Innovation in the comedy world. Haven't seen much progress in funny, mainstream, entertainment since Ricky Gervais introduced the mockumentary-style format. Though, even that has a history dating back... In terms of technology, hopefully, the change in media landscape might do the trick?
Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
31–40 of 70 posts
Re: Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
#32environmental-first decision making I hope. Maybe with more visible effects of global warming we will consider our planet's health before price, convenience or (I fear) ethics.
Re: Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
#33Re: Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
#34Innovation in the comedy world. Haven't seen much progress in funny, mainstream, entertainment since Ricky Gervais introduced the mockumentary-style format. Though, even that has a history dating back... In terms of technology, hopefully, the change in media landscape might do the trick?
What about the podcasts comedians are doing on youtube these days?
Re: Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
#35I'll go the opposite way: What mainstream technology will have much less impact in the next 10 years? I'd guess social media.
Hmm, it's hard, I kind of agree. I wonder if some social media tech will lose impact and fade away, while others (perhaps, unprecedented, not made yet) will gain impact?
Re: Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
#36Innovation in the comedy world. Haven't seen much progress in funny, mainstream, entertainment since Ricky Gervais introduced the mockumentary-style format. Though, even that has a history dating back... In terms of technology, hopefully, the change in media landscape might do the trick?
What about the podcasts comedians are doing on youtube these days?
Good point. Hmm, I still wonder if there will be breakthroughs in the TV-YouTube style.
Re: Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
#37A heroku like service which uses autoscaling aurora serverless master master replicated across many regions with cloudfront running containers instead of just lambda functions. Basically a cdn with a container runtime and an autoscaling sql db. Hopefully amazon releases something like lambda @ edge but for fargate which would make this possible.
Re: Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
#38I think that machine learning will move out of the cloud and onto devices closer to where it is needed. Moore's law isn't what it used to be so it will likely be a blended environment where heavy processing is done in the cloud and then synced to local devices for lighter processing. Things like self driving cars will need more powerful AI without the delay of contacting the cloud. Also things like smart switches, ap…
Enter Fog computing
Re: Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
#39For the first time in history, there now exists a substrate upon which AGI can manifest. Almost immediately after it was created, machine learning cropped up. Machine learning wasn’t new, it just never had the computational substrate it needed to produce the amazing results it’s become known for. Since ML was already established, it was low hanging fruit and it’s no surprise to see it catch fire so to speak.
As time goes forward the computational substrate will mature. Huge amounts of compute will be available for less and less money through easy to use APIs.
The number of people working on AGI will only increase. People will keep taking cracks at it until they get it. They will get it much sooner than anyone thought. The only reason it hasn’t been done already is because there was no computational substrate for it to incubate in so to speak. Now that the computational tinderbox has been created, all that is needed is the smallest of sparks. It will happen soon and unfortunatley it will be very unpleasant. I am being completely honest when I say that this is the sole reason why I have not decided to have children and when I implore anyone who reads this to not bring anyone into the world. The future will be very bleak for future generations.
The economics of AI demand the casting off of human life as we know it. The world as we know it now only sustains is because we as humans are the exclusive source of intelligent signal processing. When we are superseded in that ability, we will be lost to evolution. It’s impossible to know exactly how the transition will happen but one of the few things that can be relied on is that human society will become extremely fragile. Human society persists because we are the most dominant life form. When machines take over, we may be given token existences or a society pen to live in but it will be vestigial. There is no force of evolution or economics that ensures that each successive generation or “species” of machine intelligence will accommodate humans.
Many different machine entities will compete and fight, and in that way evolution will continue much as it has before. We may linger for a time in that world, but we do not have a divine right to exist in that world as we do in this one. We will be vestigial and ultimately lost. And all of this is just the economics/evolutionary aspect. I have not included here the possibility of a “terminator” outcome, or even mentioned the other countless grotesque possibilities.
Nobody will believe any of this. My opinion is universally dismissed. But it’s right.
Right now is the best it will ever be more or less, for humans. But we could preserve this state of affairs if we chose to.
Re: Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
#40Maybe: Crypto-currencies get regulated/taxed by various states/nations to ensure their energy security
Maybe: Crypto-currencies face court cases which try to determine what is actually owned legally, potentially undermining them.
Amazon faces a existential legal threat over counterfeit goods. They pay the settlement with AWS revenue, which by that point provides the majority of their income.
Younger generations develop an "in-real-life" counter culture, leading to financial volatility for existing social networks. In general, the attention economy matures, flattening corporate revenues year over year.
The federal government and state AGs prosecute major court cases against parties involved in textbook sales for illegal and anti-competitive behaviors.
A "Trader Joes"-style university emerges with a reasonably high quality, relatively inexpensive, accredited undergraduate education, with all course materials produced under the university brand. It runs year-round, has no tenure, and pays professors relatively well with standard benefits. The new university and its copy-cat competition create economic pressure on traditional academic institutions that have become administratively heavy over the previous three decades and, in some cases, have substantial construction debts that are now under increased interest rate pressure.
Maybe (related): Congress passes, and the president signs, a bill reintroducing bankruptcy discharge of student debt, possibly hidden in a must-pass omnibus spending bill.
Finally, for remaining in-use 32-bit unix-based systems, the 2038 problem is now 10 years closer.