Which niche technology today will have high impact in coming 10 years ? share your thoughts in couple of sentences please.
Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
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Re: Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
#2WebAssembly. If it usurps javascript, and there is every reason to believe that it will, then it will revolutionise the web.
Re: Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
#3WebAssembly. If it usurps javascript, and there is every reason to believe that it will, then it will revolutionise the web.
Should be great for browser games at the very least...
Re: Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
#4I think that machine learning will move out of the cloud and onto devices closer to where it is needed. Moore's law isn't what it used to be so it will likely be a blended environment where heavy processing is done in the cloud and then synced to local devices for lighter processing. Things like self driving cars will need more powerful AI without the delay of contacting the cloud. Also things like smart switches, appliances, and such will need some smarts locally, maybe built into some home based brain that syncs with the cloud.
Re: Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
#5Unlocking free electrical energy. In an analogous manner to the way in which steam power revolutionized mechanical work. It would provide the narrative drive for the next chapter in human civilization.
What's interesting is that it will probably be precipitated by a low-level breakthrough in energy storage or transmission. Somewhere today there is a junior researcher, laboring away at some currently un-sexy technology, the butt of more fashionable and trendy peers, who transmutes into the next Edison in less than a decade's time ;)
Re: Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
#6It isn't exactly niche yet since it doesn't exist at this point but my speculation is that we will have AGI within that time frame.
One reason I think that is because most of the core capabilities missing from AI systems are things that animals can do. Most of the difference with humans is a matter of degree.
It's still a very challenging list of capabilities of course. The core requirements for AGI are fairly well understood at this point. No one knows exactly how to achieve all of them together but many geniuses are working on it. And the tools such as DL, RL and less mainstream approaches such as SNNs and Sparse Predictive Hierarchies are very powerful. AGI is a real field now and intersects with things like developmental robotics.
It's a long shot but there are so many great minds involved and the rewards are so large that I think making a bet for within ten years is not a bad bet. Sure we have said that before. Things are not the same as before.
Re: Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
#7CRISPR and its various offsprings will grow in technological sophistication and their commercial applications. By the end of the 2020s it will morph into a pressing political issue in the West in terms of its implications for Human biology. Certain East Asian countries will be the trendsetters due to lax governmental regulations and societal acceptance.
Re: Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
#8total universal surveillance will become the norm. for kids growing up, they will know nothing else.
Re: Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
#9decentralised web and universal 5G - if anybody still thinks that we need something like fb for universal connection, they're presumably missing out the billions of people that still don't have access to flowing webware.
Re: Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
#10Everyone's focused on driverless personal transportation. Driverless delivery trucks will come first. Basically Amazon lockers on wheels. Anything you want 24/7 delivered to the curb within minutes/hours of your order. Every retail store will suffer the fate of the bookstores. Millions will lose their jobs.