local economy (and some abroad) a net benefit? That's just transfer payments with some friction loss.
Taxing the national economy, with distribution locally. IE, tax a wealthy NYer, transfer to a poor Appalachian, and the Appalachian economy sees a small boost.
That's development aid with extra steps then. Granted, you might argue that it's more efficient than regular development aid since it's bottoms up, not top down, but still. It's not going to re-circulate in the same economy that it's taxed out of.
Re: Germany begins 3-year universal-basic-income trial
#138Earlier quoted context omitted.
I don't think there's any data to prove that they wouldn't? Honestly what's more likely to happen is, the people who have always been self motivated to drive themselves towards goals will still succeed, the ones who would be pretty happy just playing video games and getting stoned/drunk will have an easier way of doing just that.
And where exactly is the problem with that?
Re: Germany begins 3-year universal-basic-income trial
#139Earlier quoted context omitted.
What's the difference between your local grocery store clerk, and a Hollywood actor? They both likely have cars, homes and an iphone. Sure, your Hollywood actor is probably driving an exotic sports car and their iphone is diamond studded, but fundamentally, what does it matter? > housing, food, education and health. Any society where anyone can't get those things by asking for them is not fair I agree in the general…
> We provide free education through a high school diploma and community college in most areas Can you actually do anything with just an associate's? In my experience, most places that require college degrees require a minimum of a bachelor's.
Re: Germany begins 3-year universal-basic-income trial
#140Earlier quoted context omitted.
I imagine a permanent study with a few hundred people is still a lot easier to implement than permanent UBI for everyone.
A permanent study would allow you to observe behavioral changes among that group of people, but it won't provide insight into the societal changes. For example, what is UBI's impact on inflation and would it result in inflation that negates some or all the benefit of UBI? Or will a society with UBI still be able to fill that society's less desirable jobs in a financially sustainable way?