Live Presidential Forecast • Hacker News Board

Re: Live Presidential Forecast

#141

Post by flukus » Wed, Nov 09, 2016, 4:05 AM UTC

mcphilip wrote: post #115

It's looking like it might be a Brexit moment for the USA. The filter bubble echo chamber of social media and 24/7 coverage of celebrities stumping for Clinton is going to leave a lot of people shocked tomorrow when/if it's officially given to Trump.

Everyone mentions Brexit but I have to wonder it the roots of this goes back to the 90's. Remember the battle of seattle and the likes?

I can think of a few other more local (to Australia) events that seem to make sense when you factor in this bubbling discontentment.

Re: Live Presidential Forecast

#142

Post by bsg75 » Wed, Nov 09, 2016, 4:06 AM UTC

yankyou wrote: post #28

the_duke wrote: post #8

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I just checked. They gauges moving around is definitely random. The updates are done with a "president.json" file, fetched every 15 seconds, but the timestamp in the json data only changes every 30-180 seconds. So all of the movement is just random jitter to make it engaging. Maybe a bit disingenuous. (Note: I first thought they might be using websockets, but no WS connection is made on the page. Only a ajax fetch of…

I'd venture further to say it's a perversion of "news" for a news site to be injecting garbage into the data for entertainment purposes.

Its also an abuse of CPU, at least in Chrome.

Re: Live Presidential Forecast

#143

Post by M_Grey » Wed, Nov 09, 2016, 4:07 AM UTC

MichaelBurge wrote: post #121

M_Grey wrote: post #118

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Then you'll see the economic fallout, and then it's just four years of misery, and people who can afford to, getting the hell out.

Canada's immigration site is down due to volume. It won't happen, but it'd be hilarious if the Democrats planned to rig future elections by importing millions of immigrants to vote for them, and they instead end up emigrating by the millions to Canada thus swinging it in the opposite direction.

At this point I'd almost welcome a truly rigged system, or even a secret service member who doesn't mind a lifetime in prison. Eight years of W. Bush was bad, and frankly I doubt the economy could withstand whatever Trump has in "mind".

Re: Live Presidential Forecast

#144

Post by wyldfire » Wed, Nov 09, 2016, 4:07 AM UTC

551199 wrote: post #113

up_so_floating wrote: post #110

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I went to a Trump rally recently and found it truly unbelievable. Thousands of people, all demographics seemingly represented, lined up for hours despite the cold, dark night and horrible parking conditions. Trump was over two hours late, and the rally did not end until past 1am, but the energy and general goodwill towards each other persisted the entire time.

Yes! It doesn't matter what sex, color, sexual orientation or if we agree with everything - we are UNITED! This is a movement. Establishment vs anti-Establishment. People over globalism.

"People over globalism" sounds like code for "protectionism". You can't give everyone back their large-wage-unskilled-labor jobs with tariffs.

"Commerce with all nations, alliance with none, should be our motto."

-Thomas Jefferson

Re: Live Presidential Forecast

#145

Post by sk5t » Wed, Nov 09, 2016, 4:08 AM UTC

Retric wrote: post #116

sk5t wrote: post #69

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You're being too generous... this visualization misleads everyone who knows how to read an analog gauge. Your car's speedometer does not jiggle around to represent its own imprecision.

Scales for example do jiggle around.

Perhaps if the person being weighed jumps around, in which case the scale is doing its job correctly--or a very sensitive scale reacting to changes in air pressure. Scale readings generally do not jiggle/bounce with a static load.

Re: Live Presidential Forecast

#146

Post by protomyth » Wed, Nov 09, 2016, 4:08 AM UTC

0xmohit wrote: post #124

Honest question: Doesn't it get difficult to decide who to vote when you have such choices?

I voted 3rd party to try to get the Libertarians above the % threshold on matching funds. It worked in 1992 but was squandered in 1996 by Perot's party. I was hoping it might work again with a party not built around one man. Sadly, the Libertarians did everything in their power to screw this one up too.

Re: Live Presidential Forecast

#147

Post by Someone » Wed, Nov 09, 2016, 4:08 AM UTC

stass wrote: post #108

up_so_floating wrote: post #91

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You are not alone; many Americans have the same question.

And the answer can be easily found in e.g. Federalist papers and even Wikipedia.

I would also hope (I would write 'expect', but I am a bit cynical about the quality of US education) this was taught in elementary school.

Re: Live Presidential Forecast

#148

Post by protomyth » Wed, Nov 09, 2016, 4:09 AM UTC

SuperManfred wrote: post #122

The season finale of the USA, representative democracy is in a bubble and the bust is inevitable.

This is rather mild considering some of the previous elections. Heck, this probably won't even be decided by the House.

Re: Live Presidential Forecast

#149

Post by flukus » Wed, Nov 09, 2016, 4:10 AM UTC

danthejam wrote: post #136

morgante wrote: post #120

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Where is there to "get out" to though? Economically the US has been outperforming the rest of the world recently. I'm especially worried because the developer job market is a lot worse outside the US than inside it. I genuinely don't know where to go (recession seems inevitable).

Can't people just decide to create a new SV somewhere and do it? It's just people you need to move.

Why make a new one and not secede?

Re: Live Presidential Forecast

#150

Post by RandomOpinion » Wed, Nov 09, 2016, 4:11 AM UTC

mcphilip wrote: post #115

It's looking like it might be a Brexit moment for the USA. The filter bubble echo chamber of social media and 24/7 coverage of celebrities stumping for Clinton is going to leave a lot of people shocked tomorrow when/if it's officially given to Trump.

Not surprised; a day of reckoning was bound to come for the left. Consider that even if Trump had lost, his power base would still have existed afterward. Trump is not the problem, Trump is a symptom.

The American left took its eyes off of what's important, namely the working class, and instead spent its time and political capital on frivolous[0] causes. This is a wake-up call to refocus.

[0] Lots of things some might consider important are frivolous when you're living paycheck-to-paycheck.