Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's not just housing policy that's gone wrong, it's transit policy. We haven't built good public transit in our cities, and now that cars are filling all available roads, even houses far away from cities are too expensive for how long commutes are. We wish we had a train system in many cities that allowed the middle class to live 40-60 minutes away from their jobs. Ultimately however the main problem is wealth inequ…
Inequality is not the problem. The problem is there are more people who want to live somewhere than there are houses. With perfect equality there would still be more people than houses. The one and only fix is more houses. That's it. Any other solution is just picking winners and losers different ways. But no matter which way you pick the same number of people win and the same number lose.
The Middle Class Can't Afford to Live in Cities Anymore
341–350 of 363 posts
Re: The Middle Class Can't Afford to Live in Cities Anymore
#342Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's less of a ladder than a Ponzi scheme. In SF housing prices have grown at a compound growth rate of 6% for over 50 years. Older generation squats on property paid for by debt, low taxes, and then retires at 60 -- all paid for by a younger generation that doesn't have jobs and can't afford housing.
Don't forget that Prop 13 disproportionately favors buyers who bought closer to when it was rolled out. Their rates were locked in a long time ago. I'm not sure how repeatable this will be for new buyers.
Re: The Middle Class Can't Afford to Live in Cities Anymore
#343Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's less of a ladder than a Ponzi scheme. In SF housing prices have grown at a compound growth rate of 6% for over 50 years. Older generation squats on property paid for by debt, low taxes, and then retires at 60 -- all paid for by a younger generation that doesn't have jobs and can't afford housing.
Don't forget that Prop 13 disproportionately favors buyers who bought closer to when it was rolled out. Their rates were locked in a long time ago. I'm not sure how repeatable this will be for new buyers.
Re: The Middle Class Can't Afford to Live in Cities Anymore
#344I live in SF, and am flabbergasted at the number of 1- or 2- floor single-family homes. A city the size of SF (46 sq mi) and population (850K+ and growing) simply can't afford so many SFHs. I was in Barcelona recently (yay NIPS!) and Barcelona is smaller than SF (36 sq mi) and has nearly twice the population! Everywhere you see are 6-floor buildings, with the bottom reserved for shops and people living above them. It…
We kept thinking: why can't SF be more like BCN? Because you'd have to demolish acres and acres of 100+ year-old architecture (generally considered to be among the planet's most distinctive) to make it that way. And even if we did -- it wouldn't look anything like Barcelona (and its fabulously integrated 100 year-old architecture and street grid), either. Most likely, I betcha, it would end up looking like a pepped u…
SF's architecture is nice for being in the US. And the interesting parts are actually quite limited. The Sunset and the Richmond have pretty much zero architectural value, for instance.
Re: The Middle Class Can't Afford to Live in Cities Anymore
#345Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Which I'm sure would suit many of the "Who cares about historic architecture, as long as I can get a shot at a $2400 studio!" advocates here just fine. As opposed to the status quo, which suits many of the "Who cares about the middle class, as long as we can preserve all of the 100+ year old architecture" advocates just fine.
You can't touch such historic buildings, that house is 100 years old! We have to preserve the character of our city! I've lived here 3 years and really treasure it. Let's just continue the wholesale replacement of the people and culture that gave rise to it in the first place.
Re: The Middle Class Can't Afford to Live in Cities Anymore
#346I really think a big part of this is the QE/low interest rates the Fed used to dig us out of the hole. Everything seems inflated, from stocks to housing prices, because borrowing is so cheap and you can over-leverage yourself quite easily. Anecdotal story: I live in a decent but not super nice part of Seattle and we had a house a few blocks away sell for 750k, which seems insane as everything else in the area goes fo…
People will always pay most of their money in rents, everyone needs a place to live [and wants it to be nice].
Low interest rates are allowing people to take 20-40 years mortgages, for huge total sums of money.
If rates were higher, the duration and sum would be forced to be lower. It's basic maths.
Re: The Middle Class Can't Afford to Live in Cities Anymore
#347Earlier quoted context omitted.
This is a view that will lead to a highly dysfunctional society. First off, you are dismissive of the issue with that bit of exaggeration. It is not as if this group wants all the good things in life that only a tech salary afford. Perhaps a dignified life would be sufficient. You also place NYC, SF, Boston, DC, etc. into a category of city that is naturally not available to the middle class. Is NYC a luxury like a 3…
Is NYC a luxury? Absolutely. The access to institutions, the culture, the people, the shops, the history... all of that is a luxury. That's why people want to live there versus somewhere like Cleveland I guess. Once those cities are unaffordable for the very people you mention, they will just move to more affordable places where they have a better cost of living, and then they will bring ideas, creativity, and resurg…
That's what I keep saying about Paris. One should put down the Eiffel Tower, it will make rent and buying cheaper for everyone. Don't care about that big building.
Didn't choose the shop, the people, the luxury... Just forced to be in the capital to have a job.
Re: The Middle Class Can't Afford to Live in Cities Anymore
#348I live just north of Houston in a 1600 sq ft, corner lot, large porch, 2 car detached garage, 3 bedroom house. Currently valued at $130,000.
Re: The Middle Class Can't Afford to Live in Cities Anymore
#349Earlier quoted context omitted.
Do you have an article or other links from which we can learn more about the reasons? A summary of the long answer would be helpful too. Since the demand for such cities is quite high--a large number of middle class voters would like to live in one--would a mobilization of political will enable us to change to situation somewhat, at least over the medium to long term?
Strongtowns.org might be a good place to start.
Re: The Middle Class Can't Afford to Live in Cities Anymore
#350Earlier quoted context omitted.
Do you mind sharing what area you live in specifically? I've been seeing a lot of software jobs in SLC and I'm curious.
Sure. I live on the border of West Valley City and Taylorsville, near I-215 ( https://www.google.com/maps/@40.6779915,-111.96276,15z ). Utah's always had a strong software industry, dating back to WordPerfect and Novell. Lots of jobs are in SLC of course, but the rest of Utah Valley has even more, e.g. Lehi and Thanksgiving Point. Known as "Silicon Slopes" ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Silicon_Slopes ) Great place…