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It's Cold in the Information Age

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Re: It's Cold in the Information Age

#91

Post by whatshisface »

baybal2 wrote: post #68
apatters wrote: post #54

Earlier quoted context omitted.

None of that directly describes business (or consumer) value. It is mostly a recitation of information technology statistics. If you look at the period of say 1990-2010 there was an absolutely insane ROI on human capital invested into IT. Arguably this level of ROI only happens once or twice in a century. You had young guys in their basements, garages etc. inventing life-changing technology with no investment other t…

The biggest question for me is what we are gonna do as professionals in the coming "long winter." We have not a single project for a "tech" brand in the pipeline, we are only now learning how do tech projects for complete industry outsiders. Not so few have some tech expertise, but they are all strangers to ways of the industry. They all have own ideas where tech goes in their business model, and I can't say that all…

It's not so much a long winter as it is a long average weather time period. There are still plenty of professionals in the "boring" industires, just fewer startup millionaires.

Re: It's Cold in the Information Age

#92

Post by marcosdumay »

trabant00 wrote: post #48
sascha_sl wrote: post #36

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Your comment mirrors the article. A bunch of projection, written out. Lots of people do microservices for the wrong reason, with the wrong model. They don't realize this model asks for a lot of initial overhead per process for visibility and early investment into figuring out how these services communicate. For instance, a service that sets off 3-4 layers of HTTP requests is an indicator of a bad microservice archite…

It is a distinct possibility that I am unable to find work for the x% for organizations that use the microservice model correctly.

It's very likely that anybody that you know that uses microservices even before working there is using them wrongly.

Re: It's Cold in the Information Age

#93

Post by shasheene »

bni wrote: post #52

"VR is struggling" - linking to Linus Tech Tips video from January nonetheless. Right... Meanwhile Oculus Quest came out, and PCVR has or is about to enter the second gen.

I've played quite a bit with the Oculus DK1, GearVR, Oculus CV1 and the Oculus Go, and after 2 weeks of usage I can say the Oculus Quest is much better than any of them. Low barriers to putting the headset on and immediately walking around in VR is hard to overstate.

I think it will be a very big hit. The virality levels are very high with people showing their family and friends, who then want to go out and get their own.

The downsides are the games are a bit too expensive, and the headset itself costs $400 which is alright, but it does need to be cheaper if they want to achieve Nintendo Wii type sales figures (which the Quest fully has the potential to do).

Re: It's Cold in the Information Age

#94

Post by AstralStorm »

buboard wrote: post #90
sek wrote: post #73

What you can see here is market maturity, this is a very common thing. There was just so much to do in the computer industry so far. Look at the history of other industries, there have been hundreds of car companies before Ford took out most of them with the Model T. Imagine you are one of those people working is the car industry before that. "Company X had a car that drove 50 miles per hour, a new record, insane! Th…

> is market maturity, this is a very common thing but the stock market is treating it as if it's still growing

After which the bubble bursts.

Re: It's Cold in the Information Age

#95

Post by AstralStorm »

povertyworld wrote: post #37
baddox wrote: post #24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What specifically looks similar to you? Consider there are many things which at some point only a few geeks had and which 5 (or 50) years later still only a few geeks had.

When Apple announced ARKit, this culturally geeky (not a tech) coworker of mine scoffed, saying Nintendo had something like that for the DS ages ago. That's exactly how geeks responded to the iPod with the infamous CmdrTaco post ("Lame") as a prime example.

And mobile phones ate the dedicated players. Thus, lame.

It was a product of is time with one hit feature of huge space and decent battery life for that. At a significant markup.

Does ARKit have a killer feature at all? Even one, compared to competition?

Re: It's Cold in the Information Age

#96

Post by AstralStorm »

oblio wrote: post #76
FranzFerdiNaN wrote: post #63

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Remove China from the numbers and Pinker and Goslings points pretty much disappear. Both aren’t a secret, they are well known and criticized a lot for their use and abuse of numbers.

I'm pretty sure India also has a positive outlook. And if we remove those countries we're removing half the world's population...

The point is that developed world has stalled. Which is probably true on some measures but we do not know why. There should be slower but incremental improvement as there is room for that still. A plenty of room in fact.

Life expectancy is still gaining though and flattening. That is the main variable encompassing almost everything. Including normalized per income is flattening. Income per capita has flattened somewhat, but it might be a natural sigmoid the China, Russia and such have yet to reach. So that's about it.

Re: It's Cold in the Information Age

#97

Post by tenebrisalietum »

vortegne wrote: post #53
buboard wrote: post #51

I love myself some pessimism but tech is not slowing, instead its HN being obsessed with things that don't matter. - VR was a niche from the start, a lot of people were doubtful, and the people that weren't know that it 's not going to work and are already moving on. - javascript frontends are great for programmer fights, but thankfully most of the public-facing web doesnt use them, they 're irrelevant to tech's prog…

"javascript frontends are the great for programmer fights, but thankfully most of the web doesnt use them" Wait what? Have you like, been on the web at all? How the hell are javascript frontends not used everywhere?!

I think what was meant is that phone apps are taking over. These use the web but not Javascript.

Re: It's Cold in the Information Age

#98

Post by Nasrudith »

buboard wrote: post #89
jhanschoo wrote: post #59

Earlier quoted context omitted.

it's hard to take this comment seriously... > javascript frontends are the great for programmer fights, but thankfully most of the web doesnt use them By frequency of retrieval, JS frameworks are the majority of websites served. > kubernetes is relevant to like 100 people on earth Even if it's not k8s, most companies benefit from a container orchestration system. > crypto is entering the plateau of productivity crypt…

> the same services and assurances that banks Cryptocurrency is meant to replace currencies and central banks, not banks (retail). Banks are institutions built on top of currencies (there are a lot of companies doing that with cryptos btw).

I'll bite - how the hell could cryptocurrency replace central banks?

To me it seems like the same logical flaw of any the Unabomber thinking sending mail bombs could shut down all industrial civilization. It not only doesn't make sense but it has no logical connection. It is less logical than thinking one could conquer the US with an army of bowmen on horseback - it makes no sense given the massive disadvantages but an army can conquer at least.

Their actual roles of currencies and central banks are "the medium needed to pay taxes" and pegging the currency ratio to optimize for the economy.

The closest replacement I could see being viable would be the central bank issuing their own as an option and perhaps allowing "instanciating" and "deinstancing" to physical currency.

Re: It's Cold in the Information Age

#99

Post by DebtDeflation »

buboard wrote: post #51

I love myself some pessimism but tech is not slowing, instead its HN being obsessed with things that don't matter. - VR was a niche from the start, a lot of people were doubtful, and the people that weren't know that it 's not going to work and are already moving on. - javascript frontends are great for programmer fights, but thankfully most of the public-facing web doesnt use them, they 're irrelevant to tech's prog…

>AI hasn't even started

AI/ML is actually everywhere already. To the point where most people don't even recognize it as AL/ML. The problem is that it's not the image of AI that has been sold to the public and even the tech generalist community by books like The Singularity and Superintelligence.

Re: It's Cold in the Information Age

#100

Post by scottlocklin »

oxfordmale wrote: post #56
vortegne wrote: post #53

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"javascript frontends are the great for programmer fights, but thankfully most of the web doesnt use them" Wait what? Have you like, been on the web at all? How the hell are javascript frontends not used everywhere?!

"AWS isn't critical either, its bubbled because of easy startup money and lazyness. will be a good thing to see it fade away" Wait what ? Have you, been on the web at all ? Ten thousands of websites are hosted, or partially hosted on AWS

>Ten thousands of websites are hosted, or partially hosted on AWS

Who cares? There is no reason for it to exist, and it's continued existence is arguably what OP said; that and the abject laziness of CFO types.

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