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Jack Dorsey is giving Andrew Yang $5M to build the case for a basic income

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611–620 of 746 posts

Re: Jack Dorsey is giving Andrew Yang $5M to build the case for a basic income

#611
post #583

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> UBI should cover government-regulated and government-provided essentials to living. The reason you don't do this is that the government is not better at making diapers and laundry detergent than Procter & Gamble nor better at manufacturing Tylenol than Johnson & Johnson nor better at growing tomatoes than local farmers. If you give people $300 then they can buy $300 worth of food. if you give people $300 worth of "…

You are misunderstanding me. The government gives you $300 and makes sure that enough healthy food is available for those $300. You don't get $300 worth of food. You get money. Cold hard cash. And the option to buy cheap food from the government. Companies can also make cheap food targeting those $300, and I'm sure there already exists non-government government cheese. About education and healthcare. The government j…

The government has an interest in long-term worker productivity, to increase its tax base. So what possible economic incentive would a government have not to return an injured worker to full productivity? Not taking investments like these is actuarially throwing money away.

Capitalism is just worse at providing universal services. Private mail can’t compete. Water is provided by private industry at rates thousands of times more. Could you imagine the harm caused by fire fighting becoming a protection racket?

Infectious disease is like fire: not a moral choice, it just spreads from person to person. I would be happy with my taxes doubling in exchange for getting sick less often, because I could surely make it up at work.

Re: Jack Dorsey is giving Andrew Yang $5M to build the case for a basic income

#612

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> "That's a problem with how welfare is structured, that can be fixed with changing welfare." That's what UBI is...? UBI is changing welfare to not be means-tested. > "Why would you think it wouldn't?" There are many reasons to think it wouldn't. For example, lots of people work two jobs. People work full time when they could work part time. Bill Gates, Jeff Bezos etc all still work. The vast majority of people in a…

> There are many reasons to think it wouldn't. For example, lots of people work two jobs. People work full time when they could work part time. Bill Gates, Jeff Bezos etc all still work. The vast majority of people in a modern economy work more than they need to in order to earn what a UBI would pay. Bill Gates works, but he doesn't work as a janitor. Who is going to scrub the toilets for a meager supplement to a gua…

You almost understand.

They'll have to raise the wage to get anyone to scrub those toilets, and that's the whole point. UBI reduces the power asymmetry between employer and employee, and gives the employee more leverage to negotiate better wages and conditions.

Re: Jack Dorsey is giving Andrew Yang $5M to build the case for a basic income

#613
post #506
post #477

UBI should cover government-regulated and government-provided essentials to living. Ex.: * Government housing: $500 * Government basic food package - daily (1500kcal): $300 * x kJ electricity, x m3 water, x m3 gas, x bps internet connection: $500 * Clothing, hygiene, cleaning supplies: $50 * Universal healthcare: free (and free condoms) * Free education (from abc to PHD) This is not a comprehensive list, or even the…

I think the idea here is that UBI replaces all of the other government welfare programs, no? What happens when someone spends all their UBI on whiskey or oxy and consumes it all and is then hungry? Should we keep food stamps around? Why can't we do that part (universal food stamps) by itself? I don't think the all-or-nothing approach of UBI makes a ton of sense. We can do things today like more free or subsidized foo…

Appoint a guardianship or place them in a group home. Addiction isn't going to be solved by food stamps. Give them treatment and if they keep relapsing, then declare them incompetent.

Re: Jack Dorsey is giving Andrew Yang $5M to build the case for a basic income

#614
post #477

UBI should cover government-regulated and government-provided essentials to living. Ex.: * Government housing: $500 * Government basic food package - daily (1500kcal): $300 * x kJ electricity, x m3 water, x m3 gas, x bps internet connection: $500 * Clothing, hygiene, cleaning supplies: $50 * Universal healthcare: free (and free condoms) * Free education (from abc to PHD) This is not a comprehensive list, or even the…

> UBI should cover government-regulated and government-provided essentials to living. The reason you don't do this is that the government is not better at making diapers and laundry detergent than Procter & Gamble nor better at manufacturing Tylenol than Johnson & Johnson nor better at growing tomatoes than local farmers. If you give people $300 then they can buy $300 worth of food. if you give people $300 worth of "…

Fun fact: government cheese actually used to be pretty good, because it was made and stored in a cave the government owned. It turns out that caves are pretty close to the ideal place to make cheeses, so the government’s stuff wasn’t bad!

Re: Jack Dorsey is giving Andrew Yang $5M to build the case for a basic income

#615
post #595

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Under the gov't version, if you were healthy, you're "free". You only cost when you actually need the medical treatment. Government insurance is still insurance. It isn't that each individual costs the government $10,000, it's that most cost them nothing and one in ten gets cancer and costs $100,000. Insurance is the same. The large majority of the money isn't going to the insurance company, it's going to healthcar…

you've cleverly argued in a way to make hidden the major point i wanted to make - which is that insurance companies making a profit is a loss to the payer. I'm purely talking about the insurance system, and not the medical provider system (hospitals/doctors etc). > The large majority of the money isn't going to the insurance company, it's going to healthcare providers. Any money going into insurance as profit is a lo…

> you've cleverly argued in a way to make hidden the major point i wanted to make - which is that insurance companies making a profit is a loss to the payer. I'm purely talking about the insurance system, and not the medical provider system (hospitals/doctors etc).

But then you're not addressing the majority of the problem, because insurance company profits are only a single digit percentage of premiums.

And even the "profits" aren't all waste, because you're paying money but not getting nothing in exchange.

If you want to have patients not paying directly for care then you need somebody to process claims, and those people need an office to work out of. The investors in the insurance company paid for that office. A lot of their "profit" is just the internal rent being paid on the building. If you move that function to the government, the cost doesn't disappear because the government still has to pay for buildings to operate out of to process claims payments to providers, which had previously been paid for by investors in exchange for profits.

Health insurance companies don't generally produce above-market returns on capital, so there is no real evidence that their "profits" are introducing any avoidable cost at all. It's just a method of paying for the things the investors' money bought.

Heck, there are non-profit health insurance companies that make no profits. Where are the savings, if some existed? (Answer: They still had to raise capital, but they used loans or bonds or spent labor begging for donations instead of selling shares, and that turns out not to be much different in efficiency.)

> so therefore, insurance companies will pick out the least risky people, least unhealthy, and not allow the sick into their programs. That is exactly what you see today, because those more ill people are what saps the profits.

The premise of insurance is that you don't know who those people are yet. If you already know then the event to be insured against effectively already happened. You can't expect to switch to lower deductible fire insurance after your house catches fire but before you file the claim. But equally, if you bought it to begin with the insurance company can't cancel your policy just because you're about to file a claim.

> The price sensitivity is at the wrong end - it should be at the medical provider end, not at the insurance end.

How is that supposed to help? The medical providers are the ones who profit from over-providing. They have no incentive to eliminate unnecessary costs -- to them the costs are profits.

> Why do you think the cost for treatment is low when you're covered under medicare (for low income people)? It's because medicare is such a large buyer that hospitals are able to sell their services at that low a price.

It's because Medicare pays below amortized cost and relies on private insurance to pay higher prices and cover the providers' fixed costs. That doesn't exactly work if you get rid of private insurance.

> no it's not price control.

So let's think about this. There is one buyer. If they won't buy from you, their own customers have no alternatives, so you can't make the case that they need to buy from you or their customers will switch to their competitor who does. If they won't buy from you, you have no buyers.

The buyer can set any price they want and the provider has to take it or go out of business. That's price controls.

> Insurance companies currently all own their own little monopoly in their region/network, and hence, there's no competition for pricing the medical treatment today. You are forced into the insurance's monopoly (or face the higher ticket price hospitals charge because they can).

The existing system is all messed up, nobody is denying that. But why not fix it? Require price transparency. Stop creating tax incentives for low deductible plans that make it so nobody has the incentive to shop around and then consequently nothing is configured to enable anyone to do that because nobody does.

> Insurance companies provide efficiency in operation vs gov't perhaps - i don't know. But what efficiency they provide is taken out as profit instead of being passed on to customers.

Not in a competitive market it isn't. If insurance companies were making above-market returns then it would be profitable for rich investors to start a new insurance company that takes their customers by charging lower insurance premiums and still makes at least the market rate of return, until such time as the efficiency is getting passed on to the customers.

> And insurance company's efficiency is not in lowering the cost of medical care - it's in finding customers that don't cost them more than premiums they charge.

Neither of those is true. If an insurance company can deny a claim for a legitimate reason then it saves them money, which in a competitive market is passed on to the customers.

And insurance companies can profit by identifying higher risk customers and charging them higher premiums. The insurance company's job isn't to avoid risk, it's to accurately price it.

Meanwhile the real efficiency doesn't come from the insurance company at all, it's from not using insurance for low cost routine care, which makes the patient price sensitive. Then the patient has the incentive to choose the provider with the better price and is inclined to refuse procedures that are unnecessary or not cost effective.

Re: Jack Dorsey is giving Andrew Yang $5M to build the case for a basic income

#616
post #583

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You are misunderstanding me. The government gives you $300 and makes sure that enough healthy food is available for those $300. You don't get $300 worth of food. You get money. Cold hard cash. And the option to buy cheap food from the government. Companies can also make cheap food targeting those $300, and I'm sure there already exists non-government government cheese. About education and healthcare. The government j…

> And the option to buy cheap food from the government. But then why do you need this at all? There is already food available in the market. If you have $300 you can buy it. There is nothing the government needs to do other than give you the $300. > The government just needs to provide the bare minimum. Broke an arm? Goverment will cast it. There is a pretty good argument that the local government should provide emer…

> There is already food available in the market.

Leave it to capitalism to inflate UBI out of usefulness. Let the market compete with the baseline, never replace it.

> you don't get any of it and end up having to pay $18,000

Well, supply and demand should work here, right? Isn't the market the mythical machine of just prices? If the market won't pay taxes + $8,000 for private school, there will be no schools for that price. If it does, it is worth it and you'll pay.

I'm very confident that all this quarantine will do is show the world that disrupting the market won't break the world. The world will just adapt. It should be the same with UBI.

UBI could just be a government guarantee that a citizen will never become homeless/neglected because of lack of work(by any cause, be it skill, opportunity or mental health). It's the new baseline.

"Losing everything" now would mean just going back to surfing the web and eating government cheese in some cramped apartment. Not homelessness, starvation, abuse and neglect.

Re: Jack Dorsey is giving Andrew Yang $5M to build the case for a basic income

#617
post #477

UBI should cover government-regulated and government-provided essentials to living. Ex.: * Government housing: $500 * Government basic food package - daily (1500kcal): $300 * x kJ electricity, x m3 water, x m3 gas, x bps internet connection: $500 * Clothing, hygiene, cleaning supplies: $50 * Universal healthcare: free (and free condoms) * Free education (from abc to PHD) This is not a comprehensive list, or even the…

> * Government basic food package - daily (1500kcal): $300

I agree with UBI, but basing it on only 1500kcal will give a slight advantage to smaller people over those of us who are a bit more, er... calorically expensive.

Maybe at least make it 2000kcal to hit the median calorie requirement.

Re: Jack Dorsey is giving Andrew Yang $5M to build the case for a basic income

#618
post #598
post #595

Earlier quoted context omitted.

you've cleverly argued in a way to make hidden the major point i wanted to make - which is that insurance companies making a profit is a loss to the payer. I'm purely talking about the insurance system, and not the medical provider system (hospitals/doctors etc). > The large majority of the money isn't going to the insurance company, it's going to healthcare providers. Any money going into insurance as profit is a lo…

It's really even worse than that. The amount of money spent on medical billing is just obscene. It isn't "profit" for anyone, but it's vast inefficiency.

> The amount of money spent on medical billing is just obscene. It isn't "profit" for anyone, but it's vast inefficiency.

Which is the thing caused by low deductible plans. If that sort of paperwork was only necessary in cases where you're already paying for $10,000+ in medical services, the fixed overhead isn't that significant. But with low deductible plans you pay it for every little thing that ought to cost $50, and then the $50 thing costs $550 because even walking in the door requires $500 worth of paperwork.

How much more efficient would it be if you just walked in with $50 in cash in most cases, which you can take out of the thousands a year you'd save in insurance premiums?

Re: Jack Dorsey is giving Andrew Yang $5M to build the case for a basic income

#619
post #541

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I agree very strongly with you, but I don't think that's where the parent poster was going. Imagine we have a UBI, and we do all kinds of other smart things -- end the War on Drugs, establish Bismarck-style national healthcare[1], all that. Let's do a thought experiment. What happens when Alice blows all of her UBI on Lady Lee Vodka and Oxy. Nothing left for rent, food, the rest. Nobody else in the picture to help: n…

Alice could get a job and then lose it all on vodka and oxy. I don’t see why UBI needs to ensure that she doesn’t do foolish things with her money. People are going to make bad decisions, unfortunately. You can’t live in a free society if you don’t let people make unfortunate, bad decisions that harm themselves. If you think all people should be protected from their bad decisions then you’re basically sliding straigh…

In the course of their self-harm though they also tend to damage society. The starving addict doesn't just lay down in the street and die. They beg and they steal because they're desperate. They rip copper out of buildings while just harming themselves. And maybe eventually they're arrested and live off the state anyways (at much increased prison rates).

How far do you let them sink before you need to step in.

Re: Jack Dorsey is giving Andrew Yang $5M to build the case for a basic income

#620

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'd be curious to see it play out in a smaller country for a few years. The U.S. is a big place to gamble on it. No one is saying flip the switch for 328.2 million, I know that, but at the same time it would be best to do an MVP on a smaller scale with, say, a population of 5 million and then learn and iterate from there. Even when testing with 5 million though, you often have countries of that size having more of a…

One of the problems with UBI on a small scale in the US is that it’s difficult to study the macroeconomic effects that people are so worried about. The studies on direct cash assistance in terms of social science are rather strong evidence in favor of what left leaning proponents claim. The reservations typically come from the American right which is more of a Social Darwinist party these days than a conservative one…

One point to consider is that once UBI is rolled out, it can never be taken back, even if it is disastrous from a bureaucratic, economic, or social standpoint. I think the success of UBI is heavily dependant on the details of how it is funded and paid out, and getting people to decide on what the best method is will be more difficult than getting it accepted.
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