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It's Cold in the Information Age

natalian.org

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Re: It's Cold in the Information Age

#111

Post by jl6 »

coldtea wrote: post #87
amelius wrote: post #78

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Look at software, the next decades we can focus on creating ERP-Systems that are as perfect as Whatsapp. Like with zero customizability?

Hopefully yes.

Oh great, my general ledger is now free, but in return I have to route all my data through a semi-trusted 3rd party with unclear motives, who is financially incentivized to act against my interests, and who can force-deploy workflow-breaking updates whenever they choose, and maybe is secure but who can ever tell...

Rant over. I actually like WhatsApp. It’s pretty far from perfect though.

Re: It's Cold in the Information Age

#112

Post by [deleted] »

naniwaduni wrote: post #30
bsg75 wrote: post #23

> kubernetes's insane complexity proliferating Is K8S any more complex than the other options for deploying apps across a fleet? I’m genuinely curious because it looks complex to me, but I have little background to determine if what I see is complexity or unfamiliar territory.

Deploying apps across a fleet is far more complex than most of its practitioners need.

[deleted]

Re: It's Cold in the Information Age

#113

Post by krinchan »

bsg75 wrote: post #23

> kubernetes's insane complexity proliferating Is K8S any more complex than the other options for deploying apps across a fleet? I’m genuinely curious because it looks complex to me, but I have little background to determine if what I see is complexity or unfamiliar territory.

For my team, we abandoned k8s because of the insanity of just managing the cluster itself in AWS pre-EKS. Our team has a lot of low level OS and AWS knowledge, and it was just this massive undertaking and at every turn we were told, "Lol, just use Google Cloud."

My employer is all in on AWS, there's no way to change that. Furthermore, our accounts come with a lot of restrictions imposed by our central AWS team. VPCs, subnets, NAT gateways, etc. are all pre-provisioned and we are prevented from modifying them or creating new ones ourselves. The only real tool for k8s in AWS was kops at the time. It was so opinionated that it broke down very quickly when faced with all the IAM restrictions on our user accounts.

Now that EKS is a thing, we're looking to revisit it. But a lot of the pain might be coming from the fact that it seemed that "manage my k8s cluster for me" was under-developed on AWS at the time. Elastic Beanstalk's ECS platform was just the easier thing to start with for us.

Re: It's Cold in the Information Age

#114

Post by buboard »

luckylion wrote: post #107
buboard wrote: post #106

Earlier quoted context omitted.

thats not real VR though, and a high tech headset sounds like an overkill for that. You can place 4 screens around your head for similar and more cofortable effect :)

Not really, no. Stereo vision is the magic, not just being able to see what's to your left or right.

Oh ok. I m strabismic and cant see that

Re: It's Cold in the Information Age

#115

Post by dfrage »

baybal2 wrote: post #40

I can follow up on this with my recent work experience. The microelectronics has been on the declining trend for half a decade. A lot of people were saying that we are heading for the "long winter" in the industry. Long term investments into manufacturing are on the all time low. Only recent events with trade war made some bigger OEMs to reopen lines in 3rd world countries other than China. It's important to make dis…

EUV is in production today with Samsung and TSMC's "7nm" processes, and the latter has started "5nm" risk production which uses even more EUV. Here's a recent SemiWiki article on details of what Samsung's foundry business is doing: https://semiwiki.com/semiconductor/259664-samsung-foundry-up...

Intel's all 193 UV "10nm" node (roughly equivalent to the above 7nm) is a failure, we'll see if they can get their EUV using "7nm" node to ship in quantity. In all these cases the demand for less power consumption in battery powered devices continues to drive demand, even if that demand isn't as healthy as it used to be.

Re: It's Cold in the Information Age

#116

Post by dfrage »

zasz wrote: post #109
oblio wrote: post #76

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm pretty sure India also has a positive outlook. And if we remove those countries we're removing half the world's population...

Child malnutrition rates in India are worse than in some parts of sub-Saharan Africa, actually: https://www.deccanherald.com/state/top-karnataka-stories/mal... Impressive GDP growth aside, persistent malnutrition suggests that for huge chunks of the Indian population (a shocking _seventy_ percent of women are anemic), something's not working. Who cares what GDP growth is? What's it really measuring if people still ar…

The number of calories lower class Indians are consuming is dropping, which your link has got to in part be reflecting. It's a mess.

Re: It's Cold in the Information Age

#117

Post by slfnflctd »

luckylion wrote: post #107
buboard wrote: post #106

Earlier quoted context omitted.

thats not real VR though, and a high tech headset sounds like an overkill for that. You can place 4 screens around your head for similar and more cofortable effect :)

Not really, no. Stereo vision is the magic, not just being able to see what's to your left or right.

> Stereo vision is the magic

Absolutely 100% true, I have experienced this first hand. Unfortunately, many of the videos they try to promote on VR systems were shot with a single lens and are just "2D in surround"-- these come across as flat and uninteresting to me, especially after I saw videos with actual depth. In those cases I would be happier with a monitor. But the depth & immersion is completely worth putting a headset on for me.

Also, on the surface it looks like initial Oculus Quest sales are going well. Sold out at my local Best Buy and showing 1-3 week lead times everywhere else (including direct order). Could be artificial, but time will tell. I was already satisfied with the GearVR on an older Samsung Galaxy, and initial reports are that the Quest is a significantly noticeable improvement.

Re: It's Cold in the Information Age

#119

Post by detaro »

povertyworld wrote: post #101
AstralStorm wrote: post #95

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And mobile phones ate the dedicated players. Thus, lame. It was a product of is time with one hit feature of huge space and decent battery life for that. At a significant markup. Does ARKit have a killer feature at all? Even one, compared to competition?

But this is my point. Geeky people have a strong opinion about how much this or that implementation sucks or doesn't suck. No one has a strong opinion about VR platforms, or quantum computing, or drones, or any other next big thing, so that makes AR look like it has half a chance to me.

> No one has a strong opinion about VR platforms, or quantum computing, or drones

Have you seen any (online or offline) discussion about those? Of course people have strong opinions on them.

Re: It's Cold in the Information Age

#120

Post by povertyworld »

detaro wrote: post #119
povertyworld wrote: post #101

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But this is my point. Geeky people have a strong opinion about how much this or that implementation sucks or doesn't suck. No one has a strong opinion about VR platforms, or quantum computing, or drones, or any other next big thing, so that makes AR look like it has half a chance to me.

> No one has a strong opinion about VR platforms, or quantum computing, or drones Have you seen any (online or offline) discussion about those? Of course people have strong opinions on them.

The thing is I didn't have to go into an AR community online to find opinions. Some guy at my work who isn't even a tech was giving me unsolicited snarky AR opinions.
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